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The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
SF @ LV · odds in decimalNothing on the wire for this game yet. Line moves, picks and scores land here.
San Francisco 49ers vs Las Vegas Raiders Game Preview
San Francisco's last season offense ranked 88th in early down success, 100th in third-down conversion, and 89th in red zone touchdown rate. Las Vegas ranked near the bottom of the league in almost every offensive category and posted a 2nd-percentile sack rate allowed, one of the worst offensive line performances in the league.
The 49ers carry a wide efficiency edge into Allegiant Stadium, but their own pass rush generated sacks at just the 3rd percentile last season, which limits their ability to pressure the Raiders' quarterback and force the offense off the field. Las Vegas gave their defense little margin for error in last season's results.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
San Francisco 49ers vs Las Vegas Raiders Key Insights
- San Francisco's red zone execution (89th pctl last season) against a Raiders team that ranked 6th in points per drive, testing whether Las Vegas can sustain drives long enough to keep this competitive
- Las Vegas's offensive line (2nd pctl sack rate allowed last season) against a 49ers pass rush that ranked 3rd in sack generation, an unusual pairing of the league's worst protection and one of the softest pass rushes
- Third-down conversion: 49ers ranked 100th last season, Raiders 14th, a gap that shapes how many scoring opportunities each team creates across a full game
Key Players
Passing YardsSF
Mac Jones
89YDS
6/13QB
Rushing YardsSF
Sincere McCormick
53YDS
6 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsSF
KhaDarel Hodge
46YDS
4 RECWR
SacksSF
Victor Dimukeje
1SACKS
DE
TacklesSF
Tatum Bethune
6TOT
LB
Passing YardsLV
Aidan O'Connell
166YDS
15/24QB
Rushing YardsLV
Mike Washington Jr.
56YDS
9 CARRB
Receiving YardsLV
Brandon Johnson
41YDS
2 RECWR
SacksLV
Patrick Johnson
1SACKS
DE
TacklesLV
Tristin McCollum
7TOT
S
Recent Form2025 season
San Francisco 49ers
L13-3Seattle Seahawks
W23-19Philadelphia Eagles
L41-6Seattle Seahawks
L19-13Tennessee Titans
W41-17Los Angeles Chargers
Las Vegas Raiders
L23-21Houston Texans
L34-10New York Giants
W14-12Kansas City Chiefs
L27-14Arizona Cardinals
W22-20Houston Texans
Early look at San Francisco 49ers vs Las Vegas Raiders. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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