Tampa's clearest defensive advantage is turnover creation at the 78th pctl, 28 points better than Atlanta's 50th pctl mark, and the Buccaneers convert third downs at a solid 62nd pctl rate despite limited explosive ability, suggesting they sustain drives methodically. Both pass rushes sit in a similar middle range, with Atlanta at the 36th pctl and Tampa at the 45th, leaving neither side a dominant edge there.

Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.

• Atlanta's 81st pctl explosive pass rate against Tampa's 9th pctl pass protection, whether the Falcons' passing attack can consistently threaten a vulnerable Bucs line
• Tampa's 78th pctl turnover creation against Atlanta's offense, if the Buccaneers can flip possessions, it offsets their scoring disadvantage
• Atlanta's redzone efficiency (77th pctl) against a Tampa defense that generates turnovers at a high rate but converts touchdowns at only the 41st pctl on offense