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Crystal Palace Upset Liverpool to Win 2025 Community Shield
Crystal Palace stunned Liverpool by winning the 2025 FA Community Shield on penalties after a 2-2 draw, showcasing sharp play as Liverpool struggled defensively. Backers of Palace’s futures and handicap bets are seeing rewards. Meanwhile, Championship and lower league matches featured dramatic late goals and valuable betting opportunities. Big futures bets highlight Manchester City’s top-two finish and Fulham’s steady points, with longshots like Nottingham Forest and assist market outsiders offering lucrative upside.Palace Party, Liverpool Lament
Crystal Palace stunned the footballing world this weekend by outplaying a lacklustre Liverpool side—and let's not sugarcoat it, the Reds were shambolic. Palace deserved every bit of the victory, and those who backed them on the handicap (especially +1.5 or better) cashed in nicely. Salah's penalty was more charity shop than Champions League, and while VAR might've tried to lend Liverpool a hand, it wasn’t enough to mask their glaring issues at the back.
Palace, on the other hand, looked sharp, organised, and full of confidence. If you were on the Palace over 47 points future, you're off to a flyer. Their midfield link-up and defensive discipline are making that even-money price look like a steal. +33 points in the handicap league table at 15/1. Suddenly, that longshot doesn’t look so ridiculous.
Championship Chaos and Late Drama
Over in the Championship, we had a weekend straight out of a Hollywood scriptwriting room. Last-minute goals were the order of the day, shaking up both the table and bettors’ slips in equal measure. Leicester came from behind to win, Southampton and Ipswich both provided late fireworks, and Port Vale vs. Cardiff City was marred by some truly diabolical officiating.
Birmingham, meanwhile, were just the better side—no drama, just dominance. If you were on them to bag a draw, you were laughing. Overall, the weekend ended with four winners and four losers on the card, but smart stakes and a couple of well-timed longshots meant profits were still made. The big value, once again, was in League One and League Two. Stockport and Crewe delivered, proving that diving a little deeper into the EFL pyramid can yield serious returns.
Futures: The Big Plays
Manchester City to finish in the top two at 11/10. Arsenal may have missed their golden window, making City’s top-two finish feel like a strong anchor bet.
Fulham over 48 points at 6/5. It's a bet fuelled by the belief that Fulham can steady the ship while others around them regress. And let’s not forget Crystal Palace again—over 47 points at even money. That one’s already ageing nicely after their dismantling of Liverpool.
The spicier bets? All three promoted teams to be relegated at 3/1. Leeds under 36 points at 13/10. And the absolute flyer: Nottingham Forest to finish above Manchester United at 3/1. That last one raised eyebrows, but with United’s issues and Forest’s shrewd recruitment, it's not as bananas as it might sound. Plus, if you like Forest, you might also fancy Igor Jesus (yes, you read that right) as Forest’s top scorer at 7/2.
Golden Boot and Assist Kings: Big Prices, Big Dreams
Top scorer punts include Bowen, Fullkrug, and Injai—decent each-way shouts with massive upside. These aren’t chalky picks, but in a wide-open race, the value lives in the longshots.
On the assist side, Aït-Nouri (recently moved to Man City from Wolves) is the headline pick at 100/1. How much he'll play, who knows. But he got seven assists at Wolves—imagine what he can do in City’s attacking machine. Odegaard at 20/1 and Savinho at 25/1 round out the trio of assist hopefuls. All three are each-way plays, meaning even a top-four finish pays handsomely.
Underdogs, Upsets, and Value Markets
Another gem of a market explored was the "top newcomer"—who’ll finish highest out of Leeds, Burnley, and Sunderland? The odds had Leeds as short as 4/5, but Burnley at 3/1 stood out as mispriced. Leeds haven't done enough in the transfer market to justify that favourite tag, and Burnley’s solid core from last season gives them every chance of topping this mini-league.
There’s also chatter about the assist market being where the real value lies this season. With new players joining top teams and more fluid attacking systems in place, the traditional assist merchants could be challenged by surprise names like Aït-Nouri, Savinho, or even Odegaard regaining form.
Related Articles
EPL Kickoff: Birmingham vs Ipswich
Friday’s Championship opener between Birmingham City and Ipswich Town promises a thrilling contest with Ipswich as tempting underdogs despite their relegation. Birmingham’s strong promotion form faces Ipswich’s seasoned squad, making the betting market intriguing. Other key matches include Coventry’s solid home bet against Hull, Watford’s value opportunity at Charlton, Derby’s hopeful underdog status at Stoke, and a goal-fest expected in Norwich vs Millwall.
Man Utd Snatch Sesko; Newcastle Transfer Chaos
Manchester United have secured Benjamin Sesko from RB Leipzig for around £74 million, beating Newcastle's higher offer. Sesko is seen as a potential key striker for United's attack but may add risk in midfield transitions. Newcastle faces internal issues and transfer struggles, while Aston Villa and Championship teams like Birmingham and Wrexham show promise. European clubs Rangers and Benfica also look strong early in continental competitions.
Community Shield Showdown: Palace’s Debut vs Liverpool’s Reign
Crystal Palace make their Community Shield debut against Liverpool, who aim for their 17th title. While Liverpool are favourites, Palace's defensive style could make it close. Manchester United’s chaotic transfer window raises doubts about their title chances. Newcastle struggles in recruitment cast uncertainty on their top-four hopes. Arsenal faces pressure to perform with new signings amid fan anxiety. Liverpool remain top Premier League contenders, Brighton emerge as sleepers, and long-shot picks challenge Haaland for Golden Boot glory.
Key Takeaways
- Crystal Palace are legit—betting on them over 47 points or even on handicap markets could pay off.
- Liverpool’s defensive woes continue—fade them until they sort it out.
- Manchester City to finish top two at 11/10 looks like a bankable futures anchor.
- Value in the lower leagues continues to deliver—Stockport, Crewe, and Birmingham all rewarded smart backers.
- Longshots in the assist and top scorer markets offer huge upside—keep an eye on Aït-Nouri, Igor Jesus and Odegaard.
- The "top newcomer" market is ripe for exploitation—Burnley at 3/1 looks wrongly priced.
