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Greg Pearce
MLB Betting AnalystMLB pitching matchups, BvP splits & NRFI picksAbout Greg
Baseball was always about the pitching. Grew up tracking ERAs and strikeout rates in a spiral notebook before the analytics revolution made it mainstream. Now builds every game analysis from the mound outward: starter matchups, pitch mix tendencies, batter-versus-pitcher splits, and bullpen workload. Thinks starting pitching is the single biggest edge in baseball betting and will pass on a game entirely if the pitching data is unclear. Has a particular obsession with NRFI markets where first-inning pitcher dominance creates consistent value.
What Makes Greg an Expert?
A dedicated MLB bettor who leans heavily on pitching data: whiff rates, pitch mix evolution across starts, platoon splits, and bullpen fatigue patterns. Tracks NRFI hit rates by starting pitcher pairing and maintains models for first-five-innings markets. Shops lines across multiple sportsbooks with a particular focus on pitcher-driven props and run totals. Believes small sample sizes are the enemy and will always wait for more data rather than force a pick.
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