The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
PIT @ TB · odds in decimalLoading events...
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Game Preview
Pittsburgh's ground game has big-play capability (78th pctl explosive run rate) but the offense stalls often -- early-down success at 19th pctl, third-down conversion at 16th pctl, points per drive at 19th pctl. The Steelers force turnovers at a solid 73rd pctl rate, which could be critical against a Tampa Bay offense that also struggles to score (12th pctl points per drive, 23rd pctl red zone TD rate).
Tampa Bay's protection is among the worst in the league (6th pctl sack rate allowed), while the Buccaneers generate almost no pass rush of their own (14th pctl). Pittsburgh's pass rush (59th pctl) has a clear lane to create pressure. With both offenses near the bottom in scoring, turnovers and short-field opportunities could be decisive.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Key Insights
- Pittsburgh's explosive run game (78th pctl) as the most reliable path to consistent yardage against a Tampa Bay defense that generates little pass rush (14th pctl)
- Tampa Bay's protection (6th pctl sack rate allowed) against Pittsburgh's pass rush (59th pctl) -- the Bucs' OL is severely exposed
- Turnover generation on both sides -- Pittsburgh at 73rd pctl vs. Tampa Bay at 58th pctl -- in a game where neither offense is expected to sustain long scoring drives
Key Players
Passing YardsPIT
Aaron Rodgers
1,234YDS
110/184, 10 TD, 4 INTQB
Rushing YardsPIT
Jaylen Warren
410YDS
70 CAR, 1 TDRB
Receiving YardsPIT
Jaylen Warren
230YDS
19 REC, 1 TDRB
SacksPIT
T.J. Watt
4.5SACKS
LB
TacklesPIT
Payton Wilson
46TOT
LB
Passing YardsTB
Baker Mayfield
615YDS
61/96, 2 TD, 2 INTQB
Rushing YardsTB
Bucky Irving
406YDS
77 CAR, 2 TDRB
Receiving YardsTB
Emeka Egbuka
192YDS
21 REC, 1 TDWR
SacksTB
David Walker
2SACKS
LB
TacklesTB
Josiah Trotter
41TOT
LB
Recent Form
Pittsburgh Steelers
W20-13Atlanta Falcons
L20-3New England Patriots
W30-27Cincinnati Bengals
L27-24Cleveland Browns
W34-22Indianapolis Colts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
L33-27Cincinnati Bengals
L23-19Cleveland Browns
L23-16Minnesota Vikings
L17-14Green Bay Packers
W24-16Dallas Cowboys
Early look at Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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