Use our free hedge bet calculator below to work out exactly how much to stake on an opposing outcome. Whether you want to lock in guaranteed profit, break even, or secure a custom payout, this tool does the maths for you in seconds.
The hedge bet calculator above helps you manage risk on existing bets by calculating the optimal stake for an opposing wager. It works for parlays, futures, straight bets, and live bets across all major US sports.
The calculator offers three modes to match your goals:
Equal Profit Mode: Lock in the same profit regardless of which bet wins. This is the most common hedging approach when you want guaranteed money either way.
Break-Even Mode: Calculate the exact hedge stake needed to get your original stake back if the hedge wins. You risk nothing beyond your initial outlay while keeping full upside if your original bet hits.
Custom Profit Mode: Specify exactly how much profit you want to guarantee if the hedge wins. This gives you flexibility to balance risk and reward based on your preferences.
Enter your original bet details (stake and odds), then enter the hedge odds available on the opposite outcome. The calculator instantly shows your recommended hedge stake and the resulting profit in each scenario.
This tool is free to use and provides estimates based on the odds you enter. Actual outcomes depend on accurate odds input and successful bet placement. The calculator does not guarantee profits or outcomes.
A hedge bet calculator is a tool that helps bettors determine how much to stake on an opposing outcome to reduce risk or lock in profit on an existing bet. Instead of doing the maths manually, you enter your original bet details and hedge odds, and the calculator tells you exactly what to stake.
Hedging is fundamentally about adjusting your exposure after you have already placed a bet. It differs from simply placing two separate bets because one bet already exists and its outcome affects your overall position.
There are two main reasons bettors hedge:
Guaranteed profit hedging: When the odds have moved in your favour, you can sometimes lock in a profit regardless of which outcome occurs. This happens when the combined implied probabilities of your original bet and available hedge odds create an arbitrage-like opportunity.
Risk reduction hedging: Even when guaranteed profit is not possible, hedging can reduce your potential loss or limit variance. You accept a smaller potential win in exchange for protecting against a total loss.
The alternative to using a calculator is doing the maths yourself. The basic hedge formula requires converting odds to decimal format, calculating potential payouts, and solving for the hedge stake that achieves your goal. While not complex, it is easy to make errors under pressure, especially during live betting when odds change quickly.
Common situations where hedging makes sense include:
| Scenario | Original Bet | Hedge Bet | Original Wins | Hedge Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Hedge | $100 at +200 | None | +$200 profit | -$100 loss |
| Equal Profit Hedge | $100 at +200 | $150 at -150 | +$50 profit | +$50 profit |
Follow these steps to calculate your optimal hedge stake:
Step 1: Enter Your Original Bet Details
Input the stake amount you placed on your original bet and the odds you received. Use American odds format (like +200 or -150). The calculator will show the potential payout if your original bet wins.
Step 2: Enter the Hedge Odds
Find the current odds available on the opposite outcome and enter them. For example, if your original bet was on Team A to win, enter the odds currently available on Team B. These odds may have changed since you placed your original bet.
Step 3: Select Your Hedge Mode
Choose the mode that matches your goal:
Step 4: Review the Results
The calculator displays your recommended hedge stake and shows the profit you will receive in each outcome. Compare these numbers to decide whether hedging makes sense for your situation.
Worked Example 1: Simple Moneyline Hedge
You bet $100 on the Kansas City Chiefs at +200 to win a game. The Chiefs are now leading late in the fourth quarter, and the opposing team is available at +180.
Worked Example 2: Parlay Last Leg Hedge
You have a 4-leg parlay where 3 legs have already won. Your $20 bet now has a potential payout of $450 if the final leg wins. The opposite side of your final leg is available at -120.
Common Pitfalls to Avoid
Entering incorrect odds format is the most common error. Make sure you use American odds consistently. A positive number like +150 means you win $150 on a $100 stake. A negative number like -150 means you must stake $150 to win $100.
Another common mistake is confusing payout with profit. Payout includes your original stake returned, while profit is your net gain. The calculator handles this automatically, but double-check your inputs match what the sportsbook actually shows.
Finally, remember that odds can change between when you check them and when you place the hedge bet. The calculator shows results based on the odds you enter, but you need to act quickly in fast-moving markets.
Hedging a bet means placing a second wager on an opposing outcome to reduce your risk exposure. You are essentially creating a position where you cannot lose as much as you originally risked, and in some cases, you guarantee a profit regardless of outcome.
