Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NFL game
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Next: vs Kansas City Chiefs · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET
Yards by game
The Edge
Receiving profile2026 Season aggregate · Sample: 50 targets
Our pick
Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 99.5 receiving yards
Read our reasoning
Hit rates: over 99.5 in 5/10 of last 10, 11/20 of last 20. JSN has hit 75+ receiving yards in 5 straight games and 100+ in 4 of his last 5, averaging 116.6 yds/gm in 2026. Broncos secondary is severely depleted heading into this game — Pat Surtain II is Doubtful, Talanoa Hufanga and Riley Moss both Questionable — creating exploitable coverage gaps for the target-share leader (36% target share, WOPR 0.89 in last 5). Downgraded from HIGH to MEDIUM due to JSN's own Questionable ankle designation.
Receiving yards against the line
No market line is attached to this page. Any threshold shown is hypothetical, not a live betting line.
Hypothetical threshold · no verified market line: 122
2026 season · regular-season games only · gamelog · through 2026-10-11
Tendencies & matchup
Where he works
Colour shows target volume within this map.
Catches/targets as charted · REG charted targets · through 2026-10-11
KC pass defense
Colour shows charted pass volume, not defensive weakness.
Where the KC defense gives up completions — the zones mirror his map on the left, so his favourite areas line up with the defense's soft spots. Opponent sample from charted games this season · latest: Week 7, KC @ SEA.
Completion% allowed = completions / charted pass plays · yds/target = total yards / charted pass plays · REG opponent charted passes · through 2026-10-04
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-11. Updated: 16 Oct 2026, 01:06 UTC.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-04. Updated: 16 Oct 2026, 01:06 UTC.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-11. Updated: 16 Oct 2026, 01:06 UTC.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-14. Updated: 16 Oct 2026, 01:06 UTC.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-11. Updated: 14 Oct 2026, 06:24 UTC.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-11. Updated: 16 Oct 2026, 01:05 UTC.
Availability not established
Observations through date unavailable. Updated: 14 Oct 2026, 07:52 UTC.
