NFLGame PreviewsDET VS BAL Preview Week3 season 22-SEP-2025

Game Preview of Detroit Lions @ Baltimore Ravens. Week 3 of 2025 NFL Season

DET logo

DET

1-1-0
@
23SEP25
08:15pm
BAL logo

BAL

1-1-0
M&T Bank Stadium

Game Preview

The Detroit Lions visit the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium on Monday at 8:15 PM ET. Both teams are 1-1 and hunting for a statement win.

Baltimore brings big-play ability. Early traits show the Ravens create explosive passes at 14.3% and explosive runs at 14.3%. That stresses a Detroit defense that has rushed the passer well but has allowed explosive throws at 12.5% in a small sample.

Detroit’s offense looks balanced. The Lions finish drives at a 70% red-zone TD rate and can win with play-action from under center (64% under-center tendency). If Taylor Decker suits up, protection improves; if not, quick throws and screens matter.

The market leans Baltimore by -5.5 (+100) with a total of 51.0 (Over -147, Under -101). That points to a high-scoring script where explosives and third downs decide it.

Current Season Form

DET logo

DET

Away
Record:1-1-0
ATS:1-1-0
O/U:1-1-0
BAL logo

BAL

Home
Record:1-1-0
ATS:1-1-0
O/U:2-0-0

Head-to-Head Summary

Record:
0-5Winner logo
ATS:1-4-0
O/U:3-2-0

Past Results

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
2025-09-14vs CLEW 41-17W +12.5o46.5
2025-09-07@ BUFL 40-41W +-1.5o50.5
2025-01-19@ BUFL 25-27L -1.5o51.5
2025-01-11vs PITW 28-14W +9.5u44.5
2025-01-04vs CLEW 35-10W +19.5o42.5
2024-12-25@ HOUW 31-2W +-5.5u46.5
2024-12-21vs PITW 34-17W +7.0o44.5
2024-12-15@ NYGW 35-14W +-16.5o43.5
2024-12-01vs PHIL 19-24L 3.0u50.0
2024-11-25@ LACW 30-23W +-3.0o51.0

Key Insights

 

  • Ravens chunk plays are live: BAL posts 14.3% explosive pass rate and 9.5% deep-ball explosiveness, while DET has allowed 12.5% explosive throws (early sample).

  • DET rush can bite: The Lions generate sacks at 9.8%; Baltimore has allowed sacks at 9.5%. Edge pressure could swing a few drives.

  • Ground threat for BAL: The Ravens’ 14.3% explosive run rate matches their identity and tests a Detroit front missing multiple rotation pieces.

  • Situational ball: BAL converts 54.5% on third down; Detroit converts 34.8% (small sample). That gap can tilt time of possession.

  • Detroit short-yardage D is stout: Lions stop 85.7% of third-and-short runs (tiny sample), which can force Baltimore to the air in the red area.

  • Injury context matters: Lamar Jackson Questionable; if limited, Baltimore’s explosive rates and scramble value dip. Taylor Decker Questionable affects DET sack rate allowed.

 

Betting Insights

 

  • Spread: Ravens -5.5 (+100) vs Lions +5.5 (-116). Five-and-a-half is a swing number; late QB/OL news could move it.

  • Total: 51.0 with Over -147 and Under -101. The juice sits to the Over, but QB status adds variance.

  • Moneyline (regulation 3-way): Ravens -213, Lions +176, Draw +1349.

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown over 70.5 yds (-122): Volume plus BAL’s 15.2% explosive-pass rate allowed.

  • Zay Flowers over 68.5 yds (-122): DET’s explosive-pass leak (12.5%) gives him space.

  • Derrick Henry over 80.5 rush yds (-119): Team trait shows BAL popping runs at 14.3%.

  • Jared Goff over 259.5 yds (-119): Total at 51.0 implies throw volume.

  • Lamar Jackson over 228.5 yds (-119): Mark as volatility with the Questionable tag.

 

Final Summary

This matchup sets up as Baltimore’s explosives against Detroit’s pass-rush heat. If the Ravens protect just enough, their deep shots and Henry’s burst runs can carry drives.

Detroit has answers. The Lions’ red-zone finish rate (70%) and under-center play-action can steady them on the road. If Decker plays, the offense keeps its rhythm. If he sits, expect quicker timing to Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta.

Prices show a lean to points and a one-score Ravens edge. But injuries inject risk, especially with Lamar Jackson Questionable. Manage stake size and respect the juice on the Over.

Bottom line: traits point slightly to Baltimore at home, with Detroit live if they win protection downs and hit explosives of their own.

Statistical Battle Boards

Viewing: BAL Offense vs DET Defense
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Total Points81#148#12BAL advantage
Total Points Per Game40.5#124#21BAL advantage
Total Touchdowns10#16#24BAL advantage
Passing Touchdowns6#14#25BAL advantage
Rushing Touchdowns3#72#20BAL advantage
Other Touchdowns1#50#26BAL advantage
Total Kicking Points21#712#23BAL advantage
Total Two Point Conversions0#270#10DET advantage
Kick Extra Points9#16#7BAL advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Net Passing Yards391#21393#19DET advantage
Net Passing Yards Per Game196#24196#21DET advantage
Passer Rating137#1107#9BAL advantage
Passing Attempts48#2755#9DET advantage
Completions33#2637#22DET advantage
Completion Percentage68.8#1167.3#21BAL advantage
Passing 1st downs18#2419#11DET advantage
Passing 1st Down %54.5#1957.6#18DET advantage
Longest Pass41#1848#11DET advantage
Passing Fumbles Lost0#140#28BAL advantage
Receiving Targets47#2755#20DET advantage
Receptions33#2637#11DET advantage
Receiving Yards After Catch175#22126#5DET advantage
YAC Average5.3#93.4#3DET advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Rushing Yards283#5212#15BAL advantage
Rushing Yards Per Game142#5106#18BAL advantage
Rushing Attempts50#1852#14DET advantage
Yards Per Rush Attempt5.7#24.1#19BAL advantage
Rushing 1st downs12#1711#15DET advantage
20+ Yard Rushing Plays3#11#12BAL advantage
Long Rushing49#520#18BAL advantage
Rushing Fumbles3#11#12BAL advantage
Rushing Fumbles Lost1#51#4DET advantage