This same game parlay calculator helps you understand what your SGP is actually worth before you place the bet. Enter your legs, see the payout, and compare the sportsbook's offered odds to what the parlay would pay if the legs were independent. The calculator shows you the implied probability, the vig, and the difference between fair odds and what the book is offering.
Same game parlays are high-variance, high-margin bets. This tool is designed to help you make more informed decisions by showing you the numbers in plain English. It is not a guarantee of profit, and it will not turn parlays into good bets if they are not. What it will do is show you exactly what you are paying for.
Gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call +1-800-GAMBLER.
Use this calculator to see the payout, implied probability, and vig on your same game parlay. Enter each leg, add the SGP odds offered by your sportsbook, and the calculator will show you the difference between independent parlay odds and the actual SGP price.
Parlays and same game parlays are high-risk bets with a high house edge. Only bet what you can afford to lose. 21+ only.
Using the SGP calculator is simple:
The vig differential is the gap between what the parlay would pay if the legs were independent and what the sportsbook is actually offering. That gap is the correlation tax: the extra edge the book is taking because your legs are related to each other.
A same game parlay (SGP) is a parlay bet where all the legs come from the same game or event. Instead of combining picks from different games like a traditional parlay, you stack multiple selections from one matchup: a team spread, a player prop, a game total, and so on.
For example, you might build an NFL same game parlay that combines:
All four legs come from the same Chiefs game. The sportsbook prices that package as one bet. If all four legs win, you win the parlay. If any one leg loses, the entire ticket loses.
The key difference between a same game parlay and a traditional parlay is that same game parlay legs are often correlated. If Mahomes throws for big yardage, Kelce is more likely to score, and the Chiefs are more likely to cover and push the total over. Because of that correlation, sportsbooks adjust the combined odds downward compared to what an independent parlay would pay.
Sportsbooks love same game parlays because they carry much higher house edges than straight bets or traditional parlays. Public data and operator disclosures suggest that SGP hold rates can exceed 20% on some tickets, compared to around 5% on typical straight bets.
The combination of correlation tax, opaque pricing, and the excitement of building a narrative around one game makes SGPs one of the most profitable bet types for operators. They heavily promote SGPs with featured parlays, boosts, and insurance offers to drive volume.
For bettors, that means same game parlays should be treated as entertainment products with high variance and high costs, not as a core betting strategy. For more on the fundamentals of SGPs, see our Same Game Parlay Explained Guide.
To understand how the calculator works, it helps to understand the basic math behind parlay odds.
In a traditional parlay with independent legs, you calculate the combined odds by multiplying the individual probabilities together.
Example for illustration only, not betting advice:
Step 1: Convert American odds to decimal odds
-110 in American odds is 1.909 in decimal odds.
Step 2: Multiply the decimal odds together
1.909 × 1.909 × 1.909 = roughly 6.95
Step 3: Convert back to American odds
Decimal odds of 6.95 correspond to American odds of roughly +595.
So a traditional three-leg parlay with independent legs each at -110 would pay around +595.
The calculation above assumes the legs are independent: the outcome of one leg does not affect the outcome of another. In a same game parlay, that assumption breaks down.
When you combine Patrick Mahomes over passing yards, Travis Kelce over receiving yards, and the Chiefs team total over from the same game, those outcomes are positively correlated. If Mahomes throws for big yardage, Kelce is more likely to have a big receiving game, and the Chiefs are more likely to score points.
Because of that positive correlation, the true combined probability of all three legs winning is higher than the naive independent calculation suggests. If the true combined probability is higher, the fair odds should be lower.
The sportsbook applies a correlation discount to reflect that dependency. For example, the book might price this three-leg SGP at +400 instead of +595. The gap between +595 (independent) and +400 (SGP) is the correlation tax.
Our same game parlay calculator shows you both numbers: what the parlay would pay if the legs were independent, and what the sportsbook is actually offering. That comparison helps you see how much extra edge the book is taking because of correlation.
This calculator shows you:
This calculator does not:
For a deeper dive into how correlation affects SGP pricing, see our Same Game Parlay Correlation Guide.
Implied probability is the probability suggested by the odds offered by the sportsbook. For example, American odds of +400 correspond to an implied probability of 20% (calculated as 100 / (400 + 100)).
The calculator shows you the implied probability of the sportsbook's SGP odds and the fair probability if the legs were independent. The gap between those two numbers is a rough proxy for how much correlation tax and vig the book is applying.
Fair odds are the odds that would correspond to the true probability of the outcome, with no vig. In practice, it is very hard to know the true probability of a correlated same game parlay, which is why fair odds are only an estimate based on independent leg probabilities.
Vig (short for vigorish) is the house edge: the extra margin the sportsbook builds into the odds to ensure they make a profit over time.
In same game parlays, the vig is much higher than in straight bets because of the correlation tax. Small differences in odds can translate into large differences in expected value.
Example for illustration only:
That 195-point gap represents roughly a 33% reduction in payout. On a $100 bet, that is the difference between winning $595 and winning $400, a $195 reduction in potential profit.
The higher the vig differential, the more the sportsbook believes the legs are correlated and the more extra edge they are taking.
Expected value (EV) measures whether a bet is profitable over the long run. A positive-EV bet (+EV) would make money on average if repeated thousands of times. A negative-EV bet (-EV) would lose money on average.
Most same game parlays are heavily negative-EV because of the combination of correlation tax and standard vig. Even if you are selective, disciplined, and use this calculator to find the best available pricing, SGPs are structurally expensive.
That does not mean you should never bet same game parlays. It does mean you should approach them with realistic expectations and treat them as entertainment, not as a path to long-term profit.
Quick Take: This tool helps you understand risk. It does not turn parlays into guaranteed profits.
Gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call +1-800-GAMBLER.
One of the most common questions about same game parlays is: how are they different from regular parlays?
| Feature | Regular Parlay | Same Game Parlay |
|---|---|---|
| Leg Source | Multiple different games or events | All legs from the same game |
| Independence | Legs are mostly independent | Legs often correlated |
| Pricing Method | Multiply individual leg odds together | Adjusted downward for correlation |
| Typical Hold | Standard vig, around 4-5% | Much higher, often 15-25% or more |
| Use Cases | Combining picks across a slate | Building a narrative around one game |
| Risk Profile | High variance, moderate vig | High variance, high vig |
When a regular parlay might make more sense:
When a same game parlay might make sense:
For a traditional parlay calculator that treats all legs as independent, see our Parlay Betting Guide.
Most parlay calculators on the market are designed for traditional parlays with independent legs. They multiply the individual odds together, show you the payout, and that is it. They do not account for correlation, and they do not show you the vig differential or fair odds.
If you use a standard parlay calculator for a same game parlay, you will get a misleading result. The calculator will tell you what the parlay would pay if the legs were independent, which is almost always higher than what the sportsbook actually offers for an SGP.
Some advanced tools and platforms offer more sophisticated SGP analysis, including expected value calculators, no-vig fair odds estimators, and hedging/promo optimization features.
These tools are useful for experienced bettors and sharp players, but they are often paywalled and can have complex interfaces that are intimidating for casual users.
Our same game parlay calculator is free, transparent, and designed for all levels of bettors. It shows you:
It also integrates responsible gambling messaging throughout, because we believe transparency includes being honest about the high cost and high risk of same game parlays.
If you choose to bet same game parlays, this calculator can help you build smarter tickets:
Before you place any same game parlay, decide in advance:
Most regulated US sportsbooks offer deposit limits, loss limits, and time-outs in your account settings. Use these tools proactively to help you stay in control.
Use the calculator to identify when a same game parlay is particularly expensive:
When you see these red flags, it is a sign to either skip the bet, reduce your stake, or look for better pricing elsewhere.
Many sportsbooks offer promotions specifically for same game parlays:
The calculator can help you evaluate these promos by showing you the effective vig after the boost or insurance is applied. For example, if a 50% profit boost takes your SGP from +400 to +600, you can use the calculator to see if that moves the bet closer to neutral EV.
Always read the terms carefully. Most promos come with caps, restrictions, and eligibility requirements that limit their real value.
Hedging a same game parlay means placing a separate bet to reduce your risk or lock in a guaranteed profit. For example, if most of your SGP legs have already won and you have one leg left, you might hedge by betting the opposite side of that final leg.
Hedging is complex and requires careful math. The calculator can show you the payouts and probabilities, but it cannot tell you whether a hedge is the right decision for your specific situation.
In general, hedging makes more sense when:
Hedging is less useful when:
Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Your legs:
Independent parlay odds: +595
Sportsbook SGP odds: +400
Vig differential: 195 points (roughly 33% reduction)
Analysis: These three legs are highly positively correlated. If the game is high-scoring and Mahomes throws for big yardage, Kelce is likely to have a big receiving game. The sportsbook applies a steep correlation tax to reflect that dependency.
What the calculator shows: On a $100 bet, the independent parlay would return $595 in profit, but the SGP returns $400 in profit. The 195-point gap is the correlation tax.
Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Boston Celtics
Your legs:
Independent parlay odds: +595
Sportsbook SGP odds: +420
Vig differential: 175 points (roughly 29% reduction)
Analysis: These three legs are positively correlated. If LeBron has a big scoring and playmaking night, the Lakers are more likely to hit their team total. The correlation tax is slightly lower than the NFL example, but still significant.
What the calculator shows: On a $100 bet, you are giving up $175 in potential profit compared to the independent parlay price.
Game: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
Your legs:
Independent parlay odds: Roughly +850
Sportsbook SGP odds: +550
Vig differential: 300 points (roughly 35% reduction)
Analysis: If Judge hits a home run, the Yankees are much more likely to score runs and win the game. This is a tightly correlated stack, and the sportsbook applies a very steep correlation tax.
What the calculator shows: On a $100 bet, the correlation tax costs you $300 in potential profit.
Same game parlays are high-variance bets with house edges significantly higher than straight bets or traditional parlays. Even if you use this calculator and bet selectively, SGPs should represent only a small slice of your overall betting activity.
Key responsible gambling principles for SGPs:
If you feel that betting is no longer fun, or if it is starting to affect your work, relationships, or finances, reach out for help immediately:
Gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call +1-800-GAMBLER.
Same game parlays are typically available wherever online sports betting is legal and regulated in the US. However, availability of specific markets and prop types can vary by state and operator.
As of 2025, online sports betting is legal in more than 30 US states, but product offerings differ by jurisdiction. Some states restrict certain prop types or same game parlay features due to local regulations.
Before you bet, always check:
All bets must be placed by users who are 21 or older (or 18+ in certain states) and physically located in a legal jurisdiction. Geolocation and identity verification are required.
Availability of same game parlays and specific markets depends on your state and sportsbook. Always check local laws and operator terms before betting.
No, you should not use a regular parlay calculator for a same game parlay. Standard parlay calculators assume the legs are independent and multiply the individual odds together. Same game parlays have correlated legs, which means the sportsbook applies a correlation discount. If you use a regular calculator, you will get a misleading result that is higher than what the book actually offers.
Your same game parlay odds are lower than a normal parlay because of correlation. When outcomes from the same game are related (for example, a QB passing yards over and his top receiver receiving yards over), the sportsbook reduces the combined payout to reflect that dependency. That reduction is called the correlation tax.
Yes, the calculator on this page is free and designed specifically for same game parlays. It shows you the payout, implied probability, fair independent parlay odds, and vig differential. No sign-up or payment required.
Correlation in same game parlays describes the statistical relationship between bet legs from the same game. Positive correlation means two outcomes are more likely to happen together (for example, QB passing yards over and team total over). Negative correlation means two outcomes are less likely to happen together (for example, large spread and game total under). Sportsbooks adjust SGP odds based on correlation.
Most disciplined bettors keep same game parlays to two to four legs. That range gives you enough structure to lean into a game narrative without turning the bet into a low-probability lottery ticket. The more legs you add, the harder it is to win and the steeper the correlation tax becomes.
Same game parlays are high-variance, high-margin bets that are structurally expensive. Most SGPs are negative expected value even if you are selective. They can be fun and entertaining, but they should be treated as entertainment, not as a core betting strategy or path to long-term profit.
This same game parlay calculator is designed to help you make more informed decisions about SGPs by showing you the payout, the vig, and the correlation tax in plain numbers. It is not a magic tool that turns parlays into good bets, but it can help you understand what you are paying for and identify when a sportsbook is offering particularly poor pricing.
Before you place your next same game parlay:
For more detailed strategy guidance, see our Same Game Parlay Strategy Guide. For an in-depth explanation of how correlation works, see our Same Game Parlay Correlation Guide.
Sports betting should stay optional and affordable. If you feel that your betting is out of control or affecting your life negatively, reach out for help immediately.
Gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call +1-800-GAMBLER.