The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
CLE @ NYJ · odds in decimalLoading events...
Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets Game Preview
Both offenses have struggled to protect the quarterback this season: Cleveland's sack rate allowed ranks 22nd and New York's 12th, placing them among the more vulnerable lines in the league. Neither team has been strong on third down, with the Browns at the 22nd percentile and the Jets at the 14th. The Jets have been effective on early downs (88th pctl) and have generated explosive plays through the air at the 66th percentile, but have not translated that efficiency into redzone scores, ranking 19th.
Cleveland's pass rush ranks 69th, a meaningful gap above the Jets' 56th, and both teams run at an identical 16th percentile pace, making this a slow, field-position-heavy game. Neither offense scores consistently, and turnovers are likely to have outsized influence on the final margin.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets Key Insights
- The pass protection problem for both offenses, Cleveland at 22nd and New York at 12th in sack rate allowed, and how each line holds up under pressure
- New York's early-down efficiency (88th pctl) and whether it translates to redzone opportunities the Jets have not been converting (19th pctl redzone TD rate)
- Cleveland's pass rush (69th pctl) versus the Jets' protection (12th pctl sack rate allowed), the clearest edge in a game where both defenses generate pressure but face exposed offensive lines
Key Players
Passing YardsCLE
Deshaun Watson
855YDS
80/115, 6 TD, 2 INTQB
Rushing YardsCLE
Quinshon Judkins
177YDS
59 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsCLE
Denzel Boston
284YDS
13 REC, 2 TDWR
SacksCLE
Mason Graham
4SACKS
DT
TacklesCLE
Carson Schwesinger
35TOT
LB
Passing YardsNYJ
Geno Smith
902YDS
85/117, 5 TDQB
Rushing YardsNYJ
Breece Hall
163YDS
51 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsNYJ
Garrett Wilson
270YDS
24 REC, 2 TDWR
SacksNYJ
Demario Davis
2SACKS
LB
TacklesNYJ
Demario Davis
32TOT
LB
Recent Form
Cleveland Browns
W37-13New England Patriots
L34-10Jacksonville Jaguars
W23-19Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W21-18Carolina Panthers
W27-24Pittsburgh Steelers
New York Jets
L23-6New York Giants
W23-10Tennessee Titans
L31-24Detroit Lions
L23-12Chicago Bears
Early look at Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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