NFLGame PreviewsNYG VS DAL Preview Week2 season 14-SEP-2025

Game Preview of New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys. Week 2 of 2025 NFL Season

NYG logo

NYG

0-1-0
@
14SEP25
01:00pm
DAL logo

DAL

0-1-0
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Game Preview

It’s Giants at Cowboys on Sunday, 14 Sept. at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Dallas looks to steady the ship after a narrow Week 1 loss. New York tries to avoid another 0-2 start.

 

Early data points to a style clash. The Cowboys move the sticks, 63.6% on third down (small sample), and have a scheme that creates shots (7.7% scheme-explosive rate; strong percentile). The Giants’ defense has been decent at limiting third downs (63.6% stop rate), but Dallas’ balance and tempo can stress that.

 

Explosives likely decide the script. Dallas’ defense has allowed only 4.2% explosive passes (small sample). That squeezes a Giants passing game under pressure, especially if LT Andrew Thomas (Questionable) is limited. New York’s best path may be on the ground; Dallas has allowed explosive runs at a 7.9% clip.

 

Health is the swing factor. The Giants list Thomas, WR Malik Nabers, and DT Dexter Lawrence as Questionable. If Thomas sits or is limited, protection gets shaky. If Nabers plays but is less than 100%, chunk plays are harder to find.

Current Season Form

NYG logo

NYG

Away
Record:0-1-0
ATS:0-1-0
O/U:0-1-0
DAL logo

DAL

Home
Record:0-1-0
ATS:1-0-0
O/U:0-1-0

Head-to-Head Summary

Record:
0-5Winner logo
ATS:2-3-0
O/U:3-2-0

Past Results

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
2025-09-04@ PHIL 20-24L 8.5u47.5
2025-01-05vs WASL 19-23L -7.0u43.5
2024-12-29@ PHIL 7-41L 7.5o37.5
2024-12-22vs TBW 26-24L -4.5o47.5
2024-12-15@ CARW 30-14W +2.5o42.0
2024-12-09vs CINL 20-27L -5.0u51.0
2024-11-28vs NYGW 27-20W +4.5o39.0
2024-11-24@ WASW 34-26L 10.5o45.0
2024-11-18vs HOUL 10-34L -7.5o41.5
2024-11-10vs PHIL 6-34L -7.5u44.5

Key Insights

 

  • Anchor spread: Cowboys -3.5 (-156). Hefty juice, but aligns with DAL’s drive-sustaining edge.

  • Anchor total: 47.0 (Under -159 / Over +112). Market shaded to the Under.

  • Third-down tilt: Dallas converts 63.6% on third down (sample 11; top tier).

  • Explosive pass D (DAL): 4.2% allowed (sample 24; strong).

  • Explosive run leak (DAL): 7.9% allowed (sample 38); NYG run game can test edges.

  • Volatility watch (NYG): LT Andrew Thomas, WR Malik Nabers, DT Dexter Lawrence all Questionable.

 

 

Betting Insights

 

  • Pick (Spread): Cowboys -3.5 (-156) Dallas sustains drives (63.6% on third down) and can pressure NYG if Thomas is limited. Note the juice.

  • Lean (Total): Under 47.0 (-159) DAL’s defense has capped explosives (4.2% explosive passes allowed); NYG offense is 25% on third down (small sample). Price is steep.

  • Dak Prescott over 1.5 Pass TDs (-139) Drive length + red-zone trips rise with that third-down rate.

  • Russell Wilson under 205.5 Passing Yards (-119) Dallas shrinks deep windows; negative game script risk if pressure hits.

  • Jake Ferguson over 4.5 Receptions (+104) Safety-valve on money downs; plus price.

  • CeeDee Lamb over 6.5 Receptions (-120) Dallas’ scheme-explosive profile (7.7%) pairs with high target share.

 

 

Final Summary

Dallas has the cleaner path. The Cowboys’ early-season data shows a team that stays on schedule and creates favorable down-and-distance. That plays into a home cover at our anchor -3.5, though the price is heavy.

For totals, the Under 47.0 tracks with Dallas’ explