Arsenal vs Chelsea: London Derby Goals Galore

Super Sunday Showdown: Chelsea vs. Arsenal

The marquee matchup of the weekend has the Premier League throwing up a tasty London derby as Chelsea host Arsenal at 11:30 AM Eastern on Sunday. Arsenal come into this one riding high after dismantling Bayern midweek, while Chelsea are quietly finding form, racking up five wins from their last six and banging in 15 goals during that run.

Despite Chelsea's resurgence, Arsenal are still the rightful favorites. But this isn’t a game to trust the moneyline—this one's all about the goals. Both teams have scored in a majority of their recent matches, and the way these two are attacking, you’d be brave to bet against it happening again. The "Both Teams to Score – Yes" market is sitting around -137, and it looks like the best way to play this one. If you're feeling cheeky, you could also climb the goals ladder with over 2.5 or even over 3.5 goals. Expect fireworks.

Manchester City’s Goal Fest Incoming

Manchester City take on a travel-sick Leeds United, and if there's one game guaranteed to be lopsided this weekend, it's this one. City are a machine at the Etihad, having won seven on the bounce at home prior to a Champions League hiccup. They’ve covered a -2 handicap four times in those matches, and they’re averaging three goals a game at home.

Leeds, meanwhile, are allergic to points on the road. They’ve lost five of their last six away games, including to Burnley and Fulham, and have conceded 15 goals in that span. Their only away win came against Wolves, which barely counts.

Erling Haaland is expected to fill his boots, and City are likely to run riot. Best bets? City to score over 2.5 goals at even money is a solid shout. If you're feeling brave, over 3.5 at +255 and even over 4.5 at +575 aren't outlandish given Leeds’ leaky defense. City -2 on the handicap is around +115, which could be the sweet spot.

West Ham vs. Liverpool: Chaos Expected

Liverpool’s form is in freefall. They've lost four straight on the road and conceded a shocking number of goals recently. Van Dijk is struggling, the full-backs are patchy, and the midfield looks like it's still finding its way. West Ham, on the other hand, have found some rhythm under Nuno, scoring eight in their last three games—but still haven’t kept a clean sheet in his reign.

This has all the makings of a goal-filled, unpredictable affair. The market is already moving toward West Ham, and if you want a piece of the Hammers, it's best to get in early. But the sharpest angle might just be goals. Both teams to score is heavily juiced at -190, but pairing it with over 2.5 goals gives you better value. If you like a prop, Callum Wilson to score anytime at +270 is tasty—he's bagged four goals in four starts and is on fire.

Villa, Brentford, and Forest: Home Comforts Galore

Aston Villa are cruising at home and host a struggling Wolves side. Villa have won six of their last seven and are scoring for fun. Wolves, meanwhile, have lost six straight and haven’t scored in their last three. Villa -1.5 on the handicap at +137 looks like a gift. If you want something a bit spicier, Villa to win both halves or to win to nil are also appealing options.

Over at Brentford, they welcome Burnley, who have been abysmal away from home. Brentford have only lost once at home all season, while Burnley have conceded at least two in almost every away game. The over 2.5 goals market is alive and well here, especially with Burnley's tendency to open up on the road. Brentford to score in both halves at +125 is also a cheeky play.

Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton could be sneaky entertaining. Forest have found their scoring boots with back-to-back 3-0 wins, while Brighton are always good for a goal or two but struggle to keep them out. Over 2.5 goals looks solid at near even money, and the 1-1 draw at 6/1 is worth a sprinkle if you like your bets with a side of symmetry.

Other Matches to Keep an Eye On

Everton vs. Newcastle is a tough one to call. Everton are inconsistent, and Newcastle can’t win away to save their lives. One angle that’s been cashing is Newcastle to score first—they’ve done it in three straight away games, only to fall apart later. That’s available at even money and might be the only sane way to get involved in this minging matchup.

Spurs take on Fulham, and the market really doesn’t like Tottenham at home. They haven’t won there since August, and Fulham could be live underdogs. Taking Fulham +0.5 on the Asian handicap might pay off. Under 2.5 goals is also worth a look given Spurs' recent wobble at home.

Sunderland vs. Bournemouth in the Championship is another where goals look likely. Over 2.5 goals at even money looks like value, especially considering Bournemouth’s defensive issues and Sunderland’s recent drop-off in form.

Takeaways

• Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both teams to score at -137 is the best bet. Expect goals galore.
• Man City vs. Leeds: Ladder up the City goal markets. Over 2.5 goals for City at even money is a solid play.
• West Ham vs. Liverpool: Goals, goals, goals. BTTS and over 2.5, or Callum Wilson anytime scorer at +270.
• Villa vs. Wolves: Villa -1.5 at +137 looks like free money.
• Brentford vs. Burnley: Over 2.5 goals and Brentford to score in both halves worth a look.
• Forest vs. Brighton: Over 2.5 goals at 10/11. 1-1 draw at 6/1 if you're feeling lucky.

Bet smart, bet early or bet late—but above all, bet like you mean it.