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CLE
PIT
Game Preview
Cleveland, at 3, 12, is already out of playoff contention. However, they’ll play the role of spoiler behind rookie quarterback Shedeur Sanders. He’s shown flashes but faces a tough test against a Steelers defense that thrives on confusing young QBs. With key injuries in the Browns’ backfield, Sanders may have to carry more of the load than he’s ready for.
The Steelers come in with a surging run game, led by Jaylen Warren. Their offensive identity has shifted toward ball control and physicality. On defense, Pittsburgh will look to pressure Sanders and force turnovers. T.J. Watt's status is still in question, and his availability could swing how aggressive they can be.
This matchup pits a playoff-hungry team against a prideful home underdog. With a low total set at 34.5 points and a spread of Steelers -3.0, oddsmakers expect a tight, physical game.
Current Season Form
CLE
AwayPIT
HomeHead-to-Head Summary
Past Results
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | vs BUF | L 20-23 | L -10.5 | o41.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ CHI | L 3-31 | L 7.5 | u38.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | vs TEN | L 29-31 | W +4.5 | o33.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs SF | L 8-26 | L -5.5 | u35.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ LV | W 24-10 | W +3.0 | u35.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs BAL | L 16-23 | L -7.5 | o37.5 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ NYJ | L 20-27 | L -1.5 | o37.5 |
| 2025-10-26 | @ NE | L 13-32 | L 7.0 | o40.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | vs MIA | W 31-6 | W +2.5 | o34.5 |
| 2025-10-12 | @ PIT | L 9-23 | L 5.5 | u37.5 |
Key Insights
- Steelers force turnovers at a top-tier rate (86th percentile) and face a rookie QB prone to holding the ball.
- Cleveland ranks near the bottom in third-down conversion (34.3%), which could stall drives if the run game falters.
- Pittsburgh boasts elite red-zone efficiency, scoring TDs on 63.6% of trips (94th percentile).
- Steelers operate slowly, ranking in the 6th percentile in plays per minute, which often leads to fewer possessions.
- Cleveland’s pass rush is elite, ranking in the 97th percentile in sack rate. They’ll test Pittsburgh’s improving O-line.
- Browns’ offense struggles on long drives, converting just 65% (3rd percentile), limiting comeback potential.
Betting Insights
Final Summary
The Browns will rely on pride, home crowd energy, and Myles Garrett to keep this close. But their offensive flaws, especially on third down and in long drives, make it hard to trust them for four quarters.
The spread of Steelers -3.0 shows respect for Cleveland’s spoiler potential, but Pittsburgh’s run game and playoff focus give them the edge. The low total of 34.5 reflects the expected pace and style. If you're betting this one, consider props tied to the ground game and turnovers.
Expect a tough, physical matchup with postseason implications, and not many fireworks.
Statistical Battle Boards
OffenseDefense| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Points | 274 | #12 | 244 | #21 | |
| Total Points Per Game | 24.9 | #11 | 22.2 | #13 | |
| Total Touchdowns | 30 | #13 | 26 | #13 | 🏈 |
| Passing Touchdowns | 21 | #7 | 17 | #18 | |
| Rushing Touchdowns | 7 | #24 | 5 | #3 | |
| Other Touchdowns | 2 | #7 | 4 | #32 | |
| Total Kicking Points | 86 | #11 | 86 | #12 | |
| Total Two Point Conversions | 1 | #17 | 0 | #26 | |
| Kick Extra Points | 29 | #9 | 26 | #12 | |
OffenseDefense| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Passing Yards | 2146 | #23 | 1878 | #31 | |
| Net Passing Yards Per Game | 195 | #22 | 171 | #31 | |
| Passer Rating | 97.7 | #11 | 92.5 | #16 | |
| Passing Attempts | 338 | #23 | 304 | #2 | |
| Completions | 230 | #19 | 199 | #30 | |
| Completion Percentage | 68 | #9 | 65.5 | #19 | |
| Passing 1st downs | 101 | #27 | 101 | #6 | |
| Passing 1st Down % | 52.1 | #26 | 57.1 | #18 | |
| Longest Pass | 80 | #4 | 45 | #31 | |
| Passing Fumbles Lost | 3 | #14 | 1 | #24 | |
| Receiving Targets | 320 | #26 | 295 | #30 | |
| Receptions | 230 | #19 | 199 | #3 | |
| Receiving Yards After Catch | 1539 | #3 | 1094 | #10 | |
| YAC Average | 6.7 | #1 | 5.5 | #26 | |
OffenseDefense| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 1068 | #27 | 1125 | #11 | |
| Rushing Yards Per Game | 97.1 | #27 | 102 | #21 | |
| Rushing Attempts | 265 | #26 | 296 | #19 | |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt | 4 | #24 | 3.8 | #30 | |
| Rushing 1st downs | 71 | #22 | 57 | #6 | |
| 20+ Yard Rushing Plays | 4 | #26 | 10 | #5 | |
| Long Rushing | 55 | #14 | 59 | #13 | |
| Rushing Fumbles | 4 | #26 | 10 | #5 | |
| Rushing Fumbles Lost | 0 | #25 | 3 | #5 | |
Game Preview of Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns. Week 17 of 2025 NFL Season
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