NFL→Game Previews→Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET
@
U.S. Bank Stadium

The Call

Win probability, price movement and our picks · BUF @ MIN
Win probability lands with picks the day before kickoff; live market pricing follows once books post prices.
Picks drop the day before kickoff
The model runs after final injury reports. Until then the story below is the substance, and it updates daily.

The Wire

BUF @ MIN · odds in decimal
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Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings Game Preview

Buffalo ranks at the 100th percentile in points per drive, explosive passing, and explosive run rate, an offense operating at historically efficient levels across every production category. Minnesota counters with the league's top-ranked pass rush (100th percentile in sack rate generated) and a 94th-percentile turnover-generation unit, the defensive profile best designed to challenge an offense of this caliber.

The tension runs in both directions. Minnesota's offensive line ranks at the 9th percentile in sack rate allowed and the Vikings convert third downs at just a 19th-percentile rate, leaving the offense structurally limited regardless of opponent. Buffalo's pass protection (56th percentile) will be tested by the elite Vikings pass rush, making each team's defensive success a potential multiplier for the other's offensive shortcomings.

Check back the day before the game for the full preview and picks.

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings Key Insights

  • Minnesota's elite pass rush (100th pctl) against Buffalo's pass protection (56th pctl), the Vikings' primary mechanism for disrupting the league's top scoring offense
  • Buffalo's explosive passing and running (both 100th pctl) against a Minnesota defense generating turnovers at a 94th-percentile rate, the most high-stakes unit matchup of the week
  • Minnesota's struggling offensive line (9th pctl sack rate allowed) against any Bills defensive pressure, the Vikings cannot afford turnover chains against an offense that wastes almost nothing

Key Players

Passing YardsBUF
Josh Allen
1,793YDS
135/205, 11 TD, 5 INTQB
Rushing YardsBUF
James Cook III
707YDS
138 CAR, 7 TDRB
Receiving YardsBUF
Dalton Kincaid
401YDS
27 REC, 2 TDTE
SacksBUF
Greg Rousseau
7SACKS
LB
TacklesBUF
Terrel Bernard
51TOT
LB
Passing YardsMIN
Kyler Murray
1,022YDS
100/154, 5 TD, 3 INTQB
Rushing YardsMIN
Aaron Jones Sr.
458YDS
110 CAR, 2 TDRB
Receiving YardsMIN
Justin Jefferson
335YDS
28 REC, 4 TDWR
SacksMIN
Andrew Van Ginkel
6.5SACKS
LB
TacklesMIN
Blake Cashman
64TOT
LB

Recent Form

Buffalo Bills
W24-16Los Angeles Chargers
L29-26New England Patriots
W33-30Las Vegas Raiders
W36-10Baltimore Ravens
Minnesota Vikings
W23-16Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W15-10Miami Dolphins
W23-13New Orleans Saints
W16-10Indianapolis Colts
L19-15Detroit Lions

Early look at Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings. Full preview and picks land the day before the game.

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