NFLGame PreviewsDAL VS PHI Preview Week1 season 05-SEP-2025

Game Preview of Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys. Week 1 of 2025 NFL Season

DAL logo

DAL

0-0-0
@
05SEP25
08:20pm
PHI logo

PHI

0-0-0
Lincoln Financial Field

Game Preview

Dallas leans pass while Philadelphia is more run-focused. In 2024, the Cowboys threw on 57% of early downs (well above league average), whereas the Eagles skewed run-lean. That sets up strength-on-strength versus Philly’s defense, which ranked near the top against the pass by expected rate.

 

Explosiveness profiles point to air yards deciding it. Philadelphia generated more chunk gains through the air and Dallas allowed a higher rate than average, an “explosive pass” environment, while explosive runs are less likely than average. Protection could swing drives: Dallas’ sack rate on dropbacks (6%) meets an Eagles defense that allowed sacks at roughly 7%, a slight edge to the visitor’s pass pro.

 

Counterweights exist. Philly’s offense was efficient in the red zone, while Dallas’ defense allowed touchdowns on a high share of red-zone trips. Penalties may matter too, Dallas’ offense was among the most penalized, while Philly’s defense was disciplined, creating hidden-yardage risk for the Cowboys. 

Note: All team stats for the week 1 games are from 2024

Current Season Form

DAL logo

DAL

Away
Record:0-0-0
ATS:0-0-0
O/U:0-0-0
PHI logo

PHI

Home
Record:0-0-0
ATS:0-0-0
O/U:0-0-0

Head-to-Head Summary

Record:
2-3Winner logo
ATS:2-3-0
O/U:3-2-0

Past Results

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
2025-02-09vs KCW 40-22W +-1.5o48.5
2025-01-26vs WASW 55-23W +6.0o46.5
2025-01-19vs LARW 28-22W +7.0o43.5
2025-01-12vs GBW 22-10W +5.5u45.5
2025-01-05vs NYGW 20-13W +3.0u36.5
2024-12-29vs DALW 41-7W +7.5o37.5
2024-12-22@ WASL 33-36W +-4.0o47.0
2024-12-15vs PITW 27-13W +5.5u43.0
2024-12-08vs CARW 22-16W +14.0u44.5
2024-12-01@ BALW 24-19W +3.0u50.0

Key Insights

  • Style clash: DAL pass-led (57% early-down pass share) vs PHI run-lean approach.

  • Explosive-pass tilt favors big plays: PHI created more chunk passes and DAL allowed more than average; explosive runs are dampened.

  • Pass protection edge to DAL: 6% offensive sack rate vs PHI’s ~7% allowed.

  • PHI pass defense graded elite by expected pass rate allowed; DAL faces a tough secondary by the numbers.

  • DAL run D stuffs at a top-tier rate, a direct test for PHI’s ground game.

  • Discipline gap: DAL offense had one of the highest penalty rates; PHI defense among the lowest.

Betting Insights

 

  • Moneyline: Consensus favors PHI (≈73% implied) over DAL (≈27%).

  • Spread: PHI -7.5; cover probabilities are essentially split (home 49% / away 50%).

  • Total: 47.5 with no consensus lean (50% over / 50% under).

  • Best available prices (as of the latest update): DAL +230 ML; PHI -417 ML; O47.5 -111; U47.5 -114; DAL +7.5 -118; PHI -7.5 -111.

Final Summary

This shapes up as Dallas’ downfield passing versus Philadelphia’s balanced, red-zone-capable attack backed by a stingy pass defense. Explosive plays through the air may be the separator, with Dallas’ protection offering a small edge but Philly’s coverage metrics pushing back.

Injuries on both lines bear watching, Philadelphia lists LG Landon Dickerson as questionable, which could shift sack and efficiency outcomes. With the spread and total priced near equilibrium, market consensus leans Eagles on the moneyline while ATS and O/U look coin-flippy.

Statistical Battle Boards

Viewing: PHI Offense vs DAL Defense
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Total Points463#7468#31PHI advantage
Total Points Per Game27.2#727.5#31PHI advantage
Total Touchdowns53#754#31PHI advantage
Passing Touchdowns24#1228#24PHI advantage
Rushing Touchdowns29#325#32PHI advantage
Other Touchdowns0#271#18DAL advantage
Total Kicking Points131#15136#24PHI advantage
Total Two Point Conversions3#71#21PHI advantage
Kick Extra Points47#649#4DAL advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Net Passing Yards3194#293708#17DAL advantage
Net Passing Yards Per Game188#29218#16DAL advantage
Passer Rating103#599.5#5🏈
Passing Attempts448#32512#6DAL advantage
Completions303#31349#11DAL advantage
Completion Percentage67.6#868.2#27PHI advantage
Passing 1st downs168#26175#7DAL advantage
Passing 1st Down %46.7#3251.2#4DAL advantage
Longest Pass67#2086#5DAL advantage
Passing Fumbles Lost3#247#28PHI advantage
Receiving Targets418#32493#7DAL advantage
Receptions303#31349#11DAL advantage
Receiving Yards After Catch1576#302111#29DAL advantage
YAC Average5.2#176.0#31PHI advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Rushing Yards3048#22331#29PHI advantage
Rushing Yards Per Game179#2137#29PHI advantage
Rushing Attempts621#1482#21PHI advantage
Yards Per Rush Attempt4.9#54.8#28PHI advantage
Rushing 1st downs164#1141#31PHI advantage
20+ Yard Rushing Plays25#212#20PHI advantage
Long Rushing72#745#30PHI advantage
Rushing Fumbles25#212#20PHI advantage
Rushing Fumbles Lost2#161#5DAL advantage