Manchester United are once again dipping deep into the transfer market, this time splashing a reported £74 million on Benjamin Sesko from RB Leipzig. The tall, rapid Slovenian striker has a taste for long-range rockets and a decent first touch, though his sophomore season in the Bundesliga left fans wondering if the hype is deserved. Still, United seem confident they’ve found their new No. 9, possibly the missing piece of a misfiring attack that’s been more spectacle than substance.
In terms of betting angles, Sesko’s arrival could boost United’s goalscoring props, especially when paired with the likes of Bruno Fernandes, Bryan Mbeumo, and Matheus Cunha. All three love a speculative shot, so if nothing else, expect United to lead the league in shots from outside the box—and possibly row Z appearances. We should ask our friends at the betting operators to start introducing row z markets!
But there’s a deeper concern. If Bruno drops into midfield alongside a less-mobile partner like Casemiro or the unproven Kobbie Mainoo, expect vulnerability in transition. United may score, but they’ll leak goals too. Early season over/unders could be a goldmine for savvy punters.
Over at Newcastle, it’s less of a transfer window and more of a cookout catastrophe. Star striker Alexander Isak has reportedly been separated from the squad and even banned from a team barbecue. That’s one way to cool transfer speculation—but is it sustainable?
The Magpies had set their sights on Sesko too, but with United winning that race, Newcastle might pivot to Chelsea’s Nicolas Jackson. Sesko picking Man U over Newcastle was compared by Rory Jennings on Talksport recently as "water is also wet"! No one is questioning Newcastle's ambition but they are clearly struggling to get statement transfers over the line. And with no sporting director and Eddie Howe juggling coaching and recruitment, Newcastle’s planning seems more reactive than strategic.
PSR (Profit and Sustainability Rules) are the latest villain in the Toon soap opera. But blaming the rules doesn’t explain the lack of structure behind the scenes. Until Newcastle get their boardroom in order, expect more chaotic windows and a squad that flatters to deceive. For bettors, it might be wise to fade Newcastle in futures markets unless they pull off a miraculous late swing. Still expect them to be competitive, but what should have been a really exciting start of the season, you assume Newcastle fans are feeling a little flat right now. And maybe, just maybe, Elanga should have stayed where he was?!
Aston Villa made a respectable, if unglamorous, move by signing Evann Guessand from Nice for £26 million plus add-ons. The forward bagged 12 goals and 8 assists last season—not exactly elite numbers, but solid squad depth behind Ollie Watkins, who’s carried the load for too long.
From a wagering perspective, Guessand won’t move any outright markets but could be a sneaky pick for cup match anytime goalscorer bets or rotational starts in the Europa League. Villa’s squad is shaping up nicely, and while Guessand isn’t a headline grabber, he’s a valuable puzzle piece. We'll know more after the first few games on how and when Villa will utilise their new man.
The Championship season has begun, and the subplot is juicier than a Wrexham docuseries. Birmingham, bolstered by American investment and the signing of Celtic talisman Kyogo Furuhashi, are positioning themselves as more than just a mid-table mainstay. Has anyone watched the Birmingham documentary yet? I think I'm actually over the format after Sunderland and Wrexham did their versions. And with the leagues returning, I'm no longer struggling for things to watch so it will be a long time before I have to consider watching TB12 explain how he's a winner to people who have no idea who he is!
Meanwhile, Wrexham continue their Hollywood rise, adding proven goal-getter Kieffer Moore and midfield dynamo Lewis O’Brien. Wrexham are an intriguing underdog in the promotion race. Backing them for a playoff spot might not be as far-fetched as it sounds, especially given the momentum (and money) behind them. Birmingham, too, could offer value in top-six markets, with Tom Wagner’s ambitions turning heads—and possibly match results.
Villarreal raised eyebrows by signing Thomas Partey amid ongoing legal issues. While that situation remains murky, the Yellow Submarine look eager to reinforce midfield steel. Over in Scotland, Rangers are off to a flying start in Champions League qualifiers, with young Jadee Gasana continuing his electric form. Four goals in four games should have bookmakers reassessing Rangers’ European prospects. Rangers will be interesting this year. Russel Martin tends to start slow with new teams and get better over the season. There might be a few opportunities in their early games. We'll see!
Meanwhile, Benfica’s routine 2-0 win over Nice adds another feather to their cap in what could be a deep Champions League run. Keep an eye on them in outright and group qualification markets.
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Friday’s Championship opener between Birmingham City and Ipswich Town promises a thrilling contest with Ipswich as tempting underdogs despite their relegation. Birmingham’s strong promotion form faces Ipswich’s seasoned squad, making the betting market intriguing. Other key matches include Coventry’s solid home bet against Hull, Watford’s value opportunity at Charlton, Derby’s hopeful underdog status at Stoke, and a goal-fest expected in Norwich vs Millwall.