The basic concept works like this: you have already bet on Outcome A. To hedge, you bet on Outcome B (the opposite). If Outcome A happens, you win your original bet but lose the hedge. If Outcome B happens, you lose the original but win the hedge. By sizing the hedge correctly, you can control exactly how much you make or lose in each scenario.
Simple Two-Way Hedge Example
Game: Lakers vs Celtics
If you do nothing, you win $180 if the Lakers win or lose $100 if the Celtics win. Your variance is $280.
To hedge for equal profit, you would bet approximately $112 on the Celtics at +150. Now your outcomes are:
You have traded potential upside ($180 max) for guaranteed profit ($68 either way).
The Underlying Formula
For those who want to understand the maths, the equal profit hedge formula is:
Hedge Stake = Original Potential Payout / Hedge Decimal Odds
Converting American odds to decimal: for positive odds, decimal = 1 + (odds/100). For negative odds, decimal = 1 + (100/absolute value of odds).
You do not need to calculate this manually. The hedge bet calculator handles all conversions and calculations automatically.
Why People Hedge
The primary motivations for hedging include:
Locking in profit: When odds have shifted in your favour, hedging lets you secure guaranteed money. This is especially valuable with large payouts where the difference between winning big and winning nothing feels significant.
Reducing stress: Some bettors find it difficult to watch games where they have large amounts at stake. Hedging removes the anxiety by guaranteeing a positive outcome either way.
Managing bankroll: If your potential payout is a large percentage of your total bankroll, hedging reduces concentration risk. Professional bettors often hedge to maintain consistent bankroll growth rather than accepting high-variance swings.
Changing circumstances: Sometimes new information (injuries, weather, lineup changes) makes you less confident in your original pick. Hedging lets you reduce exposure without fully abandoning your position.
Remember that hedging is always a choice, not an obligation. The next section helps you decide when hedging makes sense and when you should let your bet ride.
| Scenario | If Original Wins | If Original Loses | Variance |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Hedge | +$180 | -$100 | $280 |
| Equal Profit Hedge | +$68 | +$68 | $0 |
| Partial Hedge | +$120 | +$20 | $100 |
Deciding whether to hedge requires balancing mathematical expectation against personal utility. Here is a framework to help you make that decision.
When Hedging Usually Makes Sense
Consider hedging when any of these factors apply:
Large payout relative to bankroll: If your potential win represents 20% or more of your total betting bankroll, hedging reduces concentration risk. A $10 parlay that could pay $2,000 might be worth hedging if your bankroll is $5,000.
Life-changing or emotionally significant amounts: When the payout would meaningfully impact your finances or cause significant stress, the utility of guaranteed money often outweighs the mathematical cost. There is nothing wrong with locking in a vacation fund or paying off a bill.
Uncertain final leg: If your parlay comes down to a game you feel is genuinely 50/50 or where you have lost confidence in your original pick, hedging makes mathematical sense too.
Changed circumstances: Injuries, weather, or lineup changes after you placed your bet might shift the probabilities. Hedging lets you adjust your position based on new information.
When Hedging Usually Does Not Make Sense
Avoid hedging in these situations:
Small stakes: Transaction costs (time, effort, vig) make hedging small bets inefficient. If your $20 parlay might pay $200, the potential hedge profit is often not worth the effort.
Consistently giving up edge: If you have identified positive expected value (+EV) bets, frequent hedging erodes that edge over time. Sharp bettors rarely hedge because they trust their process.
Emotional hedging: Making impulsive decisions because you are nervous about a game often leads to poor outcomes. If you would not hedge based on the numbers alone, your emotions might be misleading you.
Unfavourable hedge odds: Sometimes the available hedge odds are so poor that hedging locks in a loss or tiny profit. Always run the calculator before deciding.
Expected Value vs Utility
This distinction matters for understanding hedging decisions.
Expected Value (EV) is the mathematical average outcome if you could run the same scenario infinite times. If you have a +EV bet and hedge it, you reduce your long-term expected profit.
Utility is the personal value you derive from an outcome. For most people, the utility of avoiding a $1,000 loss is greater than the utility of winning $1,000. This is called risk aversion, and it is completely rational.
Hedging is often negative EV but positive utility. There is no shame in choosing utility over EV, especially for recreational bettors who do not have infinite bankrolls or emotional detachment.
