Own 23Own 26
NFL Betting
Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NFL game
Justin Herbert
Next: vs Houston Texans · Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
Some sections retain their last available observations while updates are unavailable. See Data availability for each section’s dates.
Passing yards13987 observed weeks
Passing TDs57 observed weeks
Interceptions107 observed weeks
Attempts2127 observed weeks
Completions1317 observed weeks
2026 regular season
Passing yards by game
Season average199.7
5 games · 5 with data
Wk 3BUF
Wk 4SEA
Wk 5DEN
Wk 6KC
Wk 8LA
The Edge
Passing efficiency2026 regular season · observed game data
Completion rate61.8%
Completions / attempts · matched weeksYards per attempt6.6 yd
Passing yards / attempts · matched weeksPassing EPA per play-0.260
Passing EPA / (attempts + sacks) · includes spikes, excludes scramblesCompletion above expectation-4.2 pp
Season CPOE · modeled pass attemptsTime to throw2.8 s
Average seconds from snap to throw · season aggregateOddsIndex analysis
Current pick context · independent of season selectionOur pick
Our pick
No active pick on Justin Herbert.
Our graded record on him: 3-3-0 · see every pick below.
Betting context · 2026
Passing yards against the line
No market line is attached to this page. Any threshold shown is hypothetical, not a live betting line.
OverUnder
Hypothetical threshold · no verified market line: 204
204
ARIWk 1
LVWk 2
BUFWk 3
SEAWk 4
DENWk 5
KCWk 6
LAWk 8
HOUnext
Over 3 of 7 · 43%Under 3 of 7Pushes: 1 (counted separately)2026 season vs hypothetical 204 · historical frequency, not a forecast
204
2026 season · regular-season games only · gamelog · through 2026-11-01
2026 regular season
Inside the drives
11 attributed drives
Follow the field position before each snap. Ring: first snap. Square: last snap.
Own goalMidfieldOpponent goal
Opp 47Midfield
Opp 43Opp 38
Own 28Opp 16
Which drives are included?
A drive belongs to the player with the most identified passes, sacks and scrambles. Ties and unresolved quarterback actions are excluded. Spikes and kneels do not count toward attribution. Run-only and kickoff-only possessions without an identified quarterback action are excluded.
0 team possessions excluded in this game. Positions show where snaps began, including penalty snaps—not the final landing spot or return after a turnover or kick. Drive results describe the team possession.
Historical maps · 2026 · independent of season selection
Tendencies & matchup
Where he throws
Colour shows attempt volume within this map.
Lower volumeHigher volume
LeftMiddleRight
Deep 15+5/12169 yds0 TD · 1 INT4/578 yds0 TD · 1 INT6/18205 yds0 TD · 1 INT
Short 0-1536/50306 yds0 TD · 1 INT27/38257 yds3 TD · 1 INTmost volume53/87384 yds2 TD · 5 INT
Line of scrimmage · offense's view
Completions/attempts as charted · REG charted passes · through 2026-11-01
HOU pass defense
Colour shows charted pass volume, not defensive weakness.
Fewer playsMore plays
LeftMiddleRight
Deep 15+48% comp11.5 yds/targetn=2164% comp16.1 yds/targetn=1156% comp16.6 yds/targetn=18
Short 0-1576% comp5.4 yds/targetn=6369% comp8.2 yds/targetn=48his top zone65% comp4.9 yds/targetn=84
Line of scrimmage
Where the HOU defense gives up completions — the zones mirror his map on the left, so his favourite areas line up with the defense's soft spots. Opponent sample from charted games this season · latest: Week 9, HOU @ LAC.
Completion% allowed = completions / charted pass plays · yds/target = total yards / charted pass plays · REG opponent charted passes · through 2026-10-25
Detailed records · all available seasons
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Game log
Available
Observations through 2026-11-01. Updated: 3 Nov 2026, 02:32 UTC.
Defense map
Available
Observations through 2026-10-25. Updated: 2 Nov 2026, 02:32 UTC.
Appearances
Available
Observations through 2026-11-01. Updated: 6 Nov 2026, 02:32 UTC.
Picks
Available
Last available content retained. Latest update: Awaiting a fresh update.
Observations through 2026-10-31. Updated: 2 Nov 2026, 02:32 UTC.
Player map
Available
Observations through 2026-11-01. Updated: 2 Nov 2026, 02:32 UTC.
Advanced passing
Available
Observations through 2026-11-01. Updated: 6 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC.
Current market
Availability not established
Observations through date unavailable. Updated: 14 Oct 2026, 07:52 UTC.
