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TEN
LAC
Game Preview
The Chargers visit the Titans on Sunday at Nissan Stadium. Los Angeles brings a balanced offense and strong money-down play. Tennessee is in a transition phase with injuries across the roster and a rookie quarterback managing heavy pressure.
The trench matchup leans to the Chargers. Their defence turns pressures into sacks at an 8.0% rate. The Titans allow sacks on 9.6% of dropbacks. That gap matters for a rookie passer in long-yardage spots.
On offence, the Chargers stay on schedule and convert. They sit at 48.7% on third down, best-in-class this season. Tennessee’s offence has struggled to match that pace and ranks near the bottom in third-down and third-and-long conversion rates. If those trends hold, the Chargers should control possession and field position.
Health could nudge totals and props. Both teams list key starters as questionable. Los Angeles has several linemen and receivers banged up, while Tennessee’s skill and tackle spots are also in flux. Any late status change could shift the pass rate or shorten game plans.
Current Season Form
TEN
AwayLAC
HomeHead-to-Head Summary
Past Results
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-26 | @ IND | L 14-38 | L 15.5 | o47.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NE | L 13-31 | L -6.5 | o40.5 |
| 2025-10-12 | @ LV | L 10-20 | L 3.5 | u41.5 |
| 2025-10-05 | @ ARI | W 22-21 | L 7.5 | o41.5 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ HOU | L 0-26 | L 7.5 | u39.5 |
| 2025-09-21 | vs IND | L 20-41 | L -6.0 | o43.5 |
| 2025-09-14 | vs LAR | L 19-33 | L -5.5 | o41.5 |
| 2025-09-07 | @ DEN | L 12-20 | L 8.5 | u42.5 |
| 2025-01-05 | vs HOU | L 14-23 | L 2.5 | o36.5 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ JAX | L 13-20 | L -1.0 | u38.0 |
Key Insights
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LAC third-down edge: Chargers convert 48.7% on third down (100th percentile). Drives stay alive and create volume for the passing game.
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Pressure risk for TEN: Titans allow a 9.6% sack rate (16th percentile), while LAC generates sacks at 8.0% (81st percentile).
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Explosive run threat: Chargers post a 7.4% explosive run rate (97th percentile); Titans’ goal-line stuff rate is only 33.3% (12th percentile).
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TEN passing explosives allowed: Titans’ defence allows 7.0% explosive passes (69th percentile), opening windows for LAC’s WRs if protection holds.
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TEN offensive strain: Titans rank low in third-down (31.8%, 3rd percentile) and third-and-long conversion (17.9%, 6th percentile), limiting sustained drives.
Betting Insights
Spread anchor: Chargers −9.5 (−119). Market implies a two-score script if LAC’s third-down edge shows. Price has juice; shop if it drifts toward −9.0 (−111).
Total anchor: 44.0 (Over −108 / Under −120). LAC efficiency points to scoring, but TEN’s drive issues can cap totals. Lean Under 44.0 (−120) if you trust the sack mismatch.
Titans team total: Under 16.5 (−108). Poor third-down rates and sack exposure argue for a lower ceiling.
Justin Herbert passing: Over 247.5 (−119). Sustained possession plus TEN’s explosive-pass allowance (7.0%) supports volume.
Cam Ward passing: Under 204.5 (−119). Long-yardage downs and pressure risk can suppress yards.
Anytime TD: Kimani Vidal (−122). LAC’s 7.4% explosive run rate and red-zone chances set up goal-line equity.
Final Summary
Statistical Battle Boards
OffenseDefense| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Points | 188 | #12 | 230 | #3 | |
| Total Points Per Game | 23.5 | #16 | 28.8 | #29 | |
| Total Touchdowns | 19 | #19 | 27 | #30 | |
| Passing Touchdowns | 16 | #5 | 12 | #17 | |
| Rushing Touchdowns | 3 | #32 | 14 | #32 | 🏈 |
| Other Touchdowns | 0 | #23 | 1 | #18 | |
| Total Kicking Points | 72 | #3 | 62 | #11 | |
| Total Two Point Conversions | 1 | #13 | 0 | #25 | |
| Kick Extra Points | 18 | #15 | 26 | #2 | |
OffenseDefense| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Passing Yards | 2043 | #3 | 1726 | #12 | |
| Net Passing Yards Per Game | 255 | #4 | 216 | #16 | |
| Passer Rating | 97.1 | #14 | 104 | #6 | |
| Passing Attempts | 300 | #2 | 236 | #11 | |
| Completions | 204 | #2 | 171 | #12 | |
| Completion Percentage | 68 | #10 | 72.5 | #31 | |
| Passing 1st downs | 104 | #5 | 84 | #16 | |
| Passing 1st Down % | 59.4 | #9 | 52.8 | #10 | |
| Longest Pass | 60 | #15 | 50 | #24 | |
| Passing Fumbles Lost | 2 | #17 | 1 | #19 | |
| Receiving Targets | 293 | #2 | 227 | #21 | |
| Receptions | 204 | #2 | 171 | #21 | |
| Receiving Yards After Catch | 936 | #7 | 862 | #21 | |
| YAC Average | 4.6 | #25 | 5.0 | #18 | |
OffenseDefense| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 985 | #8 | 1141 | #28 | |
| Rushing Yards Per Game | 123 | #12 | 143 | #7 | |
| Rushing Attempts | 203 | #15 | 233 | #28 | |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt | 4.9 | #7 | 4.9 | #7 | 🏈 |
| Rushing 1st downs | 55 | #10 | 59 | #26 | |
| 20+ Yard Rushing Plays | 7 | #7 | 5 | #12 | |
| Long Rushing | 54 | #12 | 80 | #2 | |
| Rushing Fumbles | 7 | #7 | 5 | #12 | |
| Rushing Fumbles Lost | 0 | #31 | 0 | #26 | |
Game Preview of Los Angeles Chargers @ Tennessee Titans. Week 9 of 2025 NFL Season
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