
The Los Angeles Rams squeaked out a 34-31 win over the Carolina Panthers, but it wasn’t as pretty as the scoreboard suggests. Matthew Stafford was surgical early, especially when attacking the soft spots in Carolina’s cover-three zone. He feasted on the middle of the field, but also flirted with danger by putting the ball in harm’s way more than the Rams would like. This wasn’t a clean win, and it might’ve unraveled entirely if Carolina hadn’t shifted its defensive strategy late in the game.
The Rams struggled mightily on third downs, going just 2-for-13 — a troubling trend that has reared its head in recent weeks. While Stafford’s connection with his receivers kept the offense humming early, the Rams' inability to convert key downs could be costly in tighter playoff matchups. The biggest letdown? The Rams' secondary. They allowed too many explosive plays and looked out of sync. That’s a red flag for bettors banking on this defense to hold up down the stretch.
Meanwhile, the Panthers showed grit. Rookie wide receiver Jalen Coker made his presence felt, raising questions about what this team’s receiver room could look like with some offseason reinforcements. They’ll need to evaluate Xavier Legette’s development and possibly target a linebacker in the draft. The takeaway for Carolina: Don’t settle. Improvement across the board could make them sneaky contenders in a wide-open NFC South next year.
The Bears-Packers matchup was a tale of two young quarterbacks. Caleb Williams didn’t hit 60% on completions, but he made up for it with 11 explosive passes in the second half. His out-of-structure magic is what makes him a top-tier talent, but he’s learning to play within the framework too — making the “layups” along with the Steph Curry bombs. This is exactly what Chicago fans hoped to see from their No. 1 pick.
On the other side, Jordan Love did everything he could to win. He posted an elite 0.336 EPA per pass — that’s MVP stuff — but coaching missteps and poor timeout management by Matt LaFleur doomed the Packers. They burned crucial timeouts and left themselves without the ability to attack the middle of the field in the final seconds. Combine that with one of the league’s worst pass rushes and suspect corner play, and it’s easy to see why Green Bay bowed out early.
Bettors should keep an eye on both teams. The Bears’ defense is opportunistic and improving, while their offense is starting to click. Meanwhile, the Packers need offseason reinforcements on defense and a more buttoned-up coaching approach to be serious contenders next season.
Josh Allen’s performance against the Jaguars was nothing short of elite. He spread the ball around, made plays when it mattered, and even turned into a pseudo-run game with short, quick throws. The Bills dominated key metrics: turnover battle, time of possession, third and fourth down efficiency, and red zone scoring. That’s the secret sauce for playoff wins — and it’s a recipe bettors can bank on moving forward.
Jacksonville, meanwhile, played well but missed key chances. Trevor Lawrence showed growth, but his early interception and some predetermined throws stalled drives. The Jags had effective rushing stats but abandoned the run — a season-long issue. The killer? A failed red zone trip that ended in a turnover on downs after a turnover-fueled bonus possession. That lone empty trip was the difference in a game where both teams scored on nearly every red zone shot.
This might’ve been the best game of the playoffs so far. High-level execution, smart game plans, and emotional moments — including a shout-out to Jaguars OC Liam Cohen after the game — made this one for the books. Jacksonville’s future is still bright, especially with incoming reinforcements in the secondary, but this loss will sting for a while.
The Chargers got steamrolled by the Patriots' defense in a 16-3 loss that felt like a throwback to early 2000s playoff football. Justin Herbert was under siege all game — pressured on over 55% of his dropbacks — and had no chance to establish rhythm. New England racked up six sacks and a 56.8% pressure rate, blitzing more than they had all year. It was a masterclass from Mike Vrabel’s unit, capped off by a headbutt celebration (and a bloody lip) that only added to the folklore.
The Chargers, meanwhile, had no answers. The offensive line was overwhelmed, the run game non-existent (30 yards total), and the play-calling stale. Greg Roman’s offense managed just one touchdown in his last 22 playoff possessions across multiple teams. That’s not a trend — that’s a warning sign. If you’re betting on the Chargers in future playoff games, buyer beware until they overhaul the interior line and rethink their offensive identity.
Drake May wasn’t perfect in his first playoff game, but he showed poise and made clutch throws when it counted. The Patriots' offense didn’t light up the scoreboard, but they didn’t need to. Their defense did the heavy lifting, and with May continuing to grow, New England could be a tough out for anyone left in the AFC.
San Francisco reminded everyone why they’re a Super Bowl favorite, taking down the Eagles with a balanced attack and a few tricks up their sleeve. Brock Purdy had one of his classic games — a little chaos, a little magic, and a lot of guts. Christian McCaffrey was his usual dominant self, and a surprise touchdown pass from Jauan Jennings added some spice. Despite key injuries, the Niners looked playoff-ready.
The Eagles, however, are running out of excuses. Jalen Hurts and the offense lacked creativity and explosive plays. The run game was ineffective despite the 49ers’ soft run defense, and the passing game was predictable. Offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo is under the microscope, and the relationship between him and Hurts is raising eyebrows. Philly needs a coaching reset if they want to avoid another early playoff exit next season.

Wild Card Weekend is loaded with betting angles: the Rams look likely to beat a broken Panthers squad but may not cover a double‑digit spread; Bears-Packers profiles as a coin flip better attacked via first-half unders; the quietly elite Jaguars offer live-dog value against the Bills; the coaching carousel centers on John Harbaugh’s future; and an early Seahawks -3.5 vs. Packers lookahead line screams value.

The Bears stunned the Packers with a wild-card comeback, overcoming Caleb Williams’ early mistakes as the fearless rookie and his first-year receiving corps took over late. Green Bay wasted Jordan Love’s huge night with brutal time management, missed kicks, and a second-half meltdown. Elsewhere, Matthew Stafford outdueled Bryce Young in a chaotic Rams, Panthers thriller that showcased both LA’s volatility and Carolina’s promising young QB.