Professional bettors are finding edges through injury analysis, futures scheduling advantages, and training camp developments. Dr. David Chao's SICScore system hits 55% against closing lines by identifying 8-point health advantages, while Adam Chernoff's futures strategy focuses on the Bills' easy AFC path and Lions' coordinator concerns. Smart money is watching Sam Darnold's Rams transition, avoiding the Shadeur Sanders rookie hype, and banking on Christian McCaffrey's healthy return to San Francisco.
NBA free agency's biggest moves happened quietly: Denver improved around Jokic, Houston added depth, and the Lakers remain stuck in LeBron limbo. The West got deeper, the East more chaotic, and financial constraints mean fewer surprises ahead. Smart bettors should target improved depth over star power and watch for teams prioritizing playoffs over regular season wins.
Home Run Derby betting heats up with Cal Raleigh favored despite no catcher ever winning. Smart money targets James Wood's youth and power while fading hometown hero Matt Olson. Distance and exit velocity unders offer the best prop value as the competition's format changes create new betting angles.
MLB's All-Star break brings betting opportunities as the Dodgers stumble through their worst stretch since 2019 while Detroit leads baseball at 59-35. Cal Raleigh's historic catching season offers unique props, favorites are cooling after hitting 57% season-long, and the NL Central's tight race creates daily value. Home Run Derby sleeper James Wood and trade deadline moves are shifting championship odds heading into the stretch run.
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