For deeper exploration of expected value concepts, see our Expected Value (EV) betting guide.
Decision Checklist
Consider hedging if 3 or more of these apply:
Consider letting it ride if:
Parlays create uniquely attractive hedging opportunities because small stakes can generate large payouts. When your parlay is one leg away from hitting, the hedge calculator becomes especially valuable.
Why Parlays Create Hedging Opportunities
A $20 parlay at +2000 pays $420 if all legs hit. If three of four legs have already won, that $20 ticket now has significant expected value. The question becomes: do you risk letting the final leg determine everything, or do you lock in some profit?
The maths often favours hedging with parlays because:
Last Leg Hedging
This is the most common parlay hedge scenario. Your multi-leg parlay has won all but the final game, and you want to guarantee profit.
Example: 4-leg NFL parlay, first 3 legs won
Using Equal Profit mode, you would hedge approximately $218 on Dolphins +3 at -110. Your outcomes become:
Wait, those profits are not equal. That is because your effective odds changed during the parlay. The calculator handles this correctly when you enter your potential payout as the effective original stake calculation. For parlay hedges, enter your total potential payout and work backwards.
Partial Hedges
You do not have to hedge for equal profit. Some bettors prefer partial hedges that reduce downside while keeping more upside.
Using the same example, a smaller hedge of $100 might give you:
You still profit either way but have more riding on your original pick.
Same Game Parlay Hedging
Same game parlays (SGPs) present unique challenges for hedging because the outcomes within a single game are correlated. You cannot always find a clean opposite outcome.
For example, if your SGP includes "Patrick Mahomes over 275 passing yards" and "Chiefs win," you cannot hedge just the Mahomes prop independently because it is tied to the game outcome.
Options for SGP hedging include:
SGP hedges are more complex, and the available odds are often less favourable because sportsbooks build extra margin into SGP pricing.
For fundamentals on how parlays work, see our parlay betting guide.
Parlay Hedging Pros and Cons
| Pros | Cons |
|---|---|
| Lock in meaningful profit from small stakes | Reduces maximum potential payout |
| Eliminates variance on final leg | Hedge vig eats into profit |
| Reduces emotional stress | May give up +EV edge on final leg |
| Converts parlay luck into guaranteed money | Transaction costs for small amounts |
Futures bets create natural hedging opportunities as events progress. A Super Bowl futures ticket placed in August becomes increasingly valuable as your team advances through the playoffs, creating multiple hedge decision points.
Why Futures Are Prime Hedge Candidates
Futures pricing changes dramatically as events unfold. A team you backed at +2000 to win the championship might be +150 by the conference finals. This shift creates significant embedded value that hedging can extract.
Key characteristics that make futures attractive for hedging:
NFL Futures Hedging Example
Scenario: You bet $100 on the Detroit Lions to win the Super Bowl at +3000 in August. They make it to the Super Bowl, and the opponent is available at +130.
Results:
The hedge stake seems large, but remember your original $100 has effectively become a $3,100 position. Locking in approximately $1,700 guaranteed profit from a $100 bet is an excellent outcome.
March Madness Futures Hedging
College basketball futures create similar opportunities but with faster timelines. A Final Four futures bet placed in February might need hedge decisions within weeks rather than months.
Scenario: $50 on a team to win the National Championship at +4000. They make the Final Four, and their semifinal opponent is available at +180.
You have multiple decision points:
The optimal approach depends on your risk tolerance and how the odds evolve. Some bettors prefer hedging in stages, taking partial profits at each round.
NBA and MLB Playoff Futures
These sports offer series-based hedging opportunities where you can hedge individual games or series outcomes.
For a Conference Finals futures bet, you might:
Series hedging is more complex because the number of games is uncertain. A team down 3-1 has different hedge dynamics than a team up 3-1.
Tax and Accounting Considerations
Futures hedging creates tax complexity in the US:
This means a "guaranteed profit" hedge might result in different tax treatment depending on which outcome occurs. If your original bet wins, you report that win and the hedge loss separately.
For large futures positions, consult a tax professional before hedging. The after-tax outcomes might differ from what the calculator shows.
Our betting calculators hub includes tools for various calculation needs across your betting activity.
Understanding how hedging relates to other risk management strategies helps you choose the right approach for each situation.
