Seattle's core vulnerability is third-down conversion, ranking at the 12th percentile, 50 points below Kansas City's 62nd. The Seahawks also generate turnovers at the 81st percentile, and their offensive attack produces big plays at a solid clip. The Chiefs' pass rush is limited (14th pctl), giving Seattle's offense time to operate on its own terms.

Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.

• Seattle's 83rd-percentile pass rush against Kansas City's elite pass protection (88th pctl), the highest-level pressure-vs-protection matchup on the slate
• Chiefs' early-down dominance (97th pctl) against a Seahawks team that converts third downs at just the 12th percentile -- if KC creates long third downs, Seattle will struggle to respond
• Turnover battle: Chiefs create them at the 95th percentile, Seahawks at the 81st, both defenses are aggressive and ball security will matter throughout