NFLGame PreviewsNYG VS NO Preview Week5 05-Oct-2025

Game Preview of New York Giants @ New Orleans Saints. Week 5 of 2025 NFL Season

NYG logo

NYG

1-3-0
@
05OCT25
01:00pm
NO logo

NO

0-4-0
Caesars Superdome

Game Preview

The New York Giants visit the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. The market has New Orleans by a field goal at plus money and a total around 43.

This shapes up as a trench game. The Saints create sacks at an 8.3% rate, which is strong. The Giants have protection issues and could be without key linemen, with LT Andrew Thomas and C John Michael Schmitz Jr. both listed as questionable.

New Orleans’ passing attack has lacked big bites. The Saints rank near the bottom in explosive pass rate, which means gains of 15-plus yards through the air. They may lean on pace and the run to move the chains.

The Giants must adjust without Malik Nabers, who is on injured reserve. That pushes more work to Wan’Dale Robinson and the tight ends. The back end of New Orleans’ defense is healthier than New York’s, and the Saints’ pass rush can tilt downs if the Giants fall behind the sticks.

Current Season Form

NYG logo

NYG

Away
Record:1-3-0
ATS:2-2-0
O/U:1-3-0
NO logo

NO

Home
Record:0-4-0
ATS:1-3-0
O/U:3-1-0

Head-to-Head Summary

Record:
2-3Winner logo
ATS:2-3-0
O/U:1-4-0

Past Results

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
2025-09-28@ BUFL 19-31L 15.5o48.5
2025-09-21@ SEAL 13-44L 7.5o41.5
2025-09-14vs SFL 21-26L -3.0o40.5
2025-09-07vs ARIL 13-20L -6.0u44.5
2025-01-05@ TBL 19-27L 14.5o44.5
2024-12-29vs LVL 10-25L -2.0u37.5
2024-12-23@ GBL 0-34L 14.0u44.0
2024-12-15vs WASL 19-20L -7.5u44.5
2024-12-08@ NYGW 14-11W +-5.5u41.0
2024-12-01vs LARL 14-21L -2.5u48.5

Key Insights

 

  • Saints pressure can change the game: NO generates sacks on 8.3% of dropbacks (81st percentile) while NYG allow sacks on 9.0% (16th). That is a clear leverage point.

  • Explosives vs explosives: NYG allow explosive runs on 5.9% of carries (22nd). NO creates explosives on the ground 4.4% (47th), so the Saints can win on the turf even if the deep ball isn’t there.

  • Saints lack downfield juice: NO posts a 1.9% deep-pass explosive rate (3rd) and 3.2% explosive pass rate overall (6th). Expect shorter, quick-game throws.

  • Red-zone tug of war: NYG offense converts TDs on just 26.7% of red-zone trips (3rd), while NO defense allows TDs at 76.9% (6th). Small sample on both (15 and 13 trips), but finishing drives is a swing factor.

  • Pace knob: Both can play fast. NO no-huddle rate is 23.2% (97th). NYG sit at 11.6% (91st). Tempo could create more plays even with modest explosiveness.

  • Health matters: NYG lose WR Malik Nabers to IR and list several DBs as Questionable. NO lists multiple offensive linemen as Questionable and has DE Chase Young Out. Those statuses raise variance.

 

Betting Insights

  • Anchor spread: Saints -3.0 (+102). Short home chalk at plus money.

  • Anchor total: 43.0 (Over -104, Under -127). Under holds the juice at a modest number.

  • Moneyline view: Saints -128 vs Giants +110. Pricing implies a tight one-score script.

  • Spencer Rattler Under 203.5 pass yds (-119): Saints’ offense lacks explosive pass traits, which can cap yardage.

  • Alvin Kamara Over 56.5 rush yds (-119): Giants’ defense is vulnerable to explosive runs (5.9%).

  • Wan’Dale Robinson Over 48.5 rec yds (-118): With Nabers on IR, target share should rise. Note WR Darius Slayton is Questionable, which adds volatility.

Always check inactives. Questionable tags on both lines and in both secondaries can swing props and the total. Manage juice, especially on unders.

Final Summary

Market tone says small home edge. New Orleans leans on pace and defense up front. The Saints’ pass rush vs the Giants’ protection is the cleanest matchup edge.

The Giants will try to offset that with quick throws and designed runs. Without Malik Nabers, they need Wan’Dale Robinson and the tight ends to win underneath. If New York falls behind the chains, pressure becomes a problem.

New Orleans isn’t built for splash plays right now. That points to Kamara and a methodical script. The Giants’ defense has allowed run explosives, which fits that plan.

Overall, the numbers line up with a low-40s total and a field-goal spread. If the Saints win the trench battle and finish red-zone trips, they can justify the chalk. If the Giants protect better than expected, this flips fast in a one-score game.

Statistical Battle Boards

Viewing: NO Offense vs NYG Defense
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Total Points66#28101#10NYG advantage
Total Points Per Game16.5#2825.3#23NYG advantage
Total Touchdowns7#2911#22NYG advantage
Passing Touchdowns5#215#9NYG advantage
Rushing Touchdowns2#286#29NO advantage
Other Touchdowns0#180#6NYG advantage
Total Kicking Points24#2733#12NYG advantage
Total Two Point Conversions0#171#3NYG advantage
Kick Extra Points6#279#18NYG advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Net Passing Yards708#27942#8NYG advantage
Net Passing Yards Per Game177#27236#8NYG advantage
Passer Rating83.9#2483.9#24🏈
Passing Attempts149#5160#31NO advantage
Completions98#3102#4NO advantage
Completion Percentage65.8#1763.8#12NYG advantage
Passing 1st downs43#1550#27NO advantage
Passing 1st Down %50.6#2552.1#12NYG advantage
Longest Pass39#2836#28🏈
Passing Fumbles Lost1#180#24NO advantage
Receiving Targets141#6154#2NYG advantage
Receptions98#3102#29NO advantage
Receiving Yards After Catch320#29437#18NYG advantage
YAC Average3.3#324.3#7NYG advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Rushing Yards496#10612#29NO advantage
Rushing Yards Per Game124#10153#4NYG advantage
Rushing Attempts113#9101#11NO advantage
Yards Per Rush Attempt4.4#166.1#2NYG advantage
Rushing 1st downs29#1031#23NO advantage
20+ Yard Rushing Plays0#315#2NYG advantage
Long Rushing18#3054#7NYG advantage
Rushing Fumbles0#315#2NYG advantage
Rushing Fumbles Lost0#170#14NYG advantage