Mitchell Over 24.5 Points (-192) , HIGH: This is the highest-confidence prop on this board. Mitchell averaged 28.7 PPG against the Knicks in regular-season meetings and comes in with a 31.1% usage rate and 14.1 drives per game. With Cleveland down 0-1 and needing a bounce-back performance, his offensive burden only grows. His 58.8% drive field-goal percentage gives him an elite path to the basket that does not depend on New York's defensive attention being elsewhere. The -192 price reflects exactly how dependable this volume is in a must-respond spot.

Mobley Over 9.5 Rebounds (+138) , HIGH: Mobley's last 10 average is 9.7 rebounds, trending up, and he put up 9.5 RPG against the Knicks in regular-season play this year. Karl-Towns is not a dominant interior defender, and Cleveland will push more paint touches in Game 2 to get Allen and Mobley involved. More contested shots near the rim means more rebound opportunities for a player with elite positioning and timing. At +138, this is genuine positive expected value. It is the best-priced pick on this board.

First Basket Scorer: Allen (+500) , VALUE: Allen leads Cleveland with a 22.5% first basket rate in starts this season, and Cleveland wins the opening tip 64.9% of the time, giving the Cavs first possession in most games. When that possession materializes, Allen's roll-to-rim role makes him the most natural first-touch scorer. The market implies a 16.7% probability versus his actual 22.5% rate. That gap is where the value lives. At +500, you are being paid outsized odds on a player who scores first more often than the market believes, in a game where Cleveland will be even more intent on establishing him early.

Haaland: Shots on Target Over 1.5 at -118. Haaland posts 3.8 shots per 90 and 1.71 SOT per appearance. If City press for early goals—58% win odds suggest dominance—Haaland sees increased service. The 1.5 threshold is routine for his shot volume. -118 undervalues the edge.