Premier League Week 10 Odds: Previews, Best Bets, and Analysis

Premier League Week 10 Odds: Best Bets

• Man City vs. Southampton: Man City wins both halves, +100 at PointsBet 
• Man City vs. Southampton: Haaland to score 2 or more goals, +140 at BetMGM
• Arsenal vs. Liverpool: Both teams to score, -175 at Caesars
• Arsenal vs. Liverpool: Draw, +265 at Caesars
• Everton vs. Man Utd: Man Utd to win, +100 at PointsBet
• Everton vs. Man Utd: Under 2.5 goals, -105 @ PointsBet  

Goals, goals, more goals, and draws

Drawn fixtures and goals have been the story of the 2022/23 EPL season thus far. Through nine scheduled weeks of play (eight played due to a postponed game week), no team outside the top six standings has more than three wins. In the meantime, a whopping 45 matches have ended in stalemates. Of course, this doesn't mean there haven’t been goals, as evidenced by Gameday 9, whose ten fixtures delivered 36 goals. 

As squad defenses have looked frail and final-third opportunities have consistently been cashed in, let’s get right into our Premier League Week 10 predictions and find some betting value.  

Premier League Week 10 Predictions

Southampton vs Man City Prediction

Southampton @ Manchester City - Saturday, October 8 at 10:00 am ET, on Peacock Premium

Following a complete dismantling of the Red Devils in the Manchester Derby last weekend, Pep Guardiola & Co - correction, Erling Haaland & Co - are arguably the most dominant squad on the planet. Haaland, 22, is making a mockery of the Premier League’s Golden Boot race. The Premier League's top scorer has netted an incredible 14 goals through eight matches, double the tally of his closest competition, Tottenham's Harry Kane. Haaland is also sailing toward the European golden boot, as his scoring tally is the highest in all of Europe's top five leagues. The Manchester City superstar has a shooting accuracy of 58%. He has scored three hat-tricks in eight league matches in England. He is averaging 1.91 goals per game! 

The spotlight is beaming on Haaland, and rightfully so. However, his supporting cast, both offensively and defensively, has been outstanding. Kevin De Bruyne is averaging one assist per game, and Phil Foden has significantly improved his shooting accuracy by 17% from 2021.  

Defensively, City has allowed just one goal per game on average, and three of those eight came against Manchester United, with the match long since decided. Outside of the Manchester Derby, the Citizens have made it incredibly difficult for teams to find the back of the net. 

In contrast, the Saints have run hot and cold during the 2022/23 campaign. It's simple to understand why Ralph Hasenhüttl’s Southampton team is currently in 16th position when reviewing the table above. They're conceding almost twice the number of shots on target as City and managing an impressive number of interceptions primarily because they often don’t have possession and are facing oncoming attacks.

Saturday's meeting at the Etihad Stadium looks like a routine victory for Manchester City. Of course, sportsbooks aren't going to hand us a smidgen of value on the EPL’s last undefeated team at home against an underwhelming Southampton side. However, the Citizens have won both halves of play in three of their previous four EPL home games. This makes our Premier League Week 10 predictions simple – the home side will take the lead early, win the first half, and repeat a game-winning effort in the final 45 minutes. 

Premier League Week 10 Prediction: Recommended Bet

• Manchester City to win both halves, +100 at PointsBet
• Haaland to score 2 or more goals, +140 at BetMGM

Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction

Liverpool @ Arsenal - Sunday, October 9 at 11:30 am ET, on USA Network and NBCSports.com

Arsenal continue to prove the critics wrong, sitting atop the EPL table with 21 points from 8 matches. North London is red after Mikel Arteta’s Gunners cruised to a 3-1 victory last weekend against their fiercest rivals, Tottenham. We should expect another confident performance when they welcome Liverpool to the Emirates Stadium this Sunday. 

Stalemate results are plaguing the Reds. In seven EPL matches this season, Liverpool have won two, lost one, and drawn four. With only 10 points on the board and an 11-point deficit from 1st placed Arsenal, title hopes have dwindled for scouse fans. What is going on? 

Everyone will have their opinion, but personally, the likes of Trent Alexander-Arnold, Virgil Van Dijk, Andy Robertson, and Fabinho have looked like shells of their former selves. The performances delivered when this team won the Premier League and reached three Champions League finals are seemingly a thing of the past, as opponents now effortlessly pass the ball freely through this once unbeatable defense. 

The fixture at hand is an intriguing one. Though my instincts are pointing toward another draw for Klopps' men, I believe the safer betting option for Arsenal vs Liverpool is in the goals market. While their results speak for themselves, the Gunners haven't been solid in defense, as both teams have scored in 100% of their 2022/23 home matches. On the opposite end, away from home, Liverpool is netting one goal per match while conceding 1.33.

 Data taken from: footystats.org (Accurate as of 10/05/2022)

Premier League Week 10 Predictions: Recommended Bet

• Both teams to score, -175 at Caesars   
• Draw, +265 at Caesars

Manchester United vs Everton Prediction

Manchester United @ Everton - Sunday, October 9 at 2:00 p.m. ET, on USA Network and NBCSports.com 

The Red Devils could hang their heads in shame after a 6-3 hammering in last week's Manchester Derby. Or, they can try to channel their energy from the second half toward this week's trip to Merseyside and a matchup against a somewhat reinvigorated Everton side.  

There's no denying a 4-0 first-half scoreline was demoralizing for a United side that came into the match riding a 4-game win streak. However, a torch was lit under Erik ten Hag's men, who returned fire with three goals of their own and exhibited a never-say-die attitude. As mentioned, United were riding high before the derby defeat. A loss to the EPL's (if not all of Europe’s) most talent-rich squad shouldn't squander their confidence going into Goodison Park. 

Though Everton have produced only mundane results this season, the situation is preferable to last season’s, when they had to battle until season’s end to avoid relegation. The most notable change in this Everton squad is their ability to maintain possession in their own half and prevent teams from scoring. The Toffees have allowed seven goals this season and technically own the best defensive unit in the division. Unfortunately, Everton's defensive attributes haven't really energized the guys up front, as the team clearly has neither a star striker nor an attacking corps that can spread the goals around. 

Data taken from: footystats.org (Accurate as of 10/05/2022)

While I expect a low-scoring affair because Everton has found a brick-wall mentality in defense, I believe the visitors can resume winning after an embarrassing derby encounter, which should breed new life on the pitch.     

Premier League Week 10 Predictions: Recommended Bet

• Under 2.5 goals, -105 @ PointsBet 
• Manchester United to win, +100 @ PointsBet

What are the Odds for the Premier League Week 10

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

What are the odds of Spurs Winning the Premier League?

At Caesars, Tottenham Hotspur currently has +1800 odds to win the Premier League. However, PointsBet offers far more lucrative odds at +3300 for Tottenham to win the Premier League title in 2023.

What are the odds of relegation from the Premier League?

Currently, Nottingham Forest has the shortest odds of being relegated at -300. Bournemouth has the second-shortest odds for relegation from the Premier League at -200. They are followed by Southampton at +190, Leicester City at +225, Wolverhampton at +260, Fulham at +350, and Leeds United at +400. According to Caesars, those are the seven teams most likely to be relegated this year.

Conclusion

This season has been the opposite story to last season, with strikers dominating the headlines, the sportsbooks favor them in the Premier League week 10 odds, will you be backing any? If you're looking for more soccer content, read our guide: How To Bet on Soccer, and visit our odds comparison tool to compare the latest odds.

Written by David Manyun

David Manyun is an experienced content writer with strong EPL knowledge based in the UK. He offers an extensive analysis of odds and the numbers crucial to betting.