Hedging Existing Bets
Hedging applies to bets you have already placed. The odds have moved, circumstances have changed, or you simply want to manage your exposure. You use the hedge calculator to determine optimal stake on the opposing outcome.
Key characteristics:
Pre-Bet Arbitrage
Arbitrage (arbing) means betting both sides of a market before either bet is placed to guarantee profit regardless of outcome. Unlike hedging, arbitrage does not require an existing position, you create both legs simultaneously.
Use our arbitrage calculator when you find odds discrepancies across sportsbooks that allow guaranteed profit before any outcome occurs.
For comprehensive arbitrage strategy, see our arbitrage betting guide.
Cash Out Features
Most sportsbooks offer Cash Out buttons that let you close positions early. This is convenient but typically offers worse value than manual hedging.
The "Cash Out tax" refers to the extra margin sportsbooks build into Cash Out offers. They calculate what your bet is worth and then reduce it by 5-15% (sometimes more) before showing you the offer.
Cash Out vs Manual Hedge Comparison
| Factor | Cash Out | Manual Hedge |
|---|---|---|
| Convenience | One click | Requires second bet |
| Value | Usually worse | Usually better |
| Speed | Instant | Depends on market |
| Availability | Same book only | Any book with market |
| Partial options | Sometimes | Full flexibility |
Worked Example: Cash Out vs Manual Hedge
Your $50 parlay has potential payout of $800. Three legs have won, one remains. The sportsbook offers $500 Cash Out.
Manual hedge calculation:
Average manual hedge profit: approximately $345
The Cash Out offers $500 minus $50 original stake = $450 profit (guaranteed, but you give up potential $800).
In this example, the Cash Out is actually competitive. But often the Cash Out offers significantly less than manual hedging would yield. Always run the calculator before accepting Cash Out.
Middle Betting
Middles occur when you can bet both sides of a market with different lines, creating a range where both bets can win. This goes beyond simple hedging into advanced territory.
Example: You bet Chiefs -3.5 at -110. Later, the opponent is available at +4.5 at -110. If the Chiefs win by exactly 4 points, both bets win.
Middle betting strategy involves intentionally seeking these opportunities. See our middle betting strategy guide for advanced techniques.
When to Use Each Approach
| Situation | Best Tool |
|---|---|
| Found odds discrepancy before betting | Arbitrage Calculator |
| Have existing bet, want to reduce risk | Hedge Calculator |
| Need to close position instantly | Cash Out |
| Lines have moved creating overlapping range | Middle opportunity |
Once you understand basic hedging, several advanced techniques can improve your results.
Live Betting Hedges
Live betting creates dynamic hedging opportunities as odds change throughout a game. A bet that looked like a sure loss might become hedgeable if momentum shifts.
Advantages of live hedging:
Challenges:
The hedge calculator works the same way for live bets. Enter your current position and the live odds available on the opposite outcome.
Creating Middle Opportunities
Middles happen when line movement creates overlapping winning ranges. While you should not force middles, recognizing opportunities adds value.
Example: Monday morning you bet Eagles -2.5 at -110. By game time, the line has moved to Eagles -4.5. You can now bet the opponent at +4.5 at -110.
The middle range means you have a "freeroll" on specific outcomes. Even if you break even on most results, hitting the middle creates bonus profit.
For detailed middle betting strategy, see our middle betting strategy guide.
Multi-Book Hedging
Having accounts at multiple sportsbooks improves hedging outcomes:
Always check odds across books before placing hedge bets. A few points of better odds can meaningfully impact your guaranteed profit.
Hedging in Stages
For futures and long parlays, staged hedging reduces timing risk. Instead of one large hedge, you take partial profits at multiple decision points.
Example approach for NFL futures:
This approach balances locking in profit with maintaining upside exposure.
Risk Management Principles
Advanced hedging requires discipline:
| Line Movement | Original Bet | Hedge Bet | Middle Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 points | Team A -2.5 | Team B +5.5 | A wins by 3, 4, or 5 |
Even experienced bettors make hedging errors. Recognizing these common mistakes helps you avoid them.
Hedging Too Early and Too Often
Some bettors hedge every winning position out of anxiety. This erodes value over time because you consistently give up upside and pay extra vig on hedge bets.
Better approach: Set clear criteria for when hedging makes sense and stick to them. Not every profitable position needs hedging.
Entering Incorrect Odds or Stakes
The calculator is only as accurate as your inputs. Common errors include:
Better approach: Double-check all inputs before acting. Verify odds are current by refreshing your sportsbook page.
