NFLGame PreviewsCIN VS GB Preview Week6 12-Oct-2025

Game Preview of Cincinnati Bengals @ Green Bay Packers. Week 6 of 2025 NFL Season

CIN logo

CIN

2-3-0
@
12OCT25
04:25pm
GB logo

GB

3-1-0
Lambeau Field

Game Preview

The Packers host the Bengals on Sunday at Lambeau Field. Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET. The market paints a clear picture. Green Bay sits as a two-touchdown favorite, while the total hovers in the mid-40s.

 

Cincinnati turns to a new plan at quarterback. The board lists a Joe Flacco passing line, which hints at his role, but the Bengals still deal with injuries across the offense. Several linemen are questionable, and Joe Burrow is on injured reserve. That raises volatility for any Bengals production.

 

Green Bay’s profile is steady. The Packers excel on third down and create chunk gains through the air. Their defense limits explosive passes, which forces long drives. If their banged-up offensive line holds up, they can stay on schedule and keep pressure off the defense.

 

The matchup leans Green Bay because of efficiency. The Packers’ passing traits and third-down edge match well against Cincinnati’s weak pass defense and poor stop rate. The question is whether the Bengals can find a spark with a veteran quarterback and survive the pass rush with a thin line.

Current Season Form

CIN logo

CIN

Away
Record:2-3-0
ATS:1-4-0
O/U:3-2-0
GB logo

GB

Home
Record:3-1-0
ATS:2-2-0
O/U:1-3-0

Head-to-Head Summary

Record:
3-2Winner logo
ATS:3-1-1
O/U:3-2-0

Past Results

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
2025-09-28@ DALW 40-40W +-7.0o47.5
2025-09-21@ CLEL 10-13W +-8.5u41.5
2025-09-11vs WASW 27-18W +3.5u48.5
2025-09-07vs DETW 27-13W +1.5u48.5
2025-01-12@ PHIL 10-22L 5.5u45.5
2025-01-05vs CHIL 22-24W +10.0o41.5
2024-12-29@ MINL 25-27L -1.0o49.0
2024-12-23vs NOW 34-0W +14.0u44.0
2024-12-15@ SEAW 30-13W +-3.0u48.0
2024-12-05@ DETL 31-34L 3.0o53.0

Key Insights

 

  • Packers thrive on third down. Green Bay converts 53.6% of third downs (best percentile), a sign of sustained drives and time of possession.

  • Cincinnati’s defense allows chunk plays. The Bengals give up explosive passes at 8.8% (low percentile), which pairs poorly vs Green Bay’s explosive pass rate of 9.4%.

  • Packers defense takes away the deep ball. Only 2.4% of opponent passes become explosive plays against Green Bay (elite percentile), which compresses Cincinnati’s passing ceiling.

  • Bengals red zone can still finish. Despite struggles, Cincinnati’s red-zone TD rate is 72.7% (high percentile), so they can convert if they get there.

  • Injuries shape usage. With Christian Watson Out, Green Bay’s targets tilt to other receivers and tight ends. For Cincinnati, multiple Questionable linemen can impact sack rate and rush efficiency.

  • Small-sample flags. A few edges rely on limited reps, like a single fourth-down try for Cincinnati and 10 goal-line snaps for Green Bay; treat those with caution.

 

Betting Insights

 

  • Spread anchor: Packers -14.5 (-104) is the closest listed number; Green Bay’s third-down edge and CIN’s explosive-pass allowed support the favorite, but it’s still a big number with variance.

  • Total anchor: 44.5 with Over -114 and Under -103. Green Bay efficiency points to scoring, but GB’s defense limiting explosives can drag pace.

  • Jordan Love Over 237.5 pass yards (-119): CIN allows explosive passes 8.8% and struggles on third down, which boosts volume.

  • Joe Flacco Under 203.5 pass yards (-120): GB allows explosive passes only 2.4% of the time; fewer easy chunk gains caps the ceiling.

  • Romeo Doubs Over 40.5 rec yards (-119): Matchup flow favors intermediate shots vs a defense prone to chunk plays.

  • Josh Jacobs Anytime TD (-233): Price is steep, but Packers team total sits at 29.5 (Over -120), implying red-zone chances.

 

Final Summary

Green Bay’s identity fits this spot. The Packers stay efficient on money downs and limit explosive passes on defense. That combination wins drives and field position. If their questionable linemen are active, the offense should stay on schedule.

Cincinnati brings uncertainty. The market is hanging a low-200s passing line for Joe Flacco, and the Bengals’ line health is shaky. They do finish in the red zone at a strong rate, but getting there is the challenge against a defense that squeezes big plays.

From a numbers view, the listed spread is heavy, and heavy favorites carry variance. If you bet the side, price discipline matters. On props, Love passing overs and Packers pass-catcher yardage profiles line up with the Bengals’ explosive-pass leak. Flacco unders make sense against a defense that limits chunk throws, though late-game volume can cut both ways.

Bottom line: Green Bay has the cleaner path. Cincinnati needs turnovers or short fields to flip the script. Monitor inactives for the o-lines and Josh Jacobs. If the Packers are close to full strength up front, the matchup leans to the home favorite and a methodical game around the mid-40s total.

Statistical Battle Boards

Viewing: GB Offense vs CIN Defense
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Total Points104#20156#3CIN advantage
Total Points Per Game26#931.2#30GB advantage
Total Touchdowns12#1819#31GB advantage
Passing Touchdowns8#1112#31GB advantage
Rushing Touchdowns4#156#26GB advantage
Other Touchdowns0#321#29CIN advantage
Total Kicking Points32#2334#21CIN advantage
Total Two Point Conversions0#300#16CIN advantage
Kick Extra Points11#1619#1CIN advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Net Passing Yards931#241295#3CIN advantage
Net Passing Yards Per Game233#11259#4CIN advantage
Passer Rating113#3101#10GB advantage
Passing Attempts121#31177#26CIN advantage
Completions84#29120#7CIN advantage
Completion Percentage69.4#1067.8#21GB advantage
Passing 1st downs46#2570#32GB advantage
Passing 1st Down %56.1#1659.8#23GB advantage
Longest Pass57#1340#30GB advantage
Passing Fumbles Lost1#161#10CIN advantage
Receiving Targets110#31172#6CIN advantage
Receptions84#29120#26CIN advantage
Receiving Yards After Catch558#13832#32GB advantage
YAC Average6.6#26.9#31GB advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Rushing Yards458#26661#26🏈
Rushing Yards Per Game114#18132#8CIN advantage
Rushing Attempts121#24153#29GB advantage
Yards Per Rush Attempt3.8#264.3#17CIN advantage
Rushing 1st downs25#3038#24CIN advantage
20+ Yard Rushing Plays1#252#16CIN advantage
Long Rushing25#2430#22CIN advantage
Rushing Fumbles1#252#16CIN advantage
Rushing Fumbles Lost0#260#20CIN advantage