The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
MIN @ DET · odds in decimalLoading events...
Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions Game Preview
Detroit's offense has been among the most productive in the league, scoring at the 97th pctl in points per drive, running explosively at the 92nd pctl, and succeeding on early downs at the 86th pctl. Minnesota's defense arrives as the most natural obstacle, ranking at the 100th pctl in both pass rush and turnover creation, a combination capable of suppressing even the most efficient offensive units.
The problem for the Vikings is their own offense, which ranks at the 12th pctl in early down success and the 28th pctl in points per drive, with pass protection graded at just the 6th pctl. Detroit's pass rush grades at the 81st pctl, meaning Minnesota's offensive line faces one of the more dangerous fronts it has encountered all season.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions Key Insights
- Minnesota's elite pass rush (100th pctl) against Detroit's offensive line, whether the Vikings can generate enough disruption to slow a Lions offense scoring at the 97th pctl in points per drive
- Minnesota's 6th pctl pass protection against Detroit's 81st pctl pass rush, a structural mismatch that could define how much the Vikings' offense can contribute
- Detroit's 92nd pctl explosive run rate against a Vikings defense that also ranks at the 100th pctl in turnover creation, whether the Lions can sustain their big-play ground game under pressure
Key Players
Passing YardsMIN
Kyler Murray
812YDS
83/125, 3 TD, 2 INTQB
Rushing YardsMIN
Aaron Jones Sr.
436YDS
105 CAR, 2 TDRB
Receiving YardsMIN
Justin Jefferson
302YDS
23 REC, 3 TDWR
SacksMIN
Dallas Turner
6SACKS
LB
TacklesMIN
Blake Cashman
54TOT
LB
Passing YardsDET
Jared Goff
1,788YDS
150/223, 14 TDQB
Rushing YardsDET
Jahmyr Gibbs
620YDS
134 CAR, 7 TDRB
Receiving YardsDET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
525YDS
46 REC, 5 TDWR
SacksDET
DJ Wonnum
5SACKS
LB
TacklesDET
Jack Campbell
54TOT
LB
Recent Form
Minnesota Vikings
W9-3Chicago Bears
W23-16Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W15-10Miami Dolphins
W23-13New Orleans Saints
W16-10Indianapolis Colts
Detroit Lions
L41-31Buffalo Bills
W31-24New York Jets
L32-26Carolina Panthers
W45-21Arizona Cardinals
W20-17Green Bay Packers
Early look at Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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