MLB Betting Picks & Predictions: 15-Game Preview for July 29, 2025

 [MATCHUP: TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES - 29JUL25>

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Date: July 29, 2025
Time: 16:35
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

🔥 Starting Pitchers

Baltimore Orioles: Charlie Morton
- 2025 Season Stats: 6-8, 5.48 ERA, 1.54 WHIP
- Recent Outings:
- vs. CLE: 6.2 IP, 3 ER, 4 BB, 7 SO, 2 HR
- vs. TBR: 5.1 IP, 7 ER, 3 BB, 4 SO, 2 HR
- vs. NYM: 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 BB, 4 SO, 0 HR

Morton has struggled with control, walking 10 batters over his last 18 innings and allowing 4 home runs in his last two starts.

Toronto Blue Jays: Starting pitcher information is unavailable.

📈 Team Form

Baltimore Orioles (48-58, 5th in AL East)
- Last 5 Games:
- Jul 28: W vs. TOR, 11-4
- Jul 27: W vs. COL, 5-1
- Jul 26: W vs. COL, 18-0
- Jul 25: L vs. COL, 5-6
- Jul 24: W vs. CLE, 4-3

The Orioles have won 4 of their last 5, showcasing a potent offense with an average of 8.6 runs per game in those victories.

Toronto Blue Jays (62-44, 1st in AL East)
- Last 5 Games:
- Jul 28: L vs. BAL, 4-11
- Jul 27: L vs. DET, 4-10
- Jul 26: W vs. DET, 6-1
- Jul 25: W vs. DET, 6-2
- Jul 24: W vs. DET, 11-4

The Blue Jays have dropped their last two but remain strong, having won 7 of their last 10 games.

💡 Key Player Insights

Baltimore Orioles
- Ramón Laureano: Laureano has been a force against right-handers, boasting a .918 OPS this season. Over the past week, he has maintained a .975 OPS, contributing significantly to the Orioles' recent offensive surge.

Toronto Blue Jays
- George Springer: Springer has been on a tear, with a 1.091 OPS over the last 28 days. He has a career OPS of 1.155 against Charlie Morton, making him a key threat in this matchup.


💰 Betting Insight

- Lean: Over 9.5 Total Runs
- With the Orioles' offense firing on all cylinders, averaging over 8 runs in their recent wins, and Charlie Morton's recent struggles with control and home runs, this game could see plenty of scoring. The Blue Jays, despite recent losses, have a potent lineup capable of capitalizing on Morton's vulnerabilities.

- Lean: Orioles ML
- The Orioles have momentum on their side, having won 4 of their last 5 games, including a decisive victory over the Blue Jays. Morton's ability to limit damage early could be pivotal, and the Orioles' recent offensive output gives them an edge.


✅ Final Summary

The Orioles' recent form and offensive prowess, combined with Morton's potential to stabilize after early innings, make Baltimore a strong play. Recommendation: Orioles ML for a confident wager.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Preview

Date & Time: July 29, 2025, 22:35
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

🔥 Starting Pitchers

Toronto Blue Jays: Eric Lauer
- 2025 Stats: 6-2, 2.61 ERA, 1.00 WHIP
- Recent Outings:
- vs. Detroit: 8.0 IP, 1 ER, 0 BB, 6 SO, 1 HR
- vs. San Francisco: 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 0 BB, 7 SO, 1 HR
- vs. Chicago White Sox: 4.0 IP, 2 ER, 1 BB, 7 SO, 0 HR

Lauer has been effective, maintaining a low ERA and WHIP. He has shown excellent control, not issuing a walk in his last two starts, and has been consistent in striking out batters.

Baltimore Orioles:
- Starting Pitcher: Not announced

📈 Team Form

Baltimore Orioles (48-58, 5th in AL East)
- Last 5 Games:
- W vs. Toronto: 11-4
- W vs. Colorado: 5-1
- W vs. Colorado: 18-0
- L vs. Colorado: 5-6
- W vs. Cleveland: 4-3

The Orioles have won four of their last five games, showcasing a potent offense with an average of 8.6 runs per game in those victories.

Toronto Blue Jays (62-44, 1st in AL East)
- Last 5 Games:
- L vs. Baltimore: 4-11
- L vs. Detroit: 4-10
- W vs. Detroit: 6-1
- W vs. Detroit: 6-2
- W vs. Detroit: 11-4

The Blue Jays have been strong, winning three of their last five, but have stumbled in their last two outings, allowing 21 runs combined.

💡 Key Player Insights

Baltimore Orioles:
- Cedric Mullins (CF): Mullins has been hot, with a 1.064 OPS over the last 7 days. He also has a strong history against Lauer, with a career OPS of 1.666 in 3 plate appearances.

Toronto Blue Jays:
- George Springer (RF): Springer is on fire, boasting a 1.091 OPS over the last 28 days and a 1.129 OPS in the last week. He has been a consistent force in the Blue Jays' lineup.

💰 Betting Insight

Lean: Over 9.5 Total Runs

- Reasoning: The Orioles' offense has been explosive recently, scoring 11 runs against the Blue Jays in their last meeting. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have shown they can score in bunches, as evidenced by their recent 11-run game against Detroit. With both teams capable of putting up big numbers, the over is an attractive option.

