• Explosive passing gap favours Seattle.
  Seahawks rank 100th percentile in explosive pass rate at 11.7% and 98th percentile in deep explosive passes at 8.1% (sample 273). That matches Smith-Njigba’s downfield dominance and stresses a Titans secondary that is missing multiple corners and safeties to injury.

• Titans struggle to create explosives on offence.
  Tennessee’s offence generates explosive passes on only 6.5% of attempts (27th percentile, sample 367) and explosive runs on 3.0% of carries (16th percentile, sample 199). Against a Seahawks defence that ranks 80th percentile at limiting explosive runs (2.9%) and allows explosive passes at just 7.0% (70th percentile), long field scoring drives will be hard to find.

• Protection and pressure should tilt toward Seattle.
  Seahawks allow sacks on only 2.8% of dropbacks (97th percentile), even with several linemen banged up. The Titans allow sacks at 9.7% (5th percentile) and now list starters Kevin Zeitler, Corey Levin and Dan Moore Jr. as questionable. That meets a Seattle front that converts pressure to sacks at 7.3% (75th percentile).

• Third and fourth down efficiency point to Seahawks control.
  Seattle converts 41.5% of third downs (72nd percentile) and ranks 77th percentile in third down stop rate on defence at 63.8%. Tennessee converts only 31.1% of third downs (3rd percentile) and 31.3% on fourth down (3rd percentile). This lines up with the Titans’ frequent three and outs in recent weeks.

• Injuries leave Titans thin in the passing game.
  Calvin Ridley, Treylon Burks and Bryce Oliver are on injured reserve, while Elic Ayomanor and Van Jefferson are questionable. Cam Ward is also questionable with a leg issue. That puts even more pressure on depth receivers and tight end Chig Okonkwo, who is himself listed as questionable and tagged with traits tied to explosive pass and red zone TD rates.

• Seattle’s defence is strong but not fully healthy.
  The Seahawks have several starters in the secondary and front seven listed as questionable, and Julian Love remains on IR. Even so, their traits still show a defence that is strong in red zone stops and on third down, which matches their 6th ranked scoring defence at 19.3 points allowed per game in the storylines.

• Big spread reflects a huge team gap.
  The main handicap sits around Seahawks -13.5 (-114) with the Titans at +13.5 (-118). That price bakes in Seattle’s elite explosive pass rate (11.7%, 100th percentile) and 11–1 road record, but also assumes they avoid the kind of turnover avalanche that has already sunk them once this season.

• Modest game total fits a Seattle driven script.
  The total hovers near 40.5, with the over at -111 and the under at -112. That lines up with a game where Seattle’s offence does most of the work and the Titans struggle to sustain scoring drives, fitting their poor third down profile and injuries at quarterback, receiver and along the line.

• Titans team total under 13.0 is a natural way to fade their offence.
  Tennessee’s team total sits at 13.0, with the under at -123 and the over at -116. With a third down conversion rate of 31.1% (3rd percentile), a 9.7% sack rate allowed and a battered QB and WR group, the Titans may need short fields or defensive scores to reach this number.

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 91.5 receiving yards (-120) matches his role.
  JSN’s yardage prop is 91.5, with the over at -120 and the under at -118. Seattle ranks at the top of the league in explosive passing and deep shots, and Smith-Njigba leads the NFL in receiving yards per the storylines. In a matchup against a Titans defence that rarely generates turnovers (0.9% rate, 8th percentile), the volume and efficiency case is clear, though the juice is heavy.

• Kenneth Walker III over 60.5 rushing yards (-122) fits the favourite script.
  Walker’s rushing line is 60.5, with over -122 and under -118. Seattle ranks 77th percentile in explosive run rate at 4.9%, and Walker just handled 19 touches for 111 yards in Week 11 with coaches asking for more involvement. In a game where Seattle are around a two touchdown favourite, extra carries in the second half are very live.

• Cam Ward under 189.5 passing yards (-119, with injury risk) leans into the pressure mismatch.
  Ward’s passing prop is 189.5 yards, with the under at -119 and the over at -120. The Titans offensive traits show a 9.7% sack rate allowed and a bottom tier third down offence, while Seattle’s defence sits 75th percentile in sack rate generated. Ward’s Questionable tag due to a leg injury adds variance; bettors should check inactives and understand how their book treats props when a player does not start or finish a game.

• Tyjae Spears under 21.5 rushing yards (-115) if he suits up.
  Spears’ rushing line is 21.5 yards, with the under at -115 and the over at -125. Seattle allows explosive runs on only 2.9% of carries (80th percentile), and game script as a big underdog likely pushes Tennessee toward the pass. Spears is also listed as Questionable, so limited snaps or a late downgrade would matter for this market.

This matchup sets up as a classic “take care of business” spot for Seattle. They bring one of the league’s most explosive passing attacks and a strong, well graded defence into a stadium where the home team has not won in over a year. The spread near two touchdowns and the total in the low 40s reflect that gap, with odds makers expecting the Seahawks to control the game on both sides of the ball.

For the Seahawks, the story is about how they respond to last week. If Sam Darnold settles down after his four interception game and leans on Jaxon Smith-Njigba and an efficient ground game with Kenneth Walker III, Seattle should move the ball in chunks against a Titans defence that does not generate many takeaways or big negative plays. Their traits back that up, with top tier explosive pass numbers and strong red zone efficiency.

For the Titans, almost everything depends on their health and protection. Cam Ward has flashed in a tough spot, but a 9.7% sack rate allowed, a battered offensive line and a receiver room stripped by injuries make it hard to project sustained success. Facing a defence that sits near the top of the league in third down stops and can convert pressure into sacks, Tennessee may need turnovers or special teams plays to stay close.

From a betting point of view, this is a game where prices already reflect the obvious mismatch. Bettors need to decide how comfortable they feel laying a big road number with a team that has its own turnover issues, or backing a struggling underdog with a low team total and major injury questions. Whatever you decide, stake size and bankroll management matter more than any single angle. It is still one game, with all the variance that comes with the NFL.