Ignoring Fees, Limits, and Tax
Hedging calculations assume you can actually place the recommended bet. Reality includes:
Better approach: Know your limits at each sportsbook. For large hedges, consider splitting across multiple books. Factor tax implications into significant decisions.
Hedging Emotionally
Making hedge decisions based on nervousness rather than numbers usually results in poor outcomes. You might hedge bets you should let ride or skip hedges that make mathematical sense.
Better approach: Run the calculator before every hedge decision. If the numbers support hedging, proceed. If they do not, trust your original analysis.
Treating Hedging as a Guaranteed System
Hedging is a tool for managing individual positions, not a strategy for beating sportsbooks long-term. You cannot hedge your way to consistent profit without underlying edge.
Better approach: Focus on making good original bets. Use hedging selectively for position management, not as your primary strategy.
Forgetting About Correlation
In SGPs and props, outcomes are often correlated. Hedging one leg might not provide the protection you expect because other legs are affected by the same factors.
Better approach: Understand how your parlay legs relate to each other. For correlated outcomes, consider hedging the overall game result rather than individual props.
Chasing After Missing a Hedge Opportunity
If you decided not to hedge and the situation worsens, avoid panic hedging at worse odds. Chasing leads to compounding errors.
Better approach: Accept that some decisions will look wrong in hindsight. Make the best decision with available information at each decision point, then move on.
| Mistake | Better Approach |
|---|---|
| Hedging every position | Set criteria and be selective |
| Wrong odds format | Double-check American vs decimal |
| Ignoring limits | Know your book limits in advance |
| Emotional decisions | Run the calculator first |
| Viewing hedge as system | Focus on original bet quality |
What is a hedge bet calculator and how does it work?
A hedge bet calculator determines how much to stake on an opposing outcome to lock in profit or reduce risk on an existing bet. You enter your original bet details (stake and odds), the available hedge odds, and select your goal (equal profit, break-even, or custom profit). The calculator instantly shows your recommended hedge stake and the resulting profit in each scenario.
How do I use a hedge bet calculator to lock in profit?
Enter your original stake and odds, then enter the current odds available on the opposite outcome. Select Equal Profit mode to see the stake that guarantees the same profit regardless of which bet wins. The calculator handles all the maths, including odds conversion and payout calculations.
When should you hedge a bet and when should you let it ride?
Consider hedging when the potential payout is large relative to your bankroll, when guaranteed profit would meaningfully impact your finances, or when you have lost confidence in your original pick. Let it ride when stakes are small, when you still believe your bet has positive expected value, or when available hedge odds are unfavourable.
Should I hedge the last leg of my parlay?
It depends on the potential payout, your confidence in the final leg, and available hedge odds. Use the calculator to see what profit you can lock in versus what you might win by letting it ride. Many bettors find that hedging large parlay payouts provides peace of mind worth the reduced maximum win.
How much should I hedge on a big futures ticket?
The calculator determines exact amounts, but consider staged hedging for futures. You might hedge 20-40% of your position at each playoff round rather than waiting until the final game. This balances profit locking with maintaining upside exposure as your team advances.
Is hedging profitable in sports betting over the long term?
Hedging itself does not create long-term profit. It is a risk management tool that reduces variance on individual positions. Consistent profit requires finding positive expected value bets. Hedging helps manage those positions but does not replace the need for edge in your original selections.
Can you hedge a same game parlay?
Yes, but with limitations. You can hedge the overall game outcome (betting the opponent moneyline), but you cannot easily hedge individual props within an SGP because they are correlated. SGP hedging is more complex, and available odds are often less favourable due to built-in SGP margins.
Is hedging legal and can sportsbooks limit or ban me for it?
Hedging is completely legal in regulated US sports betting markets. However, sportsbooks may limit accounts that show patterns suggesting arbitrage or professional betting. Standard hedging of parlays and futures typically does not trigger restrictions, but accounts placing many hedge-like bets across books might face reduced limits.
What is the difference between a hedge calculator and an arbitrage calculator?
A hedge calculator helps manage existing bets by determining hedge stakes on opposing outcomes. An arbitrage calculator finds opportunities to bet both sides of a market before placing any bets, guaranteeing profit from odds discrepancies. Hedging requires an existing position while arbitrage creates positions simultaneously.
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