The Call
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.
The Wire
NYJ @ KC · odds in decimalLoading events...
New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs Game Preview
Two of the league's best early-down offenses meet at Arrowhead, New York ranks at the 97th percentile and Kansas City at the 94th, a near-even foundation for both units. The sharpest contrast is at the line of scrimmage: the Jets' pass rush sits at the 81st percentile while Kansas City's offensive line protects at the 88th percentile, a direct collision that will shape the game's tempo.
New York's most pressing problem is finishing drives: a 3rd-percentile red zone touchdown rate means the Jets have been stranding possessions all season. Kansas City generates turnovers at a 72nd-percentile rate compared to New York's 25th, and the Chiefs' ground game is explosive at the 91st percentile. The Jets can move the ball; converting those drives into points is the question.
Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.
New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs Key Insights
- New York's pass rush (81st pctl) against Kansas City's elite pass protection (88th pctl), a true line-of-scrimmage battle between complementary strengths
- New York's historically poor red zone conversion (3rd pctl) against Kansas City's red zone defense, whether the Jets can turn possessions into scores
- Kansas City's turnover-generation edge (72nd vs. 25th pctl for New York) and how much it influences field position throughout the game
Key Players
Passing YardsNYJ
Geno Smith
1,913YDS
165/239, 12 TD, 3 INTQB
Rushing YardsNYJ
Braelon Allen
565YDS
112 CAR, 3 TDRB
Receiving YardsNYJ
Garrett Wilson
527YDS
43 REC, 3 TDWR
SacksNYJ
David Bailey
5.5SACKS
LB
TacklesNYJ
Jamien Sherwood
68TOT
LB
Passing YardsKC
Patrick Mahomes
1,795YDS
154/232, 12 TD, 4 INTQB
Rushing YardsKC
Kenneth Walker III
770YDS
141 CAR, 6 TDRB
Receiving YardsKC
Travis Kelce
410YDS
29 REC, 2 TDTE
SacksKC
George Karlaftis
2SACKS
DE
TacklesKC
Nick Bolton
68TOT
LB
Recent Form
New York Jets
L23-12Chicago Bears
W17-12Cleveland Browns
L26-19New England Patriots
L28-25Miami Dolphins
L38-33Las Vegas Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
W24-10Miami Dolphins
W30-27Las Vegas Raiders
W22-6Los Angeles Chargers
L20-3Seattle Seahawks
L28-24Denver Broncos
Early look at New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.
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