Seven EPL Picks That’ll Stop You Scoring Any Own Goals: Premier League Week 14 Odds

Have the midweek European fixtures zapped the energy from the top EPL clubs? If so, who can capitalize? Check our expert analysis, best bets, and Premier League Week 14 odds to find out.   

Premier League Week 14 Odds - Recommended Bets

European Hangover 

Manchester City, Liverpool, West Ham, and Manchester United enter the EPL Week 14 schedule following a grueling set of midweek encounters from their Champions League and Europa League duties. Can Leicester City and Leeds United take advantage? And will the busy calendar of the Hammers and the Reds mean a lackluster weekend outing?   

Check out the Premier League Week 14 odds and our EPL Week 14 predictions to find out.  

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Premier League Week 14 Odds & Predictions

Leicester City vs Manchester City Predictions 

Manchester City @ Leicester City Saturday, October 29 at 7:30 am ET on USA

Leicester City will see the return of two defensive stalwarts in time for their clash with the Premier League’s most prolific scoring team, Manchester City. Boasting three consecutive clean sheets and a recent 4-0 success wouldn’t suggest the Foxes need any added support at the back. Still, Erling Haaland and Co. arrived at the King Power Stadium on Saturday morning (provided the goalscoring machine has recovered from the midweek fever that saw him taken off at half-time in the Champions League game against Dortmund). They’ll need all the help they can get. 

Pep Guardiola’s squad has netted 36 goals from 11 EPL meetings this term, 11 more than any other team, as they average more than three goals per game! And to no surprise, 17 of those goals have been claimed by Haaland, who has begun a new career in Manchester in the best way possible. 

However, returning to the Leicester defense is Johnny Evans. Despite their recent clean sheets, Evans will likely find himself in the starting XI and will want to keep Manchester City’s Norwegian superstar from extending his current goal tally. Defensive midfielder Wilfred Ndidi is also expected to return for Leicester, and he’d unquestionably provide solid cover in front of the back line. 

Backing the Under against Manchester City hasn’t been a wise bet, but the available pricing has fluctuated on higher totals. For this reason, and the fact Haaland could be ruled out with illness, we believe a lower-than-usual final score is possible. Add the fact of a heavily packed schedule for Guardiola’s squad and that they’ve failed to score in their previous two road games, expecting a renewed Leicester defense to keep it tight in EPL Week 14  isn’t out of this realm like many would suggest.  

We expect an away win for the EPL champions, but the East Midlands club can keep the scoreline tight. Premier League Week 14 odds expect defenses to continue putting their man-marking focus on Haaland, but this is where Phil Foden can grab a sneaky goal before the 90 minutes is complete.          

Premier League Week 14 Odds: Recommended Bets

Liverpool vs Leeds Predictions 

Leeds @ Liverpool Saturday, October 29 at 2:45 pm ET on USA 

Since their 7-1 thrashing of Rangers in the Champions League, Liverpool has struggled to be a goal threat. They’ll enter Saturday’s meeting with Leeds United on the back of three consecutive 1-0 games in the EPL, the last being a loss to Nottingham Forest. 

On the other hand, Leeds United hasn’t won a game away from home this season, and as the Premier League Week 14 odds suggest, this probably won’t change when visiting Anfield at the weekend. To make matters worse, Liverpool will be the first Big Six ground they’ve seen this season, a daunting location where the Reds have shown a brick-wall mentality in defense.  

We expect a routine victory for Liverpool against a Leeds squad that’s 18th in the table and who have been lackluster this season, putting manager Jesse Marsch’s job under threat. The home side can extend their clean sheet record at home but won’t continue their 1-0 streak when faced with a team that’s allowed 18 goals through 11 matchdays while conceding an average of 2.4 goals on the road.   

Leeds United Stat Pack (22/23 Season)

 

Away

Home

Goals scored on average

1

1.33

Goals conceded on average

2.4

1

Both Teams To Score

60%

50%

Data taken from https://www.whoscored.com (Accurate as of 10/25/2022)

Premier League Week 14 Odds: Recommended Bets

West Ham vs Manchester United Predictions 

Manchester United @ West Ham Sunday, October 30 at 12 noon ET on USA

The winter schedule for teams involved in domestic and European outings is never kind, and we’ll witness Manchester United and West Ham deal with fatigue in their Sunday EPL Week 14 clash.    

History suggests that West Ham regularly struggles when facing the Red Devils. United hasn’t lost to the Hammers at Old Trafford in a Premier League fixture since 2007, proving the game is a daunting task for the East London club. 

Outside of their early season blip against Brighton, United has won three of their five EPL home games this term, and with West Ham losing four of their six away trips thus far, it’s difficult to argue with the Premier League Week 14 odds that position the home side with a -140 price tag. 

Ten Hags’ squad is the deeper of the two, and tired legs will eventually cost the visitors who looked lackluster in their last game against struggling Bournemouth, as it is. Expecting a home win by a small margin offers multiple betting value in this game, and the statistics point towards a 1-0 or 2-0 game with minimal action in the first half.     

Man United Stat Pack (22/23 Season)

 

Overall

Home %

Scored in 1st Half  

0.45

40%

Scored in 2nd Half  

1.00

80%

Clean Sheets 1st Half  

0.40

80%

Data taken from https://footystats.org (Accurate as of 10/25/2022) 

Premier League Week 14 Odds: Recommended Bets

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Who is the best goalkeeper in the English Premier League?

While this is a matter for debate, Manchester City’s Ederson is arguably the best goalie in the Premier League. He won the Premier League’s Golden Gloves in 2020 and 2021 and shared the award with Liverpool’s Alisson in 2022. Manchester City routinely has one of the best defensive records in the Premier League. Ederson is excellent at playing the ball with his feet and making saves when called upon.

What are the odds of who will get relegated from the Premier League?

According to Caesar’s, and correct as of EPL week 14, Nottingham Forest is the most likely team to be relegated from the Premier League with a moneyline of -200 to go down. Bournemouth is the next most likely team to be relegated at -145, followed by Wolves at +150. However, Leeds United (+170), Southampton (+275), and Leicester City (+340) aren’t out of the woods.

 

Written by David Manyun

David is an experienced content writer with strong EPL knowledge. He offers an extensive analysis of odds and the numbers crucial to betting.  

He also specializes in combat sports, having followed MMA for over 20 years, and has an impressive record in pre-fight predictions, regularly wagering himself.