Game Preview of Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles. Week 3 of 2025 NFL Season
The Rams visit the Eagles on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET. The setting is Lincoln Financial Field. Both teams are 2-0, and this feels like a check on where they stand.
Philadelphia’s passing start has been slow, but the Eagles still move the chains. They have leaned on the run and quick game while they sort out timing. Tight end Dallas Goedert is out, which pulls a key option from the middle of the field.
Los Angeles brings real vertical juice. The Rams rate near the top in deep shots and explosive passes. That pairs well with Puka Nacua’s route volume and Matthew Stafford’s willingness to push it. The concern sits up front. Left guard Steve Avila is out and both Alaric Jackson and Kevin Dotson are questionable.
Oddsmakers show a tight lean to the home side. The anchor spread is Eagles -4.0 at +108. The total is 45.5 with Over -108 and Under -127. Expect a field position game that swings on third downs and a few chunk plays.
Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|
2025-09-14 | @ KC | W 20-17 | W +-1.5 | u46.5 |
2025-09-04 | vs DAL | W 24-20 | W +8.5 | u47.5 |
2025-02-09 | vs KC | W 40-22 | W +-1.5 | o48.5 |
2025-01-26 | vs WAS | W 55-23 | W +6.0 | o46.5 |
2025-01-19 | vs LAR | W 28-22 | W +7.0 | o43.5 |
2025-01-12 | vs GB | W 22-10 | W +5.5 | u45.5 |
2025-01-05 | vs NYG | W 20-13 | W +3.0 | u36.5 |
2024-12-29 | vs DAL | W 41-7 | W +7.5 | o37.5 |
2024-12-22 | @ WAS | L 33-36 | W +-4.0 | o47.0 |
2024-12-15 | vs PIT | W 27-13 | W +5.5 | u43.0 |
Rams can strike deep. Los Angeles owns a 14.8% deep pass explosive rate at a 100th percentile clip on a healthy sample of 54 attempts. That stresses safeties and creates DPI risk.
Eagles sustain drives. Philadelphia’s 61.5% third down conversion sits at the 100th percentile on a small sample of 13. That helps hide early passing issues.
Rams defense wins third down. A 70.0% third down stop rate at the 94th percentile can flip field position if the rush gets home.
Middle of field changes for PHI. Goedert is out, so targets may tilt to the outside and to backs, which affects how the Eagles attack zones.
Trenches matter for LAR. Avila out and Jackson/Dotson questionable raise pressure risk. LAR still converts pressure to sacks at 9.4% (81st percentile).
Red zone tilt. The Rams have allowed a 25.0% red zone TD rate on defense (88th percentile, small sample 4). That can force field goals.
Spread lens: Eagles -4.0 (+108) is the closest listed number to a field-goal spread. Plus money reflects market doubt about PHI’s passing.
Total lens: 45.5 with Under -127 signals books expect longer drives and fewer explosives to finish.
Eagles team total 24.0: Over -116, Under -122. Goedert out could push more runs and clock.
Rams team total 20.0: Over -120, Under -118. LAR’s 22.2% explosive pass rate supports the Over if protection holds.
Puka Nacua over 77.5 yards (-120): Matches LAR deep and explosive pass traits. Variance is tied to protection.
A.J. Brown over 60.5 yards (-118): With Goedert out, perimeter targets can climb. Mind the juice.
This matchup likely turns on third downs and a couple of shot plays. The Eagles have been elite at staying on schedule, even with a quiet air game. If they win early downs and keep the sticks short, the -4 number can hold.
The Rams can erase that edge with explosives. Their deep and overall explosive pass rates are top tier. One vertical hit to Nacua or a double-move to the boundary can flip the script.
Injuries lean into the variance. Philadelphia loses a high-usage tight end. Los Angeles has questions along the line. Those factors point to tighter margins and put a spotlight on pass rush and scramble yards.
Market numbers fit that story. Eagles -4.0 (+108) and a total 45.5 with Under -127 suggest a close, physical game. Bet sizes should respect the juice on totals and props, and the real chance that one deep ball decides it.
Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Points | 44 | #15 | 28 | #30 | |
Total Points Per Game | 22 | #16 | 14 | #2 | |
Total Touchdowns | 5 | #13 | 1 | #1 | |
Passing Touchdowns | 0 | #32 | 1 | #5 | |
Rushing Touchdowns | 5 | #2 | 0 | #4 | |
Other Touchdowns | 0 | #17 | 0 | #6 | |
Total Kicking Points | 14 | #17 | 22 | #4 | |
Total Two Point Conversions | 0 | #9 | 0 | #26 | |
Kick Extra Points | 5 | #13 | 1 | #30 |
Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Passing Yards | 238 | #31 | 294 | #27 | |
Net Passing Yards Per Game | 119 | #31 | 147 | #29 | |
Passer Rating | 88.5 | #21 | 78.7 | #27 | |
Passing Attempts | 45 | #28 | 60 | #15 | |
Completions | 34 | #25 | 38 | #19 | |
Completion Percentage | 75.6 | #2 | 63.3 | #12 | |
Passing 1st downs | 10 | #32 | 17 | #6 | |
Passing 1st Down % | 27.8 | #32 | 47.2 | #4 | |
Longest Pass | 51 | #6 | 26 | #32 | |
Passing Fumbles Lost | 0 | #29 | 2 | #2 | |
Receiving Targets | 41 | #29 | 58 | #18 | |
Receptions | 34 | #25 | 38 | #15 | |
Receiving Yards After Catch | 115 | #30 | 153 | #10 | |
YAC Average | 3.4 | #31 | 4.0 | #10 |
Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rushing Yards | 280 | #7 | 223 | #18 | |
Rushing Yards Per Game | 140 | #7 | 112 | #16 | |
Rushing Attempts | 72 | #3 | 53 | #19 | |
Yards Per Rush Attempt | 3.9 | #22 | 4.2 | #16 | |
Rushing 1st downs | 23 | #1 | 15 | #22 | |
20+ Yard Rushing Plays | 1 | #17 | 0 | #32 | |
Long Rushing | 20 | #21 | 14 | #28 | |
Rushing Fumbles | 1 | #17 | 0 | #32 | |
Rushing Fumbles Lost | 0 | #9 | 0 | #25 |