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The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
MIN @ DEN · odds in decimalNothing on the wire for this game yet. Line moves, picks and scores land here.
Minnesota Vikings vs Denver Broncos Game Preview
Minnesota last season generated sacks at the 97th percentile but protected their own quarterback at just the 2nd percentile in sack rate allowed. Denver ranked 100th in sack generation while protecting at the 97th percentile, the near-inverse of Minnesota's profile. The Vikings' third-down conversion ranked 3rd; Denver's ranked 69th.
Two teams with elite pass rushes meet offenses with dramatically different protection profiles. Minnesota's offensive line was among the worst in the league at preventing sacks last season, and it now faces the top-ranked sack-generating defense. Denver's protection was among the best, facing a Vikings pass rush ranked one step below Denver's own.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Minnesota Vikings vs Denver Broncos Key Insights
- Denver's sack generation (100th pctl last season) against Minnesota's pass protection (2nd pctl sack rate allowed), the most dramatic single-matchup gap on the week's slate
- Denver's offensive line (97th pctl sack rate allowed last season) against a Vikings pass rush that ranked 97th in sack generation, a near-mirror matchup at the line of scrimmage going the other direction
- Third-down conversion: Vikings ranked 3rd pctl last season, Broncos 69th, a 66-point gap that shapes how efficiently each team can sustain drives once they begin
Key Players
Passing YardsMIN
Max Brosmer
98YDS
11/17, 1 INTQB
Rushing YardsMIN
Zavier Scott
28YDS
7 CARRB
Receiving YardsMIN
Tai Felton
66YDS
3 RECWR
SacksMIN
Kenny Dyson Jr.
1SACKS
LB
TacklesMIN
Jacob Roberts
6TOT
LB
Passing YardsDEN
Jarrett Stidham
82YDS
9/15, 1 INTQB
Rushing YardsDEN
Cody Schrader
15YDS
4 CARRB
Receiving YardsDEN
Jaylen Waddle
35YDS
1 RECWR
SacksDEN
Que Robinson
1SACKS
LB
TacklesDEN
Red Murdock
7TOT
LB
Recent Form2025 season
Minnesota Vikings
W16-13New York Giants
W23-10Detroit Lions
W16-3Green Bay Packers
W13-10New York Giants
L13-3Baltimore Ravens
Denver Broncos
W19-3Los Angeles Chargers
L10-7New England Patriots
W27-7Atlanta Falcons
L33-13Green Bay Packers
Early look at Minnesota Vikings vs Denver Broncos. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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