The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
GB @ DET · odds in decimalLoading events...
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Game Preview
Detroit's offense is operating at an elite level across nearly every category: 97th in points per drive, 97th in explosive run rate, 92nd in red zone touchdown rate, 84th in early-down success, and the pass rush generates sacks at the 91st percentile. The Lions also play at the 81st-percentile pace. Green Bay's offense is limited across the board except for a big-play passing attack at the 81st percentile.
The Packers' defense creates turnovers at the 95th percentile, 70 points above the Lions' 25th, which is Green Bay's primary path to disrupting a Detroit offense that rarely gives up possession. The Lions' pass rush (91st) faces a Packers offensive line at the 64th percentile, and that big-play passing attack will need protection to function.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Key Insights
- Detroit's elite run game (97th pctl in explosive run rate) against a Packers offense that generates explosive runs at just the 9th percentile, the most lopsided run game contrast on the slate
- Green Bay's turnover creation (95th pctl) as the essential disruption mechanism against a Lions offense scoring at the 97th percentile in points per drive
- Lions' pass rush (91st pctl) against a Packers offensive line at the 64th percentile, with Green Bay's big-play passing (81st pctl) depending on protection holding up
Key Players
Passing YardsGB
Jordan Love
1,684YDS
135/226, 11 TD, 4 INTQB
Rushing YardsGB
MarShawn Lloyd
122YDS
48 CAR, 2 TDRB
Receiving YardsGB
Christian Watson
538YDS
29 REC, 6 TDWR
SacksGB
Lukas Van Ness
3.5SACKS
DE
TacklesGB
Evan Williams
52TOT
S
Passing YardsDET
Jared Goff
1,485YDS
128/191, 12 TDQB
Rushing YardsDET
Jahmyr Gibbs
504YDS
105 CAR, 7 TDRB
Receiving YardsDET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
372YDS
37 REC, 5 TDWR
SacksDET
DJ Wonnum
5SACKS
LB
TacklesDET
Jack Campbell
43TOT
LB
Recent Form
Green Bay Packers
L35-14Atlanta Falcons
W17-14Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W31-7Chicago Bears
W23-13Dallas Cowboys
Detroit Lions
L41-31Buffalo Bills
W31-24New York Jets
L32-26Carolina Panthers
W45-21Arizona Cardinals
Early look at Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
Frequently Asked Questions
