• Explosive air game: Seattle’s deep pass explosive rate is 9.7% (100th percentile). That stresses corners and safeties vertically.

• Run defence ceiling: Seahawks allow 1.2% explosive runs (97th percentile). That squeezes early-down gains.

• Red-zone finish: Seattle red-zone TD rate is 68% with strong goal-line stuff on defence (70.6%, 97th pct), suggesting leverage at both ends.

• Third-down swing: Seattle stops 63.7% of third downs (81st pct). Washington must win on first and second down to stay on schedule.

• Scheme tendencies: Seattle uses more under-centre looks (65.2%, 94th pct) and less shotgun (34.8%, 9th pct), aiding play-action depth and run fits.

• Injury overlay: Washington lacks McLaurin; Daniels and Tunsil are Questionable. That combination narrows Washington’s explosive pass options and pass-protection stability.

Seattle brings a clean script. They push the ball downfield, finish drives in the red zone, and play sturdy run defence. That combination travels. If they jump ahead, their under-centre looks and play-action can grind clock while still threatening chunk plays.

Washington needs early success and explosives to keep pace. Without McLaurin, those explosives are harder to find. If Daniels plays, designed runs and movement throws can help, but pass protection depends on Tunsil’s status. Third downs remain the stress point.

The game likely tilts toward Seattle’s strengths: deep shots, red-zone conversion, and defensive control on early downs. If Washington shortens the game with the run and hits a couple of trick-shot plays, it stays tight. If not, Seattle has the higher ceiling.

Lean: Seahawks -3.5 (+114). Secondary: Seahawks Team Total Over 25.0 (-119). For props, prioritise non-Questionable players and manage stake size around late news.