NFLGame PreviewsLAR VS PHI Preview Week3 season 21-SEP-2025

Game Preview of Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles. Week 3 of 2025 NFL Season

LAR logo

LAR

2-0-0
@
21SEP25
01:00pm
PHI logo

PHI

2-0-0
Lincoln Financial Field

Game Preview

The Rams visit the Eagles on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET. The setting is Lincoln Financial Field. Both teams are 2-0, and this feels like a check on where they stand.

Philadelphia’s passing start has been slow, but the Eagles still move the chains. They have leaned on the run and quick game while they sort out timing. Tight end Dallas Goedert is out, which pulls a key option from the middle of the field.

Los Angeles brings real vertical juice. The Rams rate near the top in deep shots and explosive passes. That pairs well with Puka Nacua’s route volume and Matthew Stafford’s willingness to push it. The concern sits up front. Left guard Steve Avila is out and both Alaric Jackson and Kevin Dotson are questionable.

Oddsmakers show a tight lean to the home side. The anchor spread is Eagles -4.0 at +108. The total is 45.5 with Over -108 and Under -127. Expect a field position game that swings on third downs and a few chunk plays.

Current Season Form

LAR logo

LAR

Away
Record:2-0-0
ATS:1-1-0
O/U:1-1-0
PHI logo

PHI

Home
Record:2-0-0
ATS:1-1-0
O/U:0-2-0

Head-to-Head Summary

Record:
1-4Winner logo
ATS:2-3-0
O/U:4-1-0

Past Results

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
2025-09-14@ KCW 20-17W +-1.5u46.5
2025-09-04vs DALW 24-20W +8.5u47.5
2025-02-09vs KCW 40-22W +-1.5o48.5
2025-01-26vs WASW 55-23W +6.0o46.5
2025-01-19vs LARW 28-22W +7.0o43.5
2025-01-12vs GBW 22-10W +5.5u45.5
2025-01-05vs NYGW 20-13W +3.0u36.5
2024-12-29vs DALW 41-7W +7.5o37.5
2024-12-22@ WASL 33-36W +-4.0o47.0
2024-12-15vs PITW 27-13W +5.5u43.0

Key Insights

 

  • Rams can strike deep. Los Angeles owns a 14.8% deep pass explosive rate at a 100th percentile clip on a healthy sample of 54 attempts. That stresses safeties and creates DPI risk.

  • Eagles sustain drives. Philadelphia’s 61.5% third down conversion sits at the 100th percentile on a small sample of 13. That helps hide early passing issues.

  • Rams defense wins third down. A 70.0% third down stop rate at the 94th percentile can flip field position if the rush gets home.

  • Middle of field changes for PHI. Goedert is out, so targets may tilt to the outside and to backs, which affects how the Eagles attack zones.

  • Trenches matter for LAR. Avila out and Jackson/Dotson questionable raise pressure risk. LAR still converts pressure to sacks at 9.4% (81st percentile).

  • Red zone tilt. The Rams have allowed a 25.0% red zone TD rate on defense (88th percentile, small sample 4). That can force field goals.

 

Betting Insights

  • Spread lens: Eagles -4.0 (+108) is the closest listed number to a field-goal spread. Plus money reflects market doubt about PHI’s passing.

  • Total lens: 45.5 with Under -127 signals books expect longer drives and fewer explosives to finish.

  • Eagles team total 24.0: Over -116, Under -122. Goedert out could push more runs and clock.

  • Rams team total 20.0: Over -120, Under -118. LAR’s 22.2% explosive pass rate supports the Over if protection holds.

  • Puka Nacua over 77.5 yards (-120): Matches LAR deep and explosive pass traits. Variance is tied to protection.

  • A.J. Brown over 60.5 yards (-118): With Goedert out, perimeter targets can climb. Mind the juice.

Final Summary

This matchup likely turns on third downs and a couple of shot plays. The Eagles have been elite at staying on schedule, even with a quiet air game. If they win early downs and keep the sticks short, the -4 number can hold.

The Rams can erase that edge with explosives. Their deep and overall explosive pass rates are top tier. One vertical hit to Nacua or a double-move to the boundary can flip the script.

Injuries lean into the variance. Philadelphia loses a high-usage tight end. Los Angeles has questions along the line. Those factors point to tighter margins and put a spotlight on pass rush and scramble yards.

Market numbers fit that story. Eagles -4.0 (+108) and a total 45.5 with Under -127 suggest a close, physical game. Bet sizes should respect the juice on totals and props, and the real chance that one deep ball decides it.

Statistical Battle Boards

Viewing: PHI Offense vs LAR Defense
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Total Points44#1528#30PHI advantage
Total Points Per Game22#1614#2LAR advantage
Total Touchdowns5#131#1LAR advantage
Passing Touchdowns0#321#5LAR advantage
Rushing Touchdowns5#20#4PHI advantage
Other Touchdowns0#170#6LAR advantage
Total Kicking Points14#1722#4LAR advantage
Total Two Point Conversions0#90#26PHI advantage
Kick Extra Points5#131#30PHI advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Net Passing Yards238#31294#27LAR advantage
Net Passing Yards Per Game119#31147#29LAR advantage
Passer Rating88.5#2178.7#27PHI advantage
Passing Attempts45#2860#15LAR advantage
Completions34#2538#19LAR advantage
Completion Percentage75.6#263.3#12PHI advantage
Passing 1st downs10#3217#6LAR advantage
Passing 1st Down %27.8#3247.2#4LAR advantage
Longest Pass51#626#32PHI advantage
Passing Fumbles Lost0#292#2LAR advantage
Receiving Targets41#2958#18LAR advantage
Receptions34#2538#15LAR advantage
Receiving Yards After Catch115#30153#10LAR advantage
YAC Average3.4#314.0#10LAR advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Rushing Yards280#7223#18PHI advantage
Rushing Yards Per Game140#7112#16PHI advantage
Rushing Attempts72#353#19PHI advantage
Yards Per Rush Attempt3.9#224.2#16LAR advantage
Rushing 1st downs23#115#22PHI advantage
20+ Yard Rushing Plays1#170#32PHI advantage
Long Rushing20#2114#28PHI advantage
Rushing Fumbles1#170#32PHI advantage
Rushing Fumbles Lost0#90#25PHI advantage