NFLGame PreviewsSEA VS JAX Preview Week6 12-Oct-2025

Game Preview of Seattle Seahawks @ Jacksonville Jaguars. Week 6 of 2025 NFL Season

SEA logo

SEA

3-2-0
@
12OCT25
01:00pm
JAX logo

JAX

4-1-0
EverBank Stadium

Game Preview

The Seahawks visit the Jaguars at EverBank Stadium on Sunday, Oct. 12 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Jacksonville rides in with confidence after a dramatic win, while Seattle tries to steady a defense dealing with injuries and big plays allowed last week.

 

On paper, this sets up as a clean strength-on-strength battle. Seattle’s passing attack creates chunk gains. The Jaguars win with scheme and takeaways. The result could hinge on how often Seattle hits downfield and how often Jacksonville flips the field with turnovers.

 

Injuries loom over both secondaries. The Seahawks list Riq Woolen, Devon Witherspoon, and Julian Love as questionable. The Jaguars have Tyson Campbell and Greg Newsome II questionable as well. If either side is short, the other quarterback gets a tailwind.

 

Oddsmakers frame it tight. Jacksonville sits around a field-goal favorite with a total near 46.5. That fits two offenses that can move the ball, and two defenses that swing between stops and leaks based on situation and health.

Current Season Form

SEA logo

SEA

Away
Record:3-2-0
ATS:3-2-0
O/U:3-2-0
JAX logo

JAX

Home
Record:4-1-0
ATS:4-1-0
O/U:3-2-0

Head-to-Head Summary

Record:
3-2Winner logo
ATS:3-2-0
O/U:2-2-1

Past Results

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
2025-10-06vs KCW 31-28L -3.5o45.5
2025-09-28@ SFW 26-21W +3.5o45.5
2025-09-21vs HOUW 17-10W +1.5u43.5
2025-09-14@ CINL 27-31L 3.5o49.5
2025-09-07vs CARW 26-10W +4.5u45.5
2025-01-05@ INDL 23-26L 3.5o45.5
2024-12-29vs TENW 20-13W +-1.0u38.0
2024-12-22@ LVL 14-19L 2.5u41.5
2024-12-15vs NYJL 25-32L -3.5o41.5
2024-12-08@ TENW 10-6W +3.0u40.0

Key Insights

 

  • Seattle lives on explosives through the air. The Seahawks rank at the top in explosive pass rate (12.3%) and deep pass explosiveness (10.1%). Jacksonville’s defense is middle of the pack in limiting those shots, so contested catches and vertical routes matter.

  • Jacksonville’s defense hunts turnovers. The Jags lead the league in turnover generation rate (4.2%). That can erase drives and create short fields for their offense.

  • Red zone is a battleground. Seattle’s offense converts 72.2% of trips into touchdowns, while Jacksonville’s defense owns a 64.7% goal-line stuff rate. Power runs and tight-window throws decide points here.

  • Pass rush vs protection. Both offenses protect well (SEA 3.5% and JAX 3.4% sack rate allowed), while both defenses lag in converting pressure to sacks (JAX 3.0%, low percentile). Longer developing routes may be available.

  • Run game tilt. Seattle’s defense is elite at preventing breakaway runs (0.8% explosive runs allowed). Travis Etienne may need volume and patience over home-run carries.

  • Injury volatility in the secondary. Questionable tags for starting DBs on both sides could swing matchups for outside receivers and slot separators.

 

Betting Insights

  • Anchor spread: Jaguars -3.0 (+114) — plus money on the key number; turnover edge (JAX 4.2%) can be the difference in a one-score game.

  • Anchor total: 46.5Over -122 / Under -104. Explosive pass profile for SEA vs scheme-driven shots for JAX support scoring, but juice on the Over is heavy.

  • Team totals 23.5: JAX Over 23.5 (-123) ties to SEA’s DB injuries; SEA Over 23.5 (-115) matches their red-zone strength.

  • Trevor Lawrence over 228.5 pass yards (-119): Backed by JAX’s 5.6% scheme explosive rate and SEA’s banged-up secondary.

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 76.5 rec yards (-119): Fits SEA’s No. 1 explosive pass metrics vs JAX’s average deep-ball containment.

  • Kenneth Walker anytime TD (+118): Seattle’s 72.2% red-zone TD rate creates RB scoring chances.

  • Travis Etienne over 58.5 rush yards (-120): Role and usage favor a baseline, but note SEA’s elite explosive-run defense. Variance high.

  • Dyami Brown over 31.5 rec yards (-120, if active): If he suits up, the number is modest against a secondary with several Questionable tags.

Reminder: prices carry juice; shop for numbers and be mindful of late injury moves. For players listed Questionable, playback risk is higher.

Final Summary

Jacksonville’s edge is on the margins. The Jags protect the quarterback, design explosives with motion and misdirection, and take the ball away. That profile travels, but it also plays at home when the crowd can lift the pass rush on third down.

Seattle’s path runs through chunk plays and clean protection. If the tackles hold up and their top corners are active, the Seahawks can trade blows and finish drives. Their red-zone rate is real and keeps them in every game.

Given the matchups and the injuries, a field-goal game makes sense. The key swing plays are likely a deep shot by Seattle, a timely takeaway by Jacksonville, and short-yardage snaps in the red area.

If you’re betting it, the board points to Jaguars -3.0 (+114) as a plus-money take on a key number and a Total at 46.5 with an eye on late injury news. For props, lean into the passing games but respect volatility on any player carrying a Questionable tag.

Statistical Battle Boards

Viewing: JAX Offense vs SEA Defense
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Total Points127#9105#19JAX advantage
Total Points Per Game25.4#1021#11JAX advantage
Total Touchdowns13#1510#10SEA advantage
Passing Touchdowns6#278#18SEA advantage
Rushing Touchdowns6#92#4SEA advantage
Other Touchdowns1#110#10SEA advantage
Total Kicking Points43#741#11JAX advantage
Total Two Point Conversions0#222#2SEA advantage
Kick Extra Points13#88#27JAX advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Net Passing Yards1028#141199#7SEA advantage
Net Passing Yards Per Game206#17240#8SEA advantage
Passer Rating78.2#2888.3#22SEA advantage
Passing Attempts169#12185#28JAX advantage
Completions102#21130#3SEA advantage
Completion Percentage60.4#3070.3#27SEA advantage
Passing 1st downs50#1963#26JAX advantage
Passing 1st Down %52.1#2462.4#26JAX advantage
Longest Pass46#2765#8SEA advantage
Passing Fumbles Lost0#300#30🏈
Receiving Targets163#11178#4SEA advantage
Receptions102#21130#30JAX advantage
Receiving Yards After Catch514#18697#30JAX advantage
YAC Average5.0#165.4#23JAX advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Rushing Yards685#5415#3SEA advantage
Rushing Yards Per Game137#583#30JAX advantage
Rushing Attempts141#9125#14JAX advantage
Yards Per Rush Attempt4.9#63.3#31JAX advantage
Rushing 1st downs37#1025#9SEA advantage
20+ Yard Rushing Plays3#121#29JAX advantage
Long Rushing71#229#23JAX advantage
Rushing Fumbles3#121#29JAX advantage
Rushing Fumbles Lost1#140#29JAX advantage