NFL→Game Previews→Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
@
Empower Field at Mile High

The Call

Win probability, price movement and our picks · KC @ DEN
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.

The Wire

KC @ DEN · odds in decimal
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Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Game Preview

Kansas City succeeds on early downs at the 97th pctl, a 72-point gap over Denver's 25th pctl, while protecting the passer at the 91st pctl and creating turnovers at the 94th pctl. The Chiefs also run explosively at the 92nd pctl, adding a dimension Denver's defense must account for beyond the passing game.

Denver has a meaningful pass rush at the 77th pctl and protects its own passer at the 81st pctl, but the offense's inability to convert third downs (6th pctl) and score (22nd pctl in points per drive) limits how much sustained pressure it can apply against a Kansas City unit that converts early downs at elite efficiency. The Chiefs' advantages in early-down success and turnover creation represent the widest paired gaps in the game.

Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Key Insights

  • Denver's 77th pctl pass rush against Kansas City's 91st pctl pass protection, whether the Broncos' front can generate disruption against one of the best-protected offenses in the league
  • Kansas City's 94th pctl turnover creation against a Denver offense converting third downs at just the 6th pctl, how many possessions the Chiefs can generate from forced punts and takeaways
  • Denver's 81st pctl pass protection versus Kansas City's 9th pctl pass rush, the Broncos can likely keep their own quarterback clean, but must find ways to sustain drives on third down

Key Players

Passing YardsKC
Patrick Mahomes
1,474YDS
124/191, 9 TD, 4 INTQB
Rushing YardsKC
Kenneth Walker III
701YDS
120 CAR, 6 TDRB
Receiving YardsKC
Travis Kelce
343YDS
24 REC, 2 TDTE
SacksKC
Chamarri Conner
1SACKS
S
TacklesKC
Nick Bolton
59TOT
LB
Passing YardsDEN
Bo Nix
1,271YDS
129/218, 7 TD, 3 INTQB
Rushing YardsDEN
J.K. Dobbins
293YDS
87 CAR, 3 TDRB
Receiving YardsDEN
Jaylen Waddle
276YDS
26 REC, 1 TDWR
SacksDEN
Zach Allen
4.5SACKS
DE
TacklesDEN
Alex Singleton
87TOT
LB

Recent Form

Kansas City Chiefs
W24-10Miami Dolphins
W30-27Las Vegas Raiders
W22-6Los Angeles Chargers
L20-3Seattle Seahawks
Denver Broncos
W30-26Los Angeles Rams
L24-14San Francisco 49ers
W23-17Los Angeles Chargers
W30-16Arizona Cardinals

Early look at Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.

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