✅ Final Summary

Given the Orioles' recent offensive surge and the Blue Jays' ability to score, the Over 9.5 Total Runs is a confident recommendation for this matchup.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies
Date: July 29, 2025
Time: 22:40
Venue: Progressive Field

🔥 Starting Pitchers

Cleveland Guardians: Logan Allen
- 2025 Record: 6-9
- ERA: 4.16
- Recent Outings:
- vs. BAL: 6.1 IP, 4 ER, 1 HR, 4 SO
- vs. ATH: 5.1 IP, 3 ER, 0 HR, 4 SO
- @CHW: 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 1 HR, 5 SO

Allen has struggled with consistency, allowing 7 ER in a recent outing against Colorado.

Colorado Rockies: Tanner Gordon
- 2025 Record: 2-2
- ERA: 3.13
- Recent Outings:
- vs. STL: 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 HR, 3 SO
- @CHC: 4.2 IP, 2 ER, 1 HR, 1 SO
- vs. NYY: 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 1 HR, 5 SO

Gordon has been effective, particularly in his last outing with a shutout performance against St. Louis.


📈 Team Form

Cleveland Guardians (Last 5 Games):
- L vs. COL: 6-8
- L @ KCR: 1-4
- W @ KCR: 6-4
- L @ KCR: 3-5
- L @ BAL: 3-4

The Guardians have dropped 4 of their last 5, struggling to find offensive consistency.

Colorado Rockies (Last 5 Games):
- W @ CLE: 8-6
- L @ BAL: 1-5
- L @ BAL: 0-18
- W @ BAL: 6-5
- W @ STL: 6-0

The Rockies have won 3 of their last 5, showing some offensive spark despite a blowout loss to Baltimore.

💡 Key Player Insights

Cleveland Guardians:
- José Ramírez: With a season OPS of .889 and a recent 28-day OPS of .948, Ramírez continues to be a force, especially against left-handers with a .940 OPS.

Colorado Rockies:
- Hunter Goodman: Sporting an OPS of .850, Goodman has been hot with a 28-day OPS of .873, providing consistent power in the Rockies' lineup.


💰 Betting Insight

Lean: Guardians ML
- Reasoning: Despite recent struggles, the Guardians have a more stable lineup and home-field advantage. Logan Allen's recent struggles against the Rockies are a concern, but Tanner Gordon's limited experience and the Rockies' overall poor road record (14-40) tilt the scale slightly in Cleveland's favor.

Lean: Over 9.5 Total Runs
- Reasoning: Both teams have shown the ability to score runs recently, with the Rockies' offense coming alive in their last game against Cleveland. Additionally, Allen's inconsistency and Gordon's inexperience could lead to a high-scoring affair.


✅ Final Summary

The Guardians, despite recent struggles, have the edge at home against a Rockies team that has been inconsistent on the road. Back Cleveland to bounce back with a win, leveraging their offensive depth and home advantage.

Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

Date & Time: July 29, 2025, 22:40
Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI

🔥 Starting Pitchers

Casey Mize (Tigers)
- 2025 Record: 9-4
- ERA: 3.40
- Recent Outings:
- vs. PIT: 4.0 IP, 10 H, 5 R, 4 ER, 1 BB, 5 SO, 0 HR
- vs. SEA: 3.0 IP, 6 H, 6 R, 6 ER, 1 BB, 4 SO, 1 HR
- vs. CLE: 7.0 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 4 SO, 0 HR

Mize has struggled in his last two starts, allowing 10 earned runs over just 7 innings. However, he showed dominance against Cleveland with a shutout performance.

Brandon Pfaadt (Diamondbacks)
- 2025 Record: 10-6
- ERA: 4.76
- Recent Outings:
- vs. HOU: 5.1 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 5 SO, 0 HR
- vs. STL: 7.0 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 6 SO, 0 HR
- vs. SDP: 8.0 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 0 BB, 4 SO, 1 HR

Pfaadt has been solid, with a standout performance against St. Louis, allowing no runs over 7 innings. His control has been impressive, with no walks in his last two starts.

📈 Team Form

Detroit Tigers (62-46)
- Last 5 Games:
- vs. ARI: W 5-1
- vs. TOR: W 10-4
- vs. TOR: L 1-6
- vs. TOR: L 2-6
- vs. TOR: L 4-11

The Tigers have won 2 of their last 5, including a convincing win over the Diamondbacks. They have struggled with consistency, particularly on the road.

Arizona Diamondbacks (51-56)
- Last 5 Games:
- @DET: L 1-5
- @PIT: L 0-6
- @PIT: L 0-2
- @PIT: W 1-0
- @HOU: L 3-4

The Diamondbacks have lost 4 of their last 5, struggling to generate offense with two shutouts in their recent games.

💡 Key Player Insights

Detroit Tigers
- Spencer Torkelson: Torkelson has been a key offensive contributor with a .888 OPS over the last 28 days and a .964 OPS in the past week. His power against lefties is notable with a 1.010 OPS.

Arizona Diamondbacks
- Eugenio Suárez: Suárez has been a force with a .911 OPS over the last 28 days. His power is evident with 36 home runs this season, making him a constant threat at the plate.

💰 Betting Insight

Lean: Tigers ML
- Reasoning: Casey Mize's recent struggles are concerning, but his ability to bounce back, as seen against Cleveland, combined with the Tigers' recent offensive surge, gives them an edge. The Diamondbacks' offensive woes, particularly on the road, further tilt the scales in Detroit's favor.

Lean: Under 8.5 Total
- Reasoning: Both teams have shown inconsistent offensive production recently, and with Pfaadt's solid recent performances, this game could see limited scoring opportunities.

✅ Final Summary

The Tigers hold a slight edge with their recent offensive performances and Mize's potential to rebound. Backing the Tigers on the moneyline seems a prudent choice given the Diamondbacks' struggles at the plate.

