New York, New York! The Six Best Bets That Mean You Won’t Miss Being a Part of It: NFL Odds Week 8

 NFL Odds Week 8 - Recommended Bets

• New England Patriots @ New York Jets: Jets (+1.5), -107 at PointsBet
• New England Patriots @ New York Jets: Under 40.5, -110 at BetMGM 
• New York Giants @ Seattle Seahawks: Giants to Win, +135 at PointsBet
• New York Giants @ Seattle Seahawks: 1st Team Touchdown - Giants, +102 at Caesars
• Green Bay Packers @ Buffalo Bills: Packers (+11.5), -110 at BetMGM
• Green Bay Packers @ Buffalo Bills: Alternative Total Points Under 45.5, +108 at Caesars 

Compelling Contests Fuel Week 8’s NFL Odds 

Week 8 features a compelling slate of contests across the board. Some teams enter this week desperate for a victory, while others look to extend unlikely winning streaks. Only the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers enjoy a bye this week.

Bettors note that 10 of the 15 games feature 3 points or fewer spreads, and only three games sport spreads of more than a touchdown. Standings now see a widening gap between playoff contenders and pretenders, which makes for some of the most exciting matchups this week. But that also complicates making any Week 8 NFL picks.

For more NFL content, check out our Betting Resources. We’ll have the latest weekly previews and picks for the big Monday and Thursday night football games. 

NFL Picks - Week 8

Patriots vs Jets Picks 

New England Patriots @ New York Jets: Sunday, October 30 at 1 pm ET on CBS

The New York Jets continued their surprise push near the top of the AFC standings with their win in Denver last week. The Jets improved to 5-2 on the season, matching the team’s best start since 2010. The victory over the Broncos marked New York’s fourth straight, something the Jets haven’t accomplished since 2015. The Patriots, meanwhile, took a drubbing on Monday Night Football from the Chicago Bears, but the NFL Odds in Week 8 have them as favorites despite that. 

Data taken from: pro-football-reference.com (Accurate as of 10/25/22)

Before late line movement in their favor, the Jets traveled to Denver as underdogs for their Week 7 game. But once the Broncos ruled out Russell Wilson, the Jets became the betting favorites for the first time this season. The New York defense then steamrolled another backup quarterback en route to the 16-9 victory. 

It wasn’t all good news for New York, though. The Jets saw their dynamic rookie running back Breece Hall lost for the season with an ACL injury. New York also lost starting guard Alijah Vera-Tucker for the year to an elbow injury. The Jets did bolster their backfield depth with the acquisition of Jacksonville Jaguars running back James Robinson, however. 

The Patriots hoped to build on their winning streak last week and grabbed a 14-10 second-quarter lead over Chicago on Monday Night Football. But the Bears reeled off 23 unanswered points from there, leaving Foxboro with the win. In the process, New England may have triggered a quarterback controversy when head coach Bill Belichick pulled starting quarterback Mac Jones after three series and inserted rookie Bailey Zappe in his place for the rest of the game. Zappe sparked the Pats’ two touchdown drives in the second quarter but failed to maintain that momentum in the second half of the loss. 

Losing two of their top players on offense likely affected the NFL odds in Week 8 in favor of the Patriots, despite the Jets having the better record and playing at home. New York comes to this contest 4-2 against the spread as the underdog, with three straight covers and outright wins. New York’s defense continues to improve, allowing fewer points to opponents in each game since Week 2. The Jets enjoy a +2 turnover differential this season, and the Patriots have 11 turnovers in their four losses, including four last week. Moreover, New England has failed to cover in its previous four games against AFC East opponents. 

Recent betting trends support backing the Under as an NFL pick in Week 8. These middle-of-the-pack offenses square off against better defenses. The Under has hit in five of the last six games between these teams in New York. 

NFL Odds Week 8: Patriots vs Jets - Recommended Bets

• Jets +1.5, -107 at PointsBet
• Under 40.5, -110 at BetMGM 

Giants vs Seahawks Picks 

New York Giants @ Seattle Seahawks: Sunday, October 30 at 4:25 pm ET on Fox

New York sees a similarly surprising start for its other team, the Giants, who enter Week 8 with a 6-1 record. The G-Men have started 6-1 or better just four times in the Super Bowl era (1989, 1990, 2008). But they’re not the only surprise in this matchup, as the Seahawks, who most assumed would struggle without Russell Wilson, also enter with a winning record (4-3). That makes this contest one of the most difficult to set among our Week 8 NFL picks.  

