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BAL
CHI
Game Preview
Chicago comes in confident. The Bears have stacked wins behind a revived ground game and a defense that takes the ball away. They are 4-2 and pushing for NFC playoff position. But this is a step up in urgency. Baltimore’s backs are against the wall, and the home crowd will feel it.
On the field, expect the Ravens to lean into runs and play-action. Their offense creates explosive gains on the ground, and Jackson’s legs change how defenses fit gaps. The Bears are elite on third down, but that can lead to scramble lanes when plays break. If Jackson is in, Baltimore’s playbook opens.
Chicago will try to keep the same formula: run with D’Andre Swift, then create a few shot plays. Caleb Williams has had uneven stretches, but the Bears carry real quick-strike ability. If their injured skill players dress, they can challenge a banged-up Ravens secondary.
Current Season Form
BAL
AwayCHI
HomeHead-to-Head Summary
Past Results
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | vs LAR | L 3-17 | L -7.0 | u43.5 |
| 2025-10-05 | vs HOU | L 10-44 | L -2.5 | o41.5 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ KC | L 20-37 | L -2.5 | o48.5 |
| 2025-09-22 | vs DET | L 30-38 | L 4.5 | o53.5 |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CLE | W 41-17 | W +12.5 | o46.5 |
| 2025-09-07 | @ BUF | L 40-41 | W +-1.5 | o50.5 |
| 2025-01-19 | @ BUF | L 25-27 | L -1.5 | o51.5 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs PIT | W 28-14 | W +9.5 | u44.5 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs CLE | W 35-10 | W +19.5 | o42.5 |
| 2024-12-25 | @ HOU | W 31-2 | W +-5.5 | u46.5 |
Key Insights
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Baltimore’s offense ranks high in explosive run rate (5.8%, 84th pct). That stresses a Bears defense that has allowed explosive runs at a 6.0% rate (16th pct).
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The Ravens own a league-best big-play touchdown rate (45.5%, 100th pct on a small 22-play sample). Chicago’s explosive pass allowed rate is mid-pack (7.6%, 41st pct).
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Chicago’s defense is a takeaway machine (4.5% turnover rate, best in NFL) and elite on third down (69.0% stop rate, 97th pct). That can stall Baltimore’s longer drives (Ravens long-drive efficiency 68.8%, 6th pct).
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Baltimore’s pass rush has struggled to finish (pressure-to-sack conversion 2.6%, 6th pct; sack rate generated 2.6%, 6th pct). That can give Williams cleaner pockets or lanes to escape.
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Injuries carry real variance. For Baltimore: Lamar Jackson, Ronnie Stanley, Tyler Linderbaum, and several DBs are Questionable. For Chicago: D’Andre Swift, DJ Moore, Cole Kmet, and multiple OL/DB starters are Questionable. Availability at 90 minutes to kick could tilt matchups.
Betting Insights
Spread anchor: Ravens -6.5 at -119. The number bakes in Lamar playing, but remember he’s listed Questionable. If he’s limited, variance rises.
Total anchor: Over 49.5 at -115. Baltimore’s big-play TD rate is sky-high and Chicago owns above-average explosive pass metrics; both teams also have red-zone volatility that can swing points.
Team totals: Ravens over 27.5 at -119 or under 27.5 at -120. If Jackson is mobile and OL pieces go, the over is live; if inactives pile up, the under protects you from a grind.
Prop: Lamar Jackson over 29.5 rushing yards at -122. Bears’ elite third-down defense often forces off-script plays, and Chicago has allowed a higher rate of explosive runs.
Prop: DJ Moore over 42.5 receiving yards at -118. Ravens allow explosive passes at 8.8%, and several Baltimore corners are on the injury report. Note Moore is Questionable; check status.
Alt TD market: Mark Andrews anytime TD +188 or Lamar Jackson anytime TD +220. Plus money on Baltimore’s primary red-zone targets/rushers, but price comes with injury volatility and small-sample scoring swings.
Final Summary
Chicago is no soft landing. The Bears win with takeaways and stops on third down. That profile travels well. If Swift and Moore are active, they can balance the field and keep Baltimore’s defense honest.
From a numbers view, our anchors are Ravens -6.5 (-119) and Over 49.5 (-115). Both teams flash explosive traits, but the injury lists on each side demand caution. If late inactives hit the Ravens’ OL or the Bears’ key skill guys, the game script can shift fast.
Bottom line: Expect urgency, QB runs, and a few deep shots. Baltimore needs the bounce-back. Chicago won’t make it easy. Manage juice and respect the injury volatility before you fire any bets.
Statistical Battle Boards
OffenseDefense| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Points | 152 | #16 | 194 | #4 | |
| Total Points Per Game | 25.3 | #10 | 32.3 | #32 | |
| Total Touchdowns | 15 | #23 | 23 | #30 | |
| Passing Touchdowns | 9 | #24 | 14 | #28 | |
| Rushing Touchdowns | 6 | #16 | 9 | #26 | |
| Other Touchdowns | 0 | #26 | 0 | #14 | |
| Total Kicking Points | 56 | #6 | 56 | #11 | |
| Total Two Point Conversions | 0 | #17 | 0 | #20 | |
| Kick Extra Points | 14 | #19 | 20 | #4 | |
OffenseDefense| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Passing Yards | 1303 | #24 | 1480 | #16 | |
| Net Passing Yards Per Game | 217 | #14 | 247 | #5 | |
| Passer Rating | 92.6 | #16 | 108 | #3 | |
| Passing Attempts | 188 | #28 | 216 | #14 | |
| Completions | 115 | #31 | 148 | #17 | |
| Completion Percentage | 61.2 | #27 | 68.5 | #26 | |
| Passing 1st downs | 62 | #29 | 79 | #20 | |
| Passing 1st Down % | 55.9 | #15 | 58.1 | #19 | |
| Longest Pass | 65 | #10 | 51 | #22 | |
| Passing Fumbles Lost | 1 | #25 | 2 | #13 | |
| Receiving Targets | 185 | #26 | 204 | #20 | |
| Receptions | 115 | #31 | 148 | #16 | |
| Receiving Yards After Catch | 702 | #18 | 611 | #7 | |
| YAC Average | 6.1 | #5 | 4.1 | #4 | |
OffenseDefense| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 776 | #14 | 806 | #20 | |
| Rushing Yards Per Game | 129 | #8 | 134 | #7 | |
| Rushing Attempts | 175 | #19 | 179 | #22 | |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt | 4.4 | #17 | 4.5 | #10 | |
| Rushing 1st downs | 47 | #9 | 48 | #21 | |
| 20+ Yard Rushing Plays | 3 | #20 | 6 | #7 | |
| Long Rushing | 24 | #29 | 72 | #3 | |
| Rushing Fumbles | 3 | #20 | 6 | #7 | |
| Rushing Fumbles Lost | 1 | #9 | 0 | #22 | |
Game Preview of Chicago Bears @ Baltimore Ravens. Week 8 of 2025 NFL Season
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