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The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
ATL @ MIA · odds in decimalNothing on the wire for this game yet. Line moves, picks and scores land here.
Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins Game Preview
Atlanta's defense generated sacks at the 91st percentile last season while their offense protected the quarterback at the 84th percentile. Miami's run game ranked 97th in explosive run rate, though the Dolphins operated at just the 5th percentile in pace. Neither team scored at a high rate last season: Atlanta ranked 23rd in points per drive, Miami 30th.
Atlanta struggled on third downs (14th pctl) and Miami ranked 19th, meaning both offenses were more likely to punt than convert in last season's results. The Falcons' pass rush faces a Dolphins offense that moved the ball primarily through the ground, with explosive pass production at the 61st percentile and a pace among the slowest in the league.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins Key Insights
- Atlanta's sack generation (91st pctl last season) against Miami's pass protection (38th pctl), a 53-point gap that gives the Falcons a clear edge in disrupting the Dolphins' passing game
- Miami's explosive run attack (97th pctl last season) as their primary weapon against a Falcons defense that generated turnovers at the 72nd percentile
- Third-down conversion: both teams ranked in the bottom 20% last season, suggesting sustained drives will be difficult for either offense throughout the game
Key Players
Passing YardsATL
Jack Strand
212YDS
12/17, 1 TDQB
Rushing YardsATL
Tyler Goodson
59YDS
6 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsATL
Cash Jones
62YDS
4 REC, 1 TDRB
SacksATL
Chris Williams
1SACKS
DT
TacklesATL
Josh Woods
5TOT
LB
Passing YardsMIA
Cam Miller
60YDS
6/11QB
Rushing YardsMIA
Cam Miller
18YDS
2 CARQB
Receiving YardsMIA
Kevin Coleman Jr.
32YDS
2 RECWR
SacksMIA
Seth Coleman-Lyles
0.5SACKS
DE
TacklesMIA
Cam Riley
10TOT
LB
Recent Form2025 season
Atlanta Falcons
W26-19Arizona Cardinals
W27-24Los Angeles Rams
W19-17New Orleans Saints
L27-7Denver Broncos
W34-6Indianapolis Colts
Miami Dolphins
L45-21Cincinnati Bengals
W20-17Tampa Bay Buccaneers
L38-10New England Patriots
L20-7Washington Commanders
L26-3New York Giants
Early look at Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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