Betting AnalystSoccer & NHL value plays, totals & unders
About Warren
Came to sports betting through a fascination with probability and market inefficiency rather than through fandom; though years of covering soccer and hockey have made a genuine fan of both. Gravitates toward lower-profile markets where the books spend less time sharpening their lines, which is exactly why the EPL and NHL are the sweet spot. Has a well-known bias toward unders and will freely admit it; but the data backs it up more often than people think. Believes bankroll management is more important than any individual pick.
What Makes Warren an Expert?
A methodical bettor who tracks expected goals models in both soccer and hockey to find spots where the market overestimates scoring. Focuses on totals, both teams to score (no), and puck line unders; the markets where casual bettors tend to overweight recent high-scoring games. Keeps a detailed P&L spreadsheet and only bets when the model shows positive expected value above a minimum threshold. Thinks patience is the most underrated skill in sports betting.
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