Data taken from: pro-football-reference.com (Accurate as of 10/25/22)

The Giants traveled to Jacksonville in Week 7 as unlikely underdogs to the sub-.500 Jaguars. Sportsbooks seemed to assume a regression from the G-Men, but that didn’t happen. New York ran up 236 rushing yards, including 130 in the fourth quarter alone, to improve to 6-1 on the season. The Giants are now 3-0 against the spread on the road, with a 6-1 ATS overall. 

The Seahawks also scored an outright win as a road underdog last week, topping the Chargers in Los Angeles 37-23. Geno Smith has impressed as Wilson’s replacement at quarterback in Seattle, but he may be without top wideout DK Metcalf this week. Although the Seahawks lost starting running back Rashad Penny to injury earlier this year, rookie Kenneth Walker III has burst onto the scene of late, including 168 rushing yards and two touchdowns last week. 

But like their New York brethren, the Giants sport one of the better defensive units in the league. The Giants allow the sixth-fewest points per game and limit opposing passers to 211 yards per game, 15th in the NFL. New York’s offense features the NFC’s rushing leader, Saquon Barkley (726 yards), and looks to exploit Seattle’s defensive weakness against the run. The Seahawks allow the fourth most rushing yards per game (149). 

NFL odds in Week 8 set the Giants as underdogs again, something the G-Men feel very comfortable with. New York comes to this contest 5-0, straight up and against the spread when playing as an underdog. The Seahawks, meanwhile, failed to cover in their lone contest as the betting favorite. 

Another value play amongst Week 8 NFL picks is the first team touchdown going to the Giants (+102 at Caesars). Seahawks allowed opponents to score the first touchdown in each of their last two home games and have conceded the fifth most points per game so far this season. The Giants have scored the first touchdown in three of their previous five games. 

NFL Odds Week 8: Giants vs Seahawks - Recommended Bets

• Giants to win +135 at PointsBet
• 1st Team Touchdown Giants +102 at Caesars

Packers vs Bills Picks 

Green Bay Packers @ Buffalo Bills: Sunday, October 30 at 8:20 pm ET on NBC

Heading into the season, this Packers-Bills tilt on Sunday Night Football looked like one of the season's marquee matchups. But the opening lines for the NFL Odds in Week 8 showed Buffalo as the only true contender in this contest. Green Bay’s struggles on offense and the Bills’ excellent play on both sides of the ball help explain the wide spread at most sportsbooks.

Data taken from: pro-football-reference.com (Accurate as of 10/11/22)

The Bills come to this contest well rested, as Buffalo enjoyed its bye week following Week 6’s impressive win over the Chiefs in Kansas City. In that ballgame, the Bills’ defense cemented itself as the top unit in the NFL, holding Patrick Mahomes and the explosive Chiefs offense to just 20 points. Now, they’ll look to limit another of the game’s top quarterbacks, Aaron Rodgers. 

The Packers, meanwhile, find themselves amidst one of their worst stretches in recent memory. Green Bay heads to Sunday Night Football on a three-game losing skid. If the current spread holds, this will mark the first time in Rodgers’ illustrious career that he’s a double-digit underdog. Green Bay’s futility on offense of late doesn’t help, but it’s hard to feel comfortable giving Rodgers 11.5 points on any spread. The Bills have been outstanding against the run defensively, but Green Bay brings with it arguably the most talented backfield Buffalo’s seen yet in Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon. 

Though this seemed inconceivable before the season, the Bills might be looking past the Packers toward a pivotal AFC East matchup with the New York Jets next week. The Bills are 0-3-1 against the spread in their last four Week 8 games.

One of the best Week 8 NFL picks might be the Alternative Total Points Under 45.5 (+108 at Caesars). The Bills have seen the Under hit in five of their six games this season, and in NFL primetime games this season, the Under is 14-8 (63.8%), the highest hit rate in the last five seasons. 

NFL Odds Week 8: Packers vs Bills - Recommended Bets

• Packers +11.5 -110 at BetMGM
• Alternative Total Points Under 45.5 +108 at Caesars

Bottom Line

We've got compelling contests across the board, yet all eyes will be on the state of New York as the Patriots face the Jets. If you're interested in more football content, be sure to read our guide: How To Bet on American Football, and visit our odds comparison tool to compare the latest NFL Week 8 odds.

Written by David Fernandez

David has more than 15 years of writing experience in sports and sports betting. Before becoming a full-time writer, he was a high school English, Creative Writing, and Journalism teacher for nearly 20 years. He holds a Master's Degree in English and Creative Writing.

David writes for various publications, including Sidelines, Scorebook Live (SBLive), and Five Reasons Sports, and has previously been published in the Miami Herald and USA Today.