Chiefs vs Raiders Odds - NFL Monday Night Football Week 5 Predictions

Chiefs vs Raiders Odds - Recommended Bets

• Kansas City Chiefs -7, -107 at PointsBet
• Over 25.5 Points in first-half, -105 at BetMGM

Chiefs vs Raiders Predictions

Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs - Monday, October 10, 8:15 at Arrowhead Stadium on ESPN

A History Lesson

The Chiefs vs Raiders odds for Monday’s AFC West rivalry game list the Chiefs as seven-point home favorites in week 5. Before making any Chiefs vs Raiders predictions, though, it’s important to look at the recent history of this rivalry. The Raiders have just three wins in their last 18 games against the Chiefs. Since 2012, just once, in a 40-32 thriller in 2020, have the Raiders won at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs vs Raiders odds reflect this history, especially for bettors who want to ignore the Chiefs vs Raiders spread and bet along the moneyline.

Back to Being Superman

One week after a frustrating loss to the Colts, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City offense got back on track in a big way in last week’s 41-31 win over the Buccaneers. That result no doubt factored into this week’s Chiefs vs Raiders odds by enabling sportsbooks to extend the spread a little more than it might have been had they set the odds the previous week. The Chiefs struck early and often in that game, finishing the first half with 28 points and tacking on another touchdown and two field goals after halftime.

The key factor when making Chiefs vs Raiders predictions this week is that Tampa’s defense looked to be the best in the NFL during the first three weeks of the season, yet it couldn’t stand up to the Chiefs’ offensive pressure. Through three games, the Bucs had allowed just 17 total points. Against Mahomes and the Chiefs gave up 14 points in the first quarter and 41 in the game. It’s a testament to what Mahomes can do when things are clicking. Yet, it shouldn’t be overlooked that the Chiefs gained 189 yards on the ground, on 5.1 yards per carry, behind the tandem of Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Isiah Pacheco. That balance should make bettors a little more comfortable with a large Chiefs vs Raiders spread on Monday night.

The Desperation Lingers

After three hard-fought losses, by a total of 13 points, to open the season  - including a brutal overtime loss to the Cardinals, in which they blew a 20-0 lead - the Raiders are obviously thankful not to be making the trip to Kansas City winless after an impressive 32-23 win over the defensively tough Broncos last week. That being said, the Raiders are likely better than their 1-3 record and could be getting disrespected in the Chiefs vs Raiders odds for Monday.

The concern for the Raiders regarding the Chiefs vs Raiders spread is the fact that Vegas has allowed at least 23 points in every game this year, despite having yet to play an offense anywhere near as potent as Kansas City’s. It’s worth remembering that the Chiefs scored a total of 89 points across two games against the Raiders last season, which will certainly factor into the Chiefs vs Raiders odds. That means the Raiders will need to score early and often if they’re going to compete with Mahomes and the K.C. offense. To this point, the Las Vegas offense has been balanced, gaining five yards per carry on the ground, with Devante Adams and Mack Hollins both averaging over 65 receiving yards per game. However, Derek Carr has completed 61% of his passes, with an average of 6.7 yards per attempt, as the Raiders have lacked consistency and big-play ability through the air.

Data taken from pro-football-reference.com (Accurate as of 10/07/2022)

Chiefs vs Raiders Odds and Prediction and Conclusions

When it comes to our Chiefs vs Raiders predictions, Kansas City winning at home should be a given. While the Raiders have endured three close losses this year, they haven’t yet played one of the NFL’s elite teams. The Las Vegas offense will likely struggle to match Kansas City’s explosiveness, especially given the fact that the Raiders’ defense, which is giving up 25 points per game, profiles as weaker than Kansas City’s. That should allow the Chiefs to score enough points to cover seven points.

At the same time, this game should see some early fireworks. After all, the Chiefs are fresh off a game against a quality defensive team in which they scored 28 points in the first half. In their other three games this year, the Chiefs are averaging 14.7 first-half points. Meanwhile, the Raiders averaged 16.3 points in the first half of their last three games. Both of these teams have grown accustomed to getting off to fast starts, which should make this a competitive game early and push the first-half point total over 25.5 points with room to spare.

Chiefs vs Raiders Odds - Recommended Bets

• Kansas City Chiefs -7, -107 at PointsBet
• Over 25.5 Points in first-half, -105 at BetMGM

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Who will win between the Chiefs vs Raiders?

The Kansas City Chiefs are poised to beat the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday, having already beaten their AFC West rivals in 15 of the last 18 games between the two teams.

What channel is the Chiefs vs Raiders game on?

Monday’s game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders starts at 8:15 ET and can be seen on ESPN.

Conclusion

Who are you backing in the Chiefs vs Raiders game this Monday? Interested in more NFL content? Read our guide: How to bet on NFL, and visit our odds comparison tool to compare the latest odds.

Written by Bryan Zarpentine.

Bryan has been a sports and sports betting writer for over 12 years. When he's not writing about sports, he's usually watching sports, attending sporting events, or on road trips on his way to sporting events.  

Bryan is an NCAA football and basketball specialist who gives excellent insight into MLB and the NFL worlds.