Yankees vs. Rays: July 29, 2025, Yankee Stadium

🔥 Starting Pitchers

Max Fried (Yankees)
- 2025 Stats: 11-4, 2.62 ERA, 1.04 WHIP
- Recent Outings:
- vs. TOR: 5.1 IP, 4 ER, 3 BB, 3 SO
- vs. CHC: 3.0 IP, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 SO
- vs. NYM: 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 1 BB, 5 SO

Fried has struggled recently, allowing 10 earned runs over his last 13.1 innings. However, he has dominated the Rays this season, pitching 14.2 scoreless innings in two starts.

Joe Boyle (Rays)
- 2025 Stats: 1-0, 1.42 ERA, 0.63 WHIP
- Recent Outings:
- vs. CHW: 3.0 IP, 1 ER, 0 BB, 1 SO
- vs. BAL: 2.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 SO
- vs. BOS: 4.0 IP, 2 ER, 2 BB, 1 SO

Boyle has been effective in limited action, with a strong ERA and WHIP, though he has not pitched deep into games.

📈 Team Form

New York Yankees (57-48)
- Last 5 Games:
- Loss vs. Rays, 2-4
- Win vs. Phillies, 4-3
- Loss vs. Phillies, 4-9
- Loss vs. Phillies, 5-12
- Loss vs. Blue Jays, 4-8

The Yankees have dropped 4 of their last 5, struggling to find consistent offense.

Tampa Bay Rays (54-53)
- Last 5 Games:
- Win vs. Yankees, 4-2
- Loss vs. Reds, 1-2
- Loss vs. Reds, 2-6
- Loss vs. Reds, 2-7
- Loss vs. White Sox, 9-11

The Rays have also lost 4 of their last 5, with pitching inconsistencies being a concern.

💡 Key Player Insights

Yankees: Cody Bellinger
- Bellinger has been on fire, posting a 1.099 OPS over the last 7 days. His season OPS against left-handed pitching is an impressive 1.007.

Rays: Jonathan Aranda
- Aranda has been a consistent performer with a .868 OPS this season, including a .912 OPS against right-handers.

💰 Betting Insight

Lean: Yankees ML
- Reasoning: Despite recent struggles, Max Fried has been exceptional against the Rays this season, and the Yankees' bullpen could provide a late-game advantage. Joe Boyle's limited innings could expose the Rays' bullpen, which has been shaky.

Lean: Under 8.5 Total
- Reasoning: Both teams have been inconsistent offensively, and with Fried's past success against the Rays, runs could be at a premium.

✅ Final Summary

The Yankees, with Max Fried's dominance over the Rays this season, hold a pitching edge that makes them a solid pick to bounce back at home. Lean towards the Yankees ML for a confident play.

Dodgers vs. Reds: July 29, 2025, 23:10 at Great American Ball Park

🔥 Starting Pitchers

Nick Lodolo (CIN)
- 2025 Season Stats: 8-6, 3.08 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 122.2 IP, 112 SO, 16 HR
- Recent Outings:
- @WSN: 9.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 BB, 8 SO, 0 HR
- @NYM: 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 1 BB, 7 SO, 1 HR
- MIA: 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 BB, 4 SO, 0 HR

Lodolo has been dominant, allowing just 2 earned runs over his last 22 innings with a stellar 0.82 WHIP.

Tyler Glasnow (LAD)
- 2025 Season Stats: 1-1, 2.75 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 36.0 IP, 46 SO, 5 HR
- Recent Outings:
- MIN: 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 1 BB, 12 SO, 1 HR
- MIL: 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 1 BB, 6 SO, 0 HR
- @MIL: 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 BB, 5 SO, 0 HR

Glasnow has been effective, striking out 23 batters in his last 18 innings while maintaining a low ERA.

📈 Team Form

Cincinnati Reds (55-51)
- Last 5 Games:
- L vs. LAD, 2-5
- W vs. TBR, 2-1
- W vs. TBR, 6-2
- W vs. TBR, 7-2
- W vs. WSN, 5-0

The Reds have won 4 of their last 5 games, showcasing strong pitching and averaging 4.4 runs per game in wins.

Los Angeles Dodgers (62-45)
- Last 5 Games:
- W vs. CIN, 5-2
- L vs. BOS, 3-4
- L vs. BOS, 2-4
- W vs. BOS, 5-2
- W vs. MIN, 4-3

The Dodgers have been inconsistent, going 2-3 in their last 5, but they managed to secure a win against the Reds in their latest matchup.

💡 Key Player Insights

Cincinnati Reds
- Elly De La Cruz: With an OPS of .847 this season and .939 against right-handers, De La Cruz is a key offensive threat. His recent form is strong with a .907 OPS over the last 7 days.

Los Angeles Dodgers
- Shohei Ohtani: Ohtani continues to be a powerhouse with a 1.001 OPS this season. He has been particularly effective against right-handers with a 1.048 OPS and is in excellent form with a 1.122 OPS over the last week.

💰 Betting Insight

Lean: Under 8.5 Total Runs
- Reasoning: Both starting pitchers are in excellent form, with Lodolo allowing only 2 earned runs in his last 22 innings and Glasnow striking out 23 in his last 18 innings. The Reds' recent games have been low-scoring, and with both pitchers capable of dominating, runs could be at a premium.

Lean: Dodgers ML
- Reasoning: Despite recent inconsistencies, the Dodgers have a slight edge with Glasnow's recent performances and their ability to win close games, as evidenced by their 18-14 record in one-run games.

