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MLB Trade Deadline 2025: Suarez, Robert, and Twins Arms Heating Up

MLB Trade Deadline 2025: Suarez, Robert, and Twins Arms Heating Up

The 2025 MLB trade deadline is set for July 31 at 6 p.m. ET, with high-profile players like Eugenio Suarez, Luis Robert, and top bullpen arms from the Twins expected to move. Contenders are eyeing these stars to boost playoff chances, while uncertainty in starting pitching and bullpen markets could shift betting lines. The Twins, Brewers, and Orioles stand out as teams to watch, with the deadline poised to reshape the postseason race and daily betting strategies.

Suarez, Soroka, and the Trade Bait Parade

We’re weeks away from the MLB trade deadline, and the rumor mill is spinning faster than a Dylan Cease slider. With playoff races tightening and front offices itching to make a splash, teams are weighing whether to stack their bullpens, bolster their lineups, or ship out assets for future gold. One name that’s heating up? Suárez. No, not that Suárez. We’re talking about a corner bat with more pop than a fireworks finale, and he's pacing for 50+ bombs. Even the most skeptical scouts are tipping their caps. If your team lands him, pop the champagne — that’s a serious middle-of-the-order threat for October.

Meanwhile, the oddball pick of the week is Michael Soroka. Once a rotation darling, he’s now being touted as a two-inning bullpen weapon. If a contender grabs him and uses him correctly, he could be a sneaky X-factor in the postseason. Remember Andrew Miller in 2016? Yeah, that kind of impact.

Twins Bullpen Sale? Duran and Jax on the Block

If you’re a contender craving bullpen help — and let’s face it, who isn’t — the Minnesota Twins may be your hookup. Jhoan Duran and Griffin Jax are both being floated as potential trade chips. Duran brings the heat (we’re talking 102 MPH with a side of “splinker”), but Jax may actually be more valuable to the strikeout-obsessed front offices out there with his 14.1 K/9 mark.

The Twins are in that awkward “competitive but not quite elite” zone. That opens the door for strategic selling. They likely won’t deal Joe Ryan, but moving a high-leverage arm for a major league-ready bat or young starter makes a lot of sense. Teams chasing October glory — Phillies, Mariners, Dodgers — should be burning up the Twins’ phone lines.

Old-School Sluggers and Smart Buys

If your team trades for Yandy Díaz, Ramon Laureano, or — drumroll — Soroka, consider yourself a trade deadline winner. Díaz is a barrel machine, Laureano brings sneaky pop and elite defense, and Soroka could turn into postseason gold in a multi-inning relief role. These aren’t splashy names, but they’re the kind of additions that win playoff games.

Also, don’t sleep on Brock Stewart. He’s quietly one of the filthiest relievers available, and he comes with team control. If your club needs a high-leverage arm and doesn’t want to pay Bednar prices, Stewart is your guy. Low-key, high-impact, and postseason-tested — just how we like it.

Guardians, Rays, and the Value of Control

The Guardians may flirt with trading Shane Bieber, but it’s hard to see them moving Stephen Kwan. He’s one of the few consistent outfielders they’ve developed, and with team control and top-of-the-order production, he’s more valuable than prospect capital. That said, if someone overpays — say, a contender with a gaping outfield hole — maybe Cleveland bites.

As for the Rays, they’re always lurking. With Shane McClanahan out and their offense sputtering, Tampa Bay seems poised for some retooling. Expect them to target controllable talent, possibly moving veterans like Brandon Lowe or even Pete Fairbanks to reload. If they sniff October, it’ll be on the back of shrewd deadline moves — as usual.

Betting Angles: Unders, Bullpens, and Futures

The under is quietly dominating MLB this season, hitting at a 52.3% clip overall and 53% in the past week. Favorites are cashing 57% of the time, but sneaky value might lie in the dogs — especially those with decent bullpens and quality starting pitching.

Look no further than the Pirates-Giants matchup. Pittsburgh’s offense remains sketchy, but their bullpen has stabilized. The Giants, led by Logan Webb, are consistent, and taking them on the run line (+102) makes sense when they’re facing soft lineups.

If you’re betting the Phillies-White Sox game, consider the under. Both teams have been inconsistent at the plate, and despite some bullpen warts, the pitching matchup may suppress runs. The Guardians-Rockies game? Fade the bullpens and ride the over. Cleveland’s pen is no longer elite, and Colorado’s staff is, well, Colorado’s staff.

Contender Roundup: Who’s Buying, Who’s Faking?

The Padres are linked to both buying and selling — classic Preller. They might move Dylan Cease or Suárez, or they might add a left fielder. The Dodgers need bullpen help, but injuries may limit their ability to deal from depth. The Phillies? They’re reportedly all-in, possibly eyeing a big bat or a late-inning arm.

The Mets are expected to be aggressive, both in shopping veteran arms and exploring center field options. Luis Robert Jr. is on several teams’ radar (Mets, Brewers, Mariners), but the White Sox are setting a high price. They’re unlikely to decline his option, so suitors will need to come correct.

Watch for the Twins to be sneaky sellers, the Guardians to make a pitching move, and the Rays to execute a classic “sell high, buy low” maneuver. And don’t count out the Blue Jays, Yankees, or even the Rangers from making a splash — the AL is wide open, and a bold move could swing the race.

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Reds Rule Unders As Braves

Reds Rule Unders As Braves

The Reds lead MLB in "under" bets due to weak offense but strong pitching, while teams like the Braves and Orioles drive high-scoring games with powerful bats and shaky bullpens. Late-inning collapses from the Guardians create live betting chances. Yankees struggle without Judge, and trade deadline uncertainties add risk to betting on sellers like the Diamondbacks and Orioles. Overall, unders are hitting over 53% recently, making them attractive when strong bullpens face weak offenses.

July 30 MLB Picks

July 30 MLB Picks

A loaded Wednesday slate features value on hot teams and volatile arms. Baltimore carries a five-game winning streak into Camden Yards, making the Orioles ML and a runs-heavy over attractive against inconsistent José Berríos. Detroit’s momentum and Chris Paddack’s rebound support Tigers ML while Nelson’s control issues point to the under. Freddy Peralta’s home dominance lifts Milwaukee over Chicago, and Shohei Ohtani’s dual threat backs the Dodgers in Cincinnati with a low total. Look for marquee offenses—Boston, Philadelphia, New York, and Cleveland—to keep overs live, while stingy spots in Houston, San Francisco, and Anaheim temper run production.

Key Takeaways

  • Michael Soroka could be a sneaky bullpen weapon for a contender — don’t laugh, it worked for Andrew Miller.
  • The Twins may trade Jhoan Duran or Griffin Jax; both have filthy stuff, but different appeal based on strikeout vs. contact suppression.
  • The under continues to be your friend in MLB betting — especially with struggling offenses and deep bullpens.
  • Yandy Díaz, Ramon Laureano, and Brock Stewart are smart trade targets that could swing playoff games.
  • Guardians, Rays, and Padres are wild cards at the deadline — expect creative moves, not just headline-grabbers.