The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
DAL @ GB · odds in decimalLoading events...
Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers Game Preview
Dallas converts at elite rates once they have the ball in scoring position -- red zone TD rate at 100th pctl, third-down conversion at 91st pctl, points per drive at 97th pctl. The challenge is protection: the offensive line allows sacks at a 94th pctl rate, among the worst in the league, and the defense generates turnovers at just 6th pctl.
Green Bay has a strong pass rush (75th pctl) that aligns directly with Dallas's protection vulnerability, and the Packers force turnovers at an 89th pctl rate. Green Bay's own third-down conversion (3rd pctl) is a dramatic weakness -- they struggle to sustain drives once under pressure. The matchup pits Dallas's finishing ability against Green Bay's capacity to create chaos and take the ball away.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers Key Insights
- Green Bay's pass rush (75th pctl) against a Dallas offensive line that allows sacks at a 94th pctl rate -- a direct stylistic conflict that shapes field position throughout
- Green Bay's turnover generation (89th pctl) against a Dallas defense that creates turnovers at just 6th pctl -- ball security is the Cowboys' greatest defensive vulnerability
- Dallas's elite red zone finishing (100th pctl) against a Packers defense that will try to prevent drives from reaching scoring range while itself struggling to convert third downs (3rd pctl)
Key Players
Passing YardsDAL
Dak Prescott
1,381YDS
129/192, 9 TD, 3 INTQB
Rushing YardsDAL
Javonte Williams
276YDS
74 CAR, 6 TDRB
Receiving YardsDAL
CeeDee Lamb
507YDS
39 REC, 4 TDWR
SacksDAL
Quinnen Williams
1SACKS
DT
TacklesDAL
Dee Winters
35TOT
LB
Passing YardsGB
Jordan Love
1,408YDS
112/185, 10 TD, 3 INTQB
Rushing YardsGB
MarShawn Lloyd
112YDS
40 CAR, 2 TDRB
Receiving YardsGB
Christian Watson
474YDS
26 REC, 6 TDWR
SacksGB
Edgerrin Cooper
3SACKS
LB
TacklesGB
Evan Williams
49TOT
S
Recent Form
Dallas Cowboys
L28-20New York Giants
W37-20Washington Commanders
L34-31Baltimore Ravens
W34-30Houston Texans
L24-16Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers
L39-22Minnesota Vikings
L35-14Atlanta Falcons
W17-14Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W31-7Chicago Bears
Early look at Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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