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The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
SEA @ KC · odds in decimalNothing on the wire for this game yet. Line moves, picks and scores land here.
Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs Game Preview
Seattle last season ranked 92nd in explosive pass rate, 89th in explosive run rate, and 89th in turnover generation, building an offense around big plays in both phases. Kansas City ranked 84th in early down success and 64th in red zone touchdown rate, but their explosive run game ranked at just the 5th percentile.
The most significant gap between these teams is in explosive run rate: Seattle at 89th percentile, Kansas City at 5th, an 84-point spread. The Chiefs built their offense through sustained early-down efficiency rather than big plays; the Seahawks operate through explosiveness on the ground and through the air, backed by a defense that generated turnovers at the 89th percentile at Arrowhead.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs Key Insights
- Seattle's explosive run game (89th pctl last season) against Kansas City's ground-game defense, given the Chiefs' own 5th-percentile explosive run rate reflects a team that does not attack through the running game
- Kansas City's early-down efficiency (84th pctl last season) against Seattle's turnover-generating defense (89th pctl), as the Chiefs' methodical approach faces a Seahawks unit built to force mistakes
- Seattle's explosive pass rate (92nd pctl last season) and whether Kansas City's secondary can limit big plays while simultaneously containing the run game
Key Players
Passing YardsSEA
Drew Lock
103YDS
12/14, 1 TDQB
Rushing YardsSEA
Jacardia Wright
81YDS
8 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsSEA
Elijah Arroyo
50YDS
2 REC, 1 TDTE
SacksSEA
Connor O'Toole
1.5SACKS
LB
TacklesSEA
J.R. Singleton
10TOT
DT
Passing YardsKC
Garrett Nussmeier
74YDS
9/17QB
Rushing YardsKC
Brashard Smith
37YDS
6 CARRB
Receiving YardsKC
Jalen Royals
51YDS
6 RECWR
SacksKC
Felix Anudike-Uzomah
1SACKS
DE
TacklesKC
DeShon Singleton
8TOT
S
Recent Form2025 season
Seattle Seahawks
W41-6San Francisco 49ers
W31-27Los Angeles Rams
W29-13New England Patriots
L17-7Dallas Cowboys
L19-16Tennessee Titans
Kansas City Chiefs
L26-9Tennessee Titans
L20-13Denver Broncos
L14-12Las Vegas Raiders
L20-12Los Angeles Rams
L16-15Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Early look at Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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