The Best NRFI/YRFI Bets Today (No Runs First Inning/Yes Runs First Innings) - Tuesday (9/27): Odds, Picks, and Analysis

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) bets, pronounced "ner-fee," are sweeping in popularity, offering bettors nail-biting action straight from the first pitch.

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) bets, pronounced "ner-fee," are sweeping in popularity, offering bettors nail-biting action straight from the first pitch. 

Still not sure what an NRFI is? Check out our detailed guide for the lowdown on NRFIs and how to capitalize on them.

We focus on two games for the best NRFI bets today. 

Today's Best NRFI/YRFI Bets

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees 

Tuesday, September 27th, 7:07 PM ET 

The Blue Jays and Yankees face off in this AL East battle after Toronto earned a 3-2 win on Monday. 

Game box:

Toronto Blue Jays (87-67) vs New York Yankees (94-59)

Game Info: Tuesday, September 27, 2022, at 7:07 PM (Roger Centre)

Starting pitchers: Jose Berrios (11-6, 5.27 ERA) vs Jameson Taillon (13-5, 3.90 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Yankees - Best Betting Odds:

Moneyline: Blue Jays (-107 at PointsBet) vs Yankees (-107 at BetRivers)

Run line: Blue Jays +1.5 (-172 at FanDuel) vs Yankees -1.5 (+165 at BetRivers)

Total: Over 7.5 (-110 at PointsBet) vs Under 7.5 (+100 at BetMGM)

 Check out our betting odds page for the best real-time best odds for MLB games. 

Best NRFI Bet Today:

Rationale: The Blue Jays walked off New York on Monday night, grabbing the victory despite the Yankees having won 11 of 13 games coming in. Toronto holds a comfortable 3-game lead in the AL Wild Card race but still hopes to top their rivals and prevent Yankees slugger Aaron Judge from making history in their house.  

Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios surrendered three first-inning runs his last time out, which snapped a nine-game streak without allowing a run in the opening frame. Judge enters this contest with one homer this season off Berrios and is still one shy of Roger Maris’ AL record of 61.

Yankees starter Jameson Taillon sports a 3.90 ERA for the season but has been even better against Toronto, posting a 2.67 ERA over five starts in 2022. He’s given up 14 first innings runs over 30 starts but none over his last seven. The effectiveness of these two starts of late makes this a best NRFI bet for today.

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New York Mets vs Miami Marlins 

Tuesday, September 27th, 7:07 PM ET 

The Mets welcome the Marlins for a short, two-game series this week after both teams enjoyed an off-day on Monday. 

Game box:

New York Mets (97-57) vs Miami Marlins (63-90)

Game Info: Tuesday, September 27, 2022, at 7:10 PM (Citi Field) 

Starting pitchers: Carlos Carrasco (15-6, 3.79 ERA) vs Pablo Lopez (9-10, 3.88 ERA) 

Mets vs Marlins - Best Betting odds: 

Moneyline: Mets (-220 at FanDuel) vs Marlins (+180 at Caesars)

Run line: Mets -1.5 (+110 at BetRivers) vs Marlins +1.5 (-120 at PointsBet)

Total: Over 7.0 (+100 at Caesars) vs Under 7.0 (-105 at BetMGM)

Check out our betting odds screen to get real-time best odds for MLB games.

Best NRFI/YRFI Bet Today:

Rationale: The New York Mets hold a slim 1-game lead in the NL East over the Atlanta Braves and need a win against Miami to maintain that advantage. The good news for New York is they’re 12-5 versus the Marlins in 2022 and have dominated Miami’s starter, Pablo Lopez. The Mets have roughed up Lopez in his four starts versus the club, plating 22 runs over 16.2 innings (11.34 ERA).  

Although the Marlins enter with the league’s lowest first-inning runs-per-game average (0.27) and have seen first-inning runs in a league-low 39.8 percent of their games, New York seems to have Lopez’s number, making this best YRFI bet an excellent value play.

Lopez has surrendered 19 first-inning runs over 30 starts this season, and the Mets have scored first-inning runs against him in two of their four times facing him in 2022. Mets starter Carlos Carrasco has allowed 14 first-inning runs in 27 starts this season, and he did give up one in the opening frame in his last start against Miami. 


Will you be backing our daily NRFI pick? Interested in more MLB content? Read our guide: How To Bet on Baseball, and visit our odds comparison tool to compare the latest odds.


 Written by David Fernandez

David has more than 15 years of writing experience in sports and sports betting. Prior to becoming a full-time writer, he was a high school English, Creative Writing, and Journalism teacher for nearly 20 years. He holds a Master's Degree in English and Creative Writing.

David writes for a variety of publications, including Sidelines, Scorebook Live (SBLive), and Five Reasons Sports, and has previously been published in the Miami Herald and USA Today.