NFLGame PreviewsTB VS SEA Preview Week5 05-Oct-2025

Game Preview of Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Seattle Seahawks. Week 5 of 2025 NFL Season

TB logo

TB

3-1-0
@
05OCT25
04:05pm
SEA logo

SEA

3-1-0
Lumen Field

Game Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head to Seattle to take on the Seahawks this Sunday at Lumen Field. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM ET. Both teams enter at 3-1, but they arrive in very different shape.

Tampa Bay is dealing with one of the league’s longest injury lists. Mike Evans remains out with a hamstring injury. Chris Godwin, Cade Otton, and quarterback Baker Mayfield are all Questionable. Running backs Bucky Irving and Rachaad White are also banged up, leaving rookie Emeka Egbuka to carry much of the offensive load.

Seattle comes in healthier but not perfect. Pass rusher Leonard Williams, tackle Charles Cross, and running back Zach Charbonnet are all listed as Questionable. Still, the Seahawks’ biggest edge may be through the air, where Sam Darnold has looked sharp and his receivers face a thin Buccaneers secondary.

Oddsmakers give Seattle a slight edge. The Seahawks are favoured by 3.5 points (-115), with the total set at 45. Tampa Bay’s injuries and Seattle’s explosive passing game make this one of the most intriguing NFC showdowns of Week 5.

Current Season Form

TB logo

TB

Away
Record:3-1-0
ATS:2-2-0
O/U:2-2-0
SEA logo

SEA

Home
Record:3-1-0
ATS:3-1-0
O/U:2-2-0

Head-to-Head Summary

Record:
3-2Winner logo
ATS:4-1-0
O/U:3-2-0

Past Results

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
2025-09-25@ ARIW 23-20W +-1.5u43.5
2025-09-21vs NOW 44-13W +7.5o41.5
2025-09-14@ PITW 31-17W +3.5o40.5
2025-09-07vs SFL 13-17L -2.5u43.5
2025-01-05@ LARW 30-25W +-7.5o38.5
2024-12-26@ CHIW 6-3W +-3.5u43.5
2024-12-22vs MINL 24-27L -2.5o43.0
2024-12-15vs GBL 13-30L -3.0u48.0
2024-12-08@ ARIW 30-18W +3.0o45.5
2024-12-01@ NYJW 26-21W +1.0o41.5

Key Insights

 

  • Seattle’s pass game ranks first in explosive pass rate (12.4%), while Tampa Bay’s defense sits below average against big plays.

  • The Buccaneers are scoring touchdowns on just 36.4% of red-zone trips, one of the worst marks in the league.

  • Tampa Bay’s third-down defense remains elite, stopping 67.3% of attempts. That could be critical against Sam Darnold’s short-yardage struggles.

  • Injuries to Evans, Godwin, and Mayfield threaten Tampa Bay’s passing traits, forcing Egbuka into a primary role.

  • Seattle’s defensive line converts 7.3% of pressures into sacks. Tampa’s offensive line is thin, with Tristan Wirfs and others Questionable.

  • Seattle’s defense ranks top tier in limiting explosive runs, allowing just 1.0% of rushes to go for big gains.

 

Betting Insights

 

  • Spread: Seahawks -3.5 (-115). Market leans to Seattle at home despite their 2-7 record in their last nine at Lumen Field.

  • Total: Under 45.0 (-111). Both teams rank top half in defensive efficiency; Bucs’ injuries point to a lower total.

  • Anytime TD: Kenneth Walker III (-122). Seattle RB continues to see red-zone carries.

  • Anytime TD: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+116). Faces banged-up Bucs secondary, likely WR2 volume.

  • Player Prop: Emeka Egbuka Over 61.5 Receiving Yards (-120). Rookie’s usage surging with Evans out.

  • Player Prop: Sam Darnold Over 235.5 Passing Yards (-118). Tampa’s defense allows explosive passes at a 7.4% clip.

 

Final Summary

This matchup features two NFC contenders but with very different injury stories. Tampa Bay is hanging on with half its starting lineup on the report. If Baker Mayfield can’t go or is limited, their ability to score will be heavily compromised.

Seattle is far from flawless but has been trending up with Sam Darnold’s efficient play and a dangerous group of receivers. If their pass rush gets home against a battered Bucs line, it could tilt the game quickly.

The Bucs’ defense is still stout, especially on third downs, and that gives them a chance to hang around. But their red-zone struggles and missing playmakers make it tough to see them outpacing Seattle’s explosive offense.

Expect a close start, but Seattle has the health and firepower advantage. The betting market reflects that with the Seahawks as short home favourites. With the total at 45, the under may hold more value given Tampa Bay’s offensive limitations.

Statistical Battle Boards

Viewing: SEA Offense vs TB Defense
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Total Points111#697#13SEA advantage
Total Points Per Game27.8#624.3#20SEA advantage
Total Touchdowns12#711#20SEA advantage
Passing Touchdowns5#226#15TB advantage
Rushing Touchdowns5#83#12SEA advantage
Other Touchdowns2#32#30SEA advantage
Total Kicking Points39#231#16SEA advantage
Total Two Point Conversions0#160#18SEA advantage
Kick Extra Points12#410#10SEA advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Net Passing Yards886#13751#22SEA advantage
Net Passing Yards Per Game222#13188#22SEA advantage
Passer Rating106#695.1#13SEA advantage
Passing Attempts103#31126#17TB advantage
Completions72#2981#18TB advantage
Completion Percentage69.9#664.3#13SEA advantage
Passing 1st downs41#2246#19TB advantage
Passing 1st Down %53.2#2263.9#28SEA advantage
Longest Pass45#2350#16TB advantage
Passing Fumbles Lost2#61#15SEA advantage
Receiving Targets96#31124#15TB advantage
Receptions72#2981#15TB advantage
Receiving Yards After Catch353#26501#28SEA advantage
YAC Average4.9#186.2#30SEA advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Rushing Yards443#18340#5TB advantage
Rushing Yards Per Game111#1885#28SEA advantage
Rushing Attempts123#4102#14SEA advantage
Yards Per Rush Attempt3.6#283.3#30SEA advantage
Rushing 1st downs27#1517#4TB advantage
20+ Yard Rushing Plays4#52#19SEA advantage
Long Rushing24#2429#19TB advantage
Rushing Fumbles4#52#19SEA advantage
Rushing Fumbles Lost1#60#16SEA advantage