✅ Final Summary

Given the current form of both starting pitchers and the Reds' recent low-scoring affairs, the Under 8.5 Total Runs is a confident recommendation for this matchup.

Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox - July 29, 2025, 23:40 at Target Field

🔥 Starting Pitchers

Boston Red Sox: Lucas Giolito
- 2025 Season Stats: 6-2, 3.97 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 81.2 IP, 72 SO, 24 BB, 13 HR
- Last 3 Starts:
- vs. PHI: 4.0 IP, 5 ER, 1 BB, 2 SO, 4 HR
- vs. CHC: 5.1 IP, 4 ER, 2 BB, 6 SO, 1 HR
- vs. COL: 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 BB, 6 SO, 0 HR

Giolito has struggled with the long ball recently, allowing 5 home runs in his last two starts. However, he showed dominance against Colorado with a scoreless outing.

📈 Team Form

Minnesota Twins (51-53, 4th AL Central, 10.0 GB)
- Last 5 Games:
- W vs. BOS 5-4
- L vs. WSN 2-7
- L vs. WSN 3-9
- W vs. WSN 1-0
- L vs. LAD 3-4

The Twins have been inconsistent, winning 2 of their last 5 games, with a notable victory over the Red Sox in their last outing.

Boston Red Sox (57-51, 3rd AL East, 6.5 GB)
- Last 5 Games:
- L vs. MIN 4-5
- W vs. LAD 4-3
- W vs. LAD 4-2
- L vs. LAD 2-5
- W vs. PHI 9-8

The Red Sox have been competitive, winning 3 of their last 5 games, including a series win against the Dodgers.

💡 Key Player Insights

Minnesota Twins
- Byron Buxton: Buxton has been a force with a .904 OPS this season, particularly excelling against left-handers with a 1.066 OPS. Despite a recent slump, his power remains a threat.

- Harrison Bader: Bader is hot, boasting a .965 OPS over the last 28 days, providing a consistent offensive spark for the Twins.

Boston Red Sox
- Alex Bregman: Bregman is having a stellar season with a .928 OPS, including a .876 OPS over the last 28 days. His ability to hit both righties and lefties makes him a key player to watch.

- Jarren Duran: Duran has been on fire recently, with a .977 OPS over the last 28 days, making him a significant offensive contributor.

💰 Betting Insight

Lean: Over 8.5 Total Runs

- Reasoning: Lucas Giolito's recent struggles with home runs and the Twins' ability to score in bunches suggest a high-scoring affair. The Twins' bullpen has been shaky, and both teams have shown the ability to put up runs in recent games.

✅ Final Summary

Given Lucas Giolito's recent vulnerability to the long ball and the offensive capabilities of both teams, the Over 8.5 Total Runs is a strong play in this matchup. Expect both lineups to capitalize on pitching inconsistencies.

Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves Preview

Date & Time: July 29, 2025, 23:40
Venue: Kauffman Stadium

🔥 Starting Pitchers

Seth Lugo (Royals)
- 2025 Record: 7-5
- ERA: 2.95
- Last 3 Starts:
- vs. CHC: 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 2 BB, 6 SO, 0 HR
- vs. MIA: 6.0 IP, 5 ER, 0 BB, 5 SO, 2 HR
- vs. PIT: 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 1 BB, 5 SO, 2 HR

Lugo has allowed 4 home runs in his last three starts, showing some vulnerability to the long ball.

Erick Fedde (Braves)
- 2025 Record: 3-10
- ERA: 5.22
- Last 3 Starts:
- vs. COL: 3.0 IP, 6 ER, 1 BB, 5 SO, 2 HR
- vs. ATL: 4.2 IP, 3 ER, 1 BB, 1 SO, 2 HR
- vs. CHC: 1.1 IP, 3 ER, 4 BB, 0 SO, 0 HR

Fedde has struggled significantly, with a high ERA and multiple short outings, allowing 4 home runs over his last three starts.

📈 Team Form

Kansas City Royals (Last 5 Games):
- L vs. ATL, 7-10
- W vs. CLE, 4-1
- L vs. CLE, 4-6
- W vs. CLE, 5-3
- W vs. CHC, 8-4

The Royals have won 3 of their last 5 games, showing resilience with a couple of solid wins against Cleveland.

Atlanta Braves (Last 5 Games):
- W vs. KCR, 10-7
- L vs. TEX, 1-8
- L vs. TEX, 5-6
- L vs. TEX, 3-8
- L vs. SFG, 3-9

The Braves have struggled, losing 4 of their last 5 games, with their only win coming in a high-scoring affair against the Royals.

💡 Key Player Insights

Kansas City Royals:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has been a standout performer with a .877 OPS over the last 28 days and a .933 OPS in the last week, contributing significantly with 15 home runs and 27 stolen bases this season.
- Salvador Perez has been hot, posting a 1.156 OPS over the last 28 days, including 18 home runs on the season.

Atlanta Braves:
- Ronald Acuña Jr. continues to be a force with a 1.012 OPS this season, particularly strong against right-handers with a 1.059 OPS.
- Matt Olson has been consistent with an .831 OPS and 18 home runs, providing power in the Braves' lineup.

💰 Betting Insight

- Lean: Royals ML
Seth Lugo's solid performance this season, coupled with the Braves' recent struggles and Erick Fedde's poor form, gives the Royals an edge. Lugo's ability to limit damage despite recent home run issues should help Kansas City capitalize on Fedde's vulnerabilities.

- Lean: Over 9.5 Total Runs
Both teams have shown the ability to score, and with Fedde's high ERA and Lugo's recent home run allowance, this game could see plenty of runs.

✅ Final Summary

The Kansas City Royals, with Seth Lugo on the mound, hold a distinct advantage against the struggling Erick Fedde and the Atlanta Braves. Back the Royals to take advantage of Fedde's recent form and secure a victory at home.

Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Date: July 29, 2025
Time: 23:40
Venue: Rate Field, Chicago, IL

🔥 Starting Pitchers

Chicago White Sox: Jonathan Cannon
- 2025 Record: 4-7
- ERA: 4.48
- Recent Outings:
- vs. TBR: 4.1 IP, 5 ER, 1 BB, 9 SO, 2 HR
- vs. PIT: 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 0 BB, 2 SO, 0 HR
- vs. CLE: 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 BB, 5 SO, 1 HR

Cannon has shown inconsistency, with a strong outing against Pittsburgh but struggling against Tampa Bay, allowing 5 earned runs and 2 home runs in just over four innings.

Philadelphia Phillies: Jesús Luzardo
- 2025 Record: 8-5
- ERA: 4.58
- Recent Outings:
- vs. BOS: 5.0 IP, 6 ER, 5 BB, 7 SO, 1 HR
- vs. LAA: 4.2 IP, 4 ER, 2 BB, 7 SO, 2 HR
- vs. SFG: 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 BB, 7 SO, 0 HR

Luzardo has been erratic, with a stellar shutout performance against San Francisco but struggling significantly in his last two starts, allowing 10 earned runs combined.

📈 Team Form

Chicago White Sox (Last 5 Games):
- W vs. PHI: 6-2
- L vs. CHC: 4-5
- L vs. CHC: 1-6
- W vs. CHC: 12-5
- W vs. TBR: 11-9

The White Sox have won 4 of their last 5 games, showcasing a potent offense with multiple double-digit scoring games.

Philadelphia Phillies (Last 5 Games):
- L vs. CHW: 2-6
- L vs. NYY: 3-4
- W vs. NYY: 9-4
- W vs. NYY: 12-5
- L vs. BOS: 8-9

The Phillies have split their last 4 games, with their offense showing up in wins but faltering in close losses.

💡 Key Player Insights

Chicago White Sox:
- Colson Montgomery: With a .848 OPS over the last 28 days and a .913 OPS against right-handers, Montgomery has been a consistent threat, particularly against left-handed pitching like Luzardo.

Philadelphia Phillies:
- Kyle Schwarber: Schwarber has been on fire, posting a 1.094 OPS over the last 28 days and a 1.323 OPS in the last week, making him a significant power threat against Cannon.

💰 Betting Insight

Lean: Over 9.5 Total Runs

Both starting pitchers have shown vulnerability in recent outings, with Cannon allowing 3 home runs in his last two starts and Luzardo struggling with control and home runs. The White Sox's recent offensive surge, coupled with the Phillies' power hitters like Schwarber, suggests a high-scoring affair.

✅ Final Summary

Given the recent form of both offenses and the inconsistency of the starting pitchers, the Over 9.5 Total Runs is a strong play in this matchup. Expect fireworks at Rate Field as both teams look to capitalize on pitching weaknesses.

🕒 Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field

🔥 Starting Pitchers

Milwaukee Brewers: Quinn Priester
- 2025 Record: 9-2
- ERA: 3.28
- Recent Starts:
- vs SEA: 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 2 BB, 6 SO, 0 HR
- vs LAD: 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 BB, 10 SO, 0 HR
- vs WSN: 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 2 BB, 5 SO, 1 HR

Priester has been dominant recently, allowing just 4 earned runs over his last 19 innings with 21 strikeouts and no home runs in two of those starts.

Chicago Cubs: Colin Rea
- 2025 Record: 8-4
- ERA: 4.06
- Recent Starts:
- vs KCR: 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 0 BB, 3 SO, 3 HR
- vs BOS: 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 BB, 5 SO, 0 HR
- vs MIN: 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 2 BB, 5 SO, 1 HR

Rea has struggled with the long ball, allowing 3 home runs in his last start. However, he showed resilience with a strong outing against Boston.

📈 Team Form

Milwaukee Brewers (Last 5 Games)
- Jul 28: W vs CHC, 8-4
- Jul 27: W vs MIA, 3-2
- Jul 26: L vs MIA, 4-7
- Jul 25: L vs MIA, 1-5
- Jul 23: W vs SEA, 10-2

The Brewers have won 3 of their last 5 games, showcasing a potent offense with an average of 6.4 runs per game in their victories.

Chicago Cubs (Last 5 Games)
- Jul 28: L vs MIL, 4-8
- Jul 27: W vs CHW, 5-4
- Jul 26: W vs CHW, 6-1
- Jul 25: L vs CHW, 5-12
- Jul 23: L vs KCR, 4-8

The Cubs have been inconsistent, splitting their last 4 games with a notable blowout loss to the White Sox.

💡 Key Player Insights

Milwaukee Brewers: Jackson Chourio
- 28-Day OPS: .975
- Season OPS vs LHP: .981
- Recent Form: Chourio has been on fire, especially against left-handers, and has maintained a strong OPS over the last month.

Chicago Cubs: Michael Busch
- 28-Day OPS: .933
- Season OPS vs RHP: .963
- Recent Form: Busch has been a consistent threat against right-handed pitching, making him a key player to watch against Priester.

💰 Betting Insight

Lean: Brewers ML

- Reasoning: Quinn Priester's recent dominance on the mound, coupled with the Brewers' strong home record (35-19), gives them a significant edge. Colin Rea's vulnerability to home runs could be exploited by Milwaukee's potent lineup, particularly with players like Jackson Chourio in form.

Lean: Over 8.5 Total Runs

- Reasoning: Both teams have shown the ability to score in bunches, and with Rea's recent struggles with home runs, the potential for a high-scoring affair is present. Milwaukee's offense has been particularly effective at home.

✅ Final Summary

The Brewers' combination of strong recent form and home-field advantage, along with Priester's impressive pitching, makes them a solid pick. Recommendation: Back the Brewers to win.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins Preview

Date & Time: July 29, 2025, 23:45
Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO

🔥 Starting Pitchers

St. Louis Cardinals: Sonny Gray
- 2025 Record: 10-4
- ERA: 4.33
- Recent Outings:
- vs. SDP: 5.0 IP, 6 ER, 2 HR
- @ARI: 3.1 IP, 8 ER, 2 HR
- vs. ATL: 3.0 IP, 1 ER, 0 HR

Gray has struggled recently, allowing 14 earned runs and 4 home runs over his last two starts.

Miami Marlins: Sandy Alcantara
- 2025 Record: 5-9
- ERA: 6.66
- Recent Outings:
- vs. SDP: 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 HR
- vs. KCR: 6.0 IP, 4 ER, 1 HR
- @CIN: 5.0 IP, 6 ER, 1 HR

Alcantara showed promise against San Diego but has been inconsistent, with a high ERA and multiple runs allowed in other recent starts.

📈 Team Form

St. Louis Cardinals (Last 5 Games):
- W vs. MIA: 7-1
- L @ SDP: 2-9
- L @ SDP: 1-3
- W @ SDP: 3-0
- W @ SDP: 9-7

The Cardinals have won 3 of their last 5, showing offensive strength in their victories.

Miami Marlins (Last 5 Games):
- L @ STL: 1-7
- L @ MIL: 2-3
- W @ MIL: 7-4
- W @ MIL: 5-1
- W @ SDP: 3-2

The Marlins have won 3 of their last 5, with a strong showing in Milwaukee.

💡 Key Player Insights

St. Louis Cardinals:
- Alec Burleson: Burleson has been hot, posting a .979 OPS over the last 7 days and a .884 OPS over the last 28 days. He has also excelled against right-handers with an OPS of .870 this season.

Miami Marlins:
- Kyle Stowers: Stowers has been on fire with a 1.315 OPS over the last 28 days and a 1.274 OPS over the last 7 days. He has torched right-handers with a 1.007 OPS this season.

💰 Betting Insight

Lean: Over 9.5 Total Runs
- Reasoning: Both starting pitchers have shown vulnerabilities recently, with Gray allowing 14 earned runs in his last two starts and Alcantara holding a season ERA of 6.66. The Cardinals' offense has been potent in recent wins, and the Marlins have shown they can score in bunches as well.

Lean: Cardinals ML
- Reasoning: Despite Gray's recent struggles, the Cardinals have a strong home record (32-22) and have shown offensive prowess in recent games. The Marlins' inconsistency and Alcantara's struggles make the Cardinals a favorable pick.

✅ Final Summary

The Cardinals' offensive form and home advantage, combined with the Marlins' pitching inconsistencies, make St. Louis a solid choice. Recommendation: Back the Cardinals to win.

🕒 Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals at Daikin Park

🔥 Starting Pitchers

Houston Astros: Jason Alexander
- 2025 Stats: 1-1, 8.14 ERA, 1.90 WHIP, 21.0 IP, 28 H, 21 R, 19 ER, 12 BB, 14 SO, 4 HR
- Recent Outings:
- vs. ATH: 6.0 IP, 5 ER, 11 H, 2 BB, 3 SO, 1 HR
- @LAD: 3.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 2 SO
- @ATH: 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 SO

Washington Nationals: Michael Soroka
- 2025 Stats: 3-8, 4.85 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 78.0 IP, 64 H, 42 R, 42 ER, 24 BB, 83 SO, 10 HR
- Recent Outings:
- vs. CIN: 5.2 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 6 SO
- vs. SDP: 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 3 SO
- @STL: 4.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 SO

📈 Team Form

Houston Astros (60-46)
- Last 5 Games:
- L vs. WSN 1-2
- L vs. ATH 1-7
- L vs. ATH 1-5
- L vs. ATH 3-15
- L vs. ATH 2-5

The Astros have lost their last five games, struggling offensively with only 8 runs scored in total.

Washington Nationals (44-62)
- Last 5 Games:
- W vs. HOU 2-1
- W vs. MIN 7-2
- W vs. MIN 9-3
- L vs. MIN 0-1
- L vs. CIN 0-5

The Nationals have won three of their last five, showing improved offensive output with 18 runs in their wins.

💡 Key Player Insights

Houston Astros
- Jose Altuve: Altuve has been a bright spot with a 1.015 OPS over the last 28 days, including 17 home runs this season. He has been particularly effective against right-handers with an .819 OPS.

Washington Nationals
- Josh Bell: Bell has been heating up with a .918 OPS over the last 28 days. His performance against right-handed pitchers has been strong, posting a .767 OPS.

💰 Betting Insight

- Lean: Nationals ML
Soroka has shown consistency in his recent starts, allowing just 2 earned runs over his last 10.2 innings. Meanwhile, Alexander has struggled significantly, with an 8.14 ERA and poor recent form. The Nationals' recent offensive surge and Soroka's steadiness give them an edge.

