NFLGame PreviewsSF VS NO Preview Week2 season 14-SEP-2025

Game Preview of San Francisco 49ers @ New Orleans Saints. Week 2 of 2025 NFL Season

SF logo

SF

1-0-0
@
14SEP25
01:00pm
NO logo

NO

0-1-0
Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA

Game Preview

The 49ers visit the Caesars Superdome on Sunday, 14 September (1:00 PM ET) for a tricky Week 2 test against the Saints. The number tells the story: San Francisco sits around a field goal favourite, with a total near 41. That signals a tight, lower-scoring game.

 

San Francisco’s passing edge remains their shot plays. Even with injuries, they rank well for explosive passes (14.7% rate; 88th percentile, 34-play sample). New Orleans answers with a real pass-rush pulse. The Saints sit near the top for sack rate generated (14.7%) and pressure-to-sack conversion (14.7%), both in the 97th percentile on a 34-snap sample. That trench battle will swing drives.

 

Injuries shape the handicap. The 49ers are without George Kittle (IR) and Brandon Aiyuk (Out); several wideouts are Questionable. Brock Purdy and Mac Jones both carry a Q tag, so plan for volatility at quarterback. The Saints are thin at tight end (Taysom Hill, Foster Moreau both Out) and have multiple tackles either on IR or Questionable, which could stress protection and the run game.

 

Money downs and field position may decide it. San Francisco’s defence has stopped 70% of third downs so far (84th percentile, small sample), while New Orleans has converted just 35.7%. If that holds, the 49ers can tilt possession and keep the Saints’ total in check.

Current Season Form

SF logo

SF

Away
Record:1-0-0
ATS:1-0-0
O/U:0-1-0
NO logo

NO

Home
Record:0-1-0
ATS:0-1-0
O/U:0-1-0

Head-to-Head Summary

Record:
3-2Winner logo
ATS:3-2-0
O/U:3-2-0

Past Results

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
2025-09-07vs ARIL 13-20L -6.0u44.5
2025-01-05@ TBL 19-27L 14.5o44.5
2024-12-29vs LVL 10-25L -2.0u37.5
2024-12-23@ GBL 0-34L 14.0u44.0
2024-12-15vs WASL 19-20L -7.5u44.5
2024-12-08@ NYGW 14-11W +-5.5u41.0
2024-12-01vs LARL 14-21L -2.5u48.5
2024-11-17vs CLEW 35-14W +-1.0o44.0
2024-11-10vs ATLW 20-17L -3.5u46.5
2024-11-03@ CARL 22-23W +-7.0o43.5

Key Insights

 

  • Anchor line: 49ers -3.5 (-103) and total 41.0 (O -114 / U -122).

  • SF explosive pass game: 14.7% explosive pass rate (88th pct; 34-play sample).

  • NO pass rush pops: 14.7% sack rate and 14.7% pressure-to-sack conversion (both 97th pct; 34-snap sample).

  • SF third-down D: 70% stop rate (84th pct; 10 opp tries, small sample) vs NO offence 35.7% conversions (30th pct).

  • Saints pace lever: no-huddle usage 30.4% (97th pct; 92-play sample) could lift target volume for WRs/RB.

  • Run-D watch: NO has allowed 7.4% explosive runs (19th pct; 27-play sample).

 

 

Betting Insights

 

  • Spread decision point: If you like the 49ers, -3.5 at (-103) is cheaper juice than -3 at (-122), but you pay the hook. If you prefer the key number, lay -3 at a higher price. 

  • Total lean: Under 41.0 (-122) fits a game with QB uncertainty and modest red-zone TD rates (SF 40.0%, NO 25.0%; both small samples).

  • Saints team total: Under 18.5 (-116) aligns with SF’s 70% third-down stop rate and the Saints’ injuries up front. 

  • First-quarter pace check: Under 7.5 (-145) mirrors the full-game Under lean in a scripted start. 

  • Player prop: Spencer Rattler under 206.5 passing yards (-119) Saints’ explosive pass rate sits at just 2.1% (6th pct), while SF has been strong on third downs. 

  • Player prop: Christian McCaffrey over 83.5 rushing yards (-120) Saints’ D has allowed a 7.4% explosive run rate (19th pct). 

 

 

Final Summary

This looks like a field-position game. San Francisco’s ability to hit explosives meets a Saints rush that can finish plays. If the 49ers stay on schedule and win third downs, their defence can keep New Orleans in the teens.

Given the injuries, San Francisco may lean on the ground. That supports a McCaffrey yards Over more than splashy receiving props for SF’s banged-up pass-catchers. On the other side, New Orleans’ no-huddle tendency boosts reception volume for Chris Olave and Alvin Kamara, but sustained drives could still be tough if protection wobbles.

Our card tilts conservative: slight edge to 49ers at the current number, a lean to Under 41.0, and Saints team total Under 18.5. Props we like most: Rattler under 206.5 passing yards and McCaffrey over 83.5 rushing yards at the listed SBK prices. Manage stake size; several team metrics come from small early-season samples, and both starting-QB statuses are still Questionable.

Statistical Battle Boards

Viewing: NO Offense vs SF Defense
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Total Points13#2513#26NO advantage
Total Points Per Game13#2513#9SF advantage
Total Touchdowns1#291#9SF advantage
Passing Touchdowns0#270#4SF advantage
Rushing Touchdowns1#181#22NO advantage
Other Touchdowns0#100#18NO advantage
Total Kicking Points7#177#17🏈
Total Two Point Conversions0#260#16SF advantage
Kick Extra Points1#241#22SF advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Net Passing Yards208#14146#25NO advantage
Net Passing Yards Per Game208#14146#25NO advantage
Passer Rating70.4#2787.2#20SF advantage
Passing Attempts46#223#7NO advantage
Completions27#516#27NO advantage
Completion Percentage58.7#2869.6#18SF advantage
Passing 1st downs12#126#4SF advantage
Passing 1st Down %57.1#1642.9#7SF advantage
Longest Pass21#3140#8SF advantage
Passing Fumbles Lost0#222#1SF advantage
Receiving Targets41#522#27NO advantage
Receptions27#516#7NO advantage
Receiving Yards After Catch85#1647#3SF advantage
YAC Average3.1#292.9#3SF advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Rushing Yards107#1684#13SF advantage
Rushing Yards Per Game107#1684#20NO advantage
Rushing Attempts22#2726#18SF advantage
Yards Per Rush Attempt4.9#93.2#23NO advantage
Rushing 1st downs5#216#20SF advantage
20+ Yard Rushing Plays0#150#23NO advantage
Long Rushing18#149#30NO advantage
Rushing Fumbles0#150#23NO advantage
Rushing Fumbles Lost0#250#15SF advantage