Own 2Opp 12
NFL Betting
Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every NFL game
Trevor Lawrence
Next: @ Tennessee Titans · Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET
Passing yards16907 observed weeks
Passing TDs177 observed weeks
Interceptions47 observed weeks
Attempts1987 observed weeks
Completions1307 observed weeks
2026 regular season
Passing yards by game
Season average241.4
5 games · 5 with data
Wk 3NE
Wk 4CIN
Wk 5PHI
Wk 6HOU
Wk 8IND
The Edge
Passing efficiency2026 regular season · observed game data
Completion rate65.7%
Completions / attempts · matched weeksYards per attempt8.5 yd
Passing yards / attempts · matched weeksPassing EPA per play0.282
Passing EPA / (attempts + sacks) · includes spikes, excludes scramblesCompletion above expectation3.9 pp
Season CPOE · modeled pass attemptsTime to throw2.8 s
Average seconds from snap to throw · season aggregateOddsIndex analysis
Current pick context · independent of season selectionOur pick
Our pick★★★
Trevor Lawrence over 199.5 passing yards
-294 at pickpicked Nov 4kickoff Nov 5
Read our reasoning
Over 199.5 passing yards in 8/10 of last 10 games, 16/20 of last 20, and 2/2 career vs BAL per hit rate data. Lawrence is averaging 241.4 pass yds/gm in 2026 and cleared 200 yards even in the 42-7 blowout of IND (210 yds in wk8). Opposing starter is undrafted rookie Joe Fagnano making his first NFL start, limiting BAL's ability to control game script through the air. BAL defense has allowed 25.4 pts/gm in 2026. Even in a commanding JAX lead, Lawrence reached 200+ yards in his last blowout win.
Betting context · 2026
Passing yards against the line
No market line is attached to this page. Any threshold shown is hypothetical, not a live betting line.
OverUnder
Hypothetical threshold · no verified market line: 227
227
CLEWk 1
DENWk 2
NEWk 3
CINWk 4
PHIWk 5
HOUWk 6
INDWk 8
TENnext
Over 3 of 7 · 43%Under 3 of 7Pushes: 1 (counted separately)2026 season vs hypothetical 227 · historical frequency, not a forecast
227
2026 season · regular-season games only · gamelog · through 2026-11-01
2026 regular season
Inside the drives
9 attributed drives
Follow the field position before each snap. Ring: first snap. Square: last snap.
Own goalMidfieldOpponent goal
Own 31Opp 49
Own 18Opp 23
MidfieldOpp 31
Which drives are included?
A drive belongs to the player with the most identified passes, sacks and scrambles. Ties and unresolved quarterback actions are excluded. Spikes and kneels do not count toward attribution. Run-only and kickoff-only possessions without an identified quarterback action are excluded.
3 team possessions excluded in this game. Positions show where snaps began, including penalty snaps—not the final landing spot or return after a turnover or kick. Drive results describe the team possession.
Historical maps · 2026 · independent of season selection
Tendencies & matchup
Where he throws
Colour shows attempt volume within this map.
Lower volumeHigher volume
LeftMiddleRight
Deep 15+11/20273 yds3 TD · 1 INT3/572 yds0 TD · 0 INT5/10138 yds2 TD · 1 INT
Short 0-15most volume49/68488 yds2 TD · 1 INT23/36313 yds5 TD · 1 INT39/58411 yds5 TD · 0 INT
Line of scrimmage · offense's view
Completions/attempts as charted · REG charted passes · through 2026-11-01
TEN pass defense
Colour shows charted pass volume, not defensive weakness.
Fewer playsMore plays
LeftMiddleRight
Deep 15+50% comp12.6 yds/targetn=1650% comp14.8 yds/targetn=645% comp11.6 yds/targetn=33
Short 0-15his top zone81% comp7.8 yds/targetn=8667% comp7.5 yds/targetn=4679% comp7.3 yds/targetn=84
Line of scrimmage
Where the TEN defense gives up completions — the zones mirror his map on the left, so his favourite areas line up with the defense's soft spots. Opponent sample from charted games this season · latest: Week 10, JAX @ TEN.
Completion% allowed = completions / charted pass plays · yds/target = total yards / charted pass plays · REG opponent charted passes · through 2026-11-01
Detailed records · all available seasons
Game log & career
Data availability
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Game log
Available
Observations through 2026-11-01. Updated: 6 Nov 2026, 02:32 UTC.
Defense map
Available
Observations through 2026-11-01. Updated: 6 Nov 2026, 02:32 UTC.
Appearances
Available
Observations through 2026-11-01. Updated: 6 Nov 2026, 02:32 UTC.
Picks
Available
Observations through 2026-11-04. Updated: 6 Nov 2026, 02:32 UTC.
Player map
Available
Observations through 2026-11-01. Updated: 2 Nov 2026, 02:32 UTC.
Advanced passing
Available
Observations through 2026-10-18. Updated: 6 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC.
Current market
Availability not established
Observations through date unavailable. Updated: 14 Oct 2026, 07:52 UTC.