- Lean: Under 8.5 Total
Despite the Astros' offensive potential, their recent scoring struggles combined with Soroka's solid pitching suggest a lower-scoring affair. The Nationals have also been involved in several low-scoring games recently.

✅ Final Summary

The Nationals' recent form and Soroka's reliable pitching make them a solid pick. Recommendation: Back the Nationals ML for value.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers Preview

Date: July 29, 2025
Time: 01:38
Venue: Angel Stadium

🔥 Starting Pitchers

Yusei Kikuchi (LAA)
- 2025 Record: 4-7
- ERA: 3.23
- WHIP: 1.40
- Last 3 Starts:
- vs. SEA: 4.2 IP, 3 ER, 2 BB, 4 SO, 2 HR
- @PHI: 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 BB, 8 SO, 0 HR
- vs. ARI: 5.2 IP, 3 ER, 1 BB, 5 SO, 2 HR

Kikuchi has allowed 4 home runs in his last three starts, indicating a vulnerability to the long ball.

Patrick Corbin (TEX)
- 2025 Record: 6-7
- ERA: 3.78
- WHIP: 1.27
- Last 3 Starts:
- vs. ATH: 5.2 IP, 1 ER, 0 BB, 7 SO, 0 HR
- vs. DET: 5.2 IP, 0 ER, 2 BB, 6 SO, 0 HR
- @LAA: 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 2 BB, 6 SO, 1 HR

Corbin has been effective recently, allowing just 3 earned runs over his last 16.1 innings.

📈 Team Form

Los Angeles Angels (52-55, 4th in AL West, 8.0 GB)
- Last 5 Games:
- W vs. TEX, 6-4
- W @ SEA, 4-1
- L @ SEA, 2-7
- W @ SEA, 3-2
- L @ SEA, 2-4
- Summary: The Angels have won 3 of their last 5, showing resilience against divisional opponents.

Texas Rangers (56-51, 3rd in AL West, 4.0 GB)
- Last 5 Games:
- L @ LAA, 4-6
- W @ ATL, 8-1
- W @ ATL, 6-5
- W @ ATL, 8-3
- W @ ATH, 2-1

The Rangers have been hot, winning 4 of their last 5, with strong offensive performances.

💡 Key Player Insights

Los Angeles Angels
- Mike Trout (RF): Trout has been a consistent force with a .908 OPS over the last 28 days, and a .785 OPS in the last week, making him a key threat against Corbin.

Texas Rangers
- Corey Seager (SS): Seager has been on fire with a 1.085 OPS over the last 28 days and a 1.131 OPS in the last week. He also boasts a career OPS of .917 against Kikuchi, making him a pivotal player for the Rangers.

💰 Betting Insight

- Lean: Rangers ML
The Rangers have been in excellent form, winning 8 of their last 10 games. Patrick Corbin's recent performances have been solid, and with Corey Seager's hot streak, the Rangers have the edge.

- Lean: Over 8.5 Total
With Kikuchi's recent home run issues and both teams showing offensive capabilities, the over on the total runs is appealing.

✅ Final Summary

The Texas Rangers, riding a wave of strong performances and with Patrick Corbin's recent effectiveness, are positioned to take advantage of Yusei Kikuchi's struggles with the long ball. Recommendation: Rangers ML.

Mets vs. Padres Preview: July 29, 2025, at Petco Park

🔥 Starting Pitchers
New York Mets: Sean Manaea
- 2025 Stats: 1-1, 2.19 ERA, 1.05 WHIP
- Recent Outings:
- vs. LAA: 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 5 SO, 1 HR
- vs. CIN: 4.0 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 6 SO, 1 HR
- @KCR: 3.1 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 7 SO, 0 HR

Manaea has been effective, allowing only 3 earned runs over his last 12.1 innings, with 18 strikeouts and 2 home runs.

San Diego Padres: Starting pitcher not yet announced

📈 Team Form (Last 5 Games)
San Diego Padres:
- Jul 29 vs. NYM: W 7-6
- Jul 27 @ STL: W 9-2
- Jul 26 @ STL: W 3-1
- Jul 25 @ STL: L 0-3
- Jul 24 @ STL: L 7-9

The Padres have won 3 of their last 5 games, showing strong offensive performances with an average of 5.2 runs per game in wins.

New York Mets:
- Jul 29 @ SDP: L 6-7
- Jul 27 @ SFG: W 5-3
- Jul 27 @ SFG: W 2-1
- Jul 26 @ SFG: W 8-1
- Jul 23 @ LAA: W 6-3

The Mets have won 4 of their last 5, demonstrating resilience and averaging 5.4 runs per game in victories.

💡 Key Player Insights
San Diego Padres:
- Manny Machado: Machado has been on fire with a 1.322 OPS over the last 7 days and a 1.003 OPS over the last 28 days. Historically, he has a .926 OPS against Manaea, making him a key threat in this matchup.

New York Mets:
- Francisco Alvarez: Alvarez boasts a 1.142 OPS over the last 28 days and a 1.047 OPS over the last 7 days, indicating he's in excellent form and a potential game-changer for the Mets.

💰 Betting Insight
- Lean: Over 8.5 Total Runs
With both teams showing strong offensive performances recently and the Padres lacking a confirmed starting pitcher, the over on total runs seems promising. The Mets have been scoring consistently, and the Padres have shown they can put up runs, especially at home.

- Lean: Padres ML
The Padres have a solid home record (32-18) and have shown resilience in close games (23-16 in one-run games). With Machado in top form and the Mets' bullpen potentially vulnerable late, backing the Padres at home is a viable option.

✅ Final Summary
Given the Padres' strong home performance and Machado's hot streak, the Padres ML is a confident recommendation, especially with the Mets' recent bullpen struggles.

San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

Date & Time: July 29, 2025, 01:45
Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA

🔥 Starting Pitchers

San Francisco Giants: Justin Verlander
- 2025 Record: 1-8
- ERA: 4.70
- Last 3 Starts:
- @ATL: 5.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 5 BB, 3 SO, 0 HR
- @TOR: 2.2 IP, 9 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 0 SO, 0 HR
- PHI: 6.0 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 7 SO, 1 HR

Verlander has shown inconsistency, particularly with control, walking 5 in his last outing against Atlanta despite not allowing any runs.

Pittsburgh Pirates: Bailey Falter
- 2025 Record: 7-5
- ERA: 3.82
- Last 3 Starts:
- DET: 7.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 8 SO, 0 HR
- CHW: 4.0 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 2 SO, 2 HR
- @KCR: 4.2 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 3 SO, 2 HR

Falter has been effective in recent outings but has struggled with the long ball, allowing 4 HR in his last two starts.

📈 Team Form

San Francisco Giants (53-53)
- Last 5 Games:
- L vs. PIT 5-6
- L vs. NYM 3-5
- L vs. NYM 1-2
- L vs. NYM 1-8
- W vs. ATL 9-3

The Giants are in a slump, losing four straight and struggling to generate offense, scoring just 10 runs in their last four losses.

Pittsburgh Pirates (45-62)
- Last 5 Games:
- W vs. SFG 6-5
- W vs. ARI 6-0
- W vs. ARI 2-0
- L vs. ARI 0-1
- W vs. DET 6-1

The Pirates have won four of their last five, showcasing strong pitching with two shutouts in that span.

💡 Key Player Insights

San Francisco Giants:
- Matt Chapman: Boasting a 1.277 OPS over the last 7 days, Chapman is a key offensive threat, especially against right-handers with an .831 OPS this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates:
- Tommy Pham: Pham has been on fire, posting a 1.220 OPS over the last 7 days and historically performing well against Verlander with a 1.482 OPS in 8 career plate appearances.

💰 Betting Insight

Lean: Under 8.5 Total Runs

- Reasoning: Both teams have shown recent trends of low-scoring games, particularly the Pirates with two shutouts in their last five. Verlander, despite his struggles, can still limit damage, and Falter has been effective in recent starts. The Giants' offensive struggles further support a lean towards the under.

✅ Final Summary

The Pirates' recent form and Falter's ability to keep games tight make them a solid choice. Given the Giants' offensive woes, lean towards the Pirates to cover the spread as they continue their strong run.

Athletics vs. Mariners Preview

Date & Time: July 29, 2025, 02:05
Venue: Sutter Health Park

🔥 Starting Pitchers

Luis Severino (Athletics)
- 2025 Stats: 4-11, 4.95 ERA, 1.35 WHIP
- Recent Outings:
- @HOU: 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 8 SO, 0 BB
- @CLE: 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 SO, 2 BB
- vs. TOR: 4.2 IP, 1 ER, 8 SO, 2 BB
- Trend: Severino has shown improved control recently, with only 2 walks in his last 12 innings.

Logan Evans (Mariners)
- 2025 Stats: 4-3, 3.64 ERA, 1.40 WHIP
- Recent Outings:
- @LAA: 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 SO, 3 BB
- vs. HOU: 4.0 IP, 2 ER, 5 SO, 3 BB
- @NYY: 4.2 IP, 6 ER, 2 SO, 2 BB
- Trend: Evans has struggled with consistency, allowing 6 ER in his last outing against the Yankees.

📈 Team Form

Athletics (Last 5 Games):
- L vs. Mariners: 1-3
- W @HOU: 7-1
- W @HOU: 5-1
- W @HOU: 15-3
- W @HOU: 5-2

The Athletics have won 4 of their last 5, with a strong offensive showing in Houston, averaging 8.4 runs per game in those wins.

Mariners (Last 5 Games):
- W @Athletics: 3-1
- L @LAA: 1-4
- W @LAA: 7-2
- L @LAA: 2-3
- W @LAA: 4-2

The Mariners have been inconsistent, splitting their last 4 games but securing a win in their latest matchup against the Athletics.

💡 Key Player Insights

Athletics:
- Nick Kurtz: Boasting a stellar 1.052 OPS this season, Kurtz has been on fire recently with a 1.501 OPS over the last 28 days, making him a key offensive threat.

Mariners:
- Cal Raleigh: With a season OPS of .986 and 41 home runs, Raleigh remains a formidable presence at the plate, particularly against left-handers with a 1.158 OPS.

💰 Betting Insight

Lean: Athletics ML

- Reasoning: The Athletics have been hot, winning 4 of their last 5 games with a potent offense. Severino's recent form shows promise, especially with improved control. Meanwhile, Evans has been inconsistent, which could be exploited by the Athletics' lineup.

Lean: Over 8.5 Total Runs

- Reasoning: Both teams have shown the ability to score in bunches recently. With Severino's tendency to allow runs and Evans' recent struggles, the over looks appealing.

✅ Final Summary

The Athletics' recent offensive surge and Severino's improved control make them a solid pick. Recommendation: Athletics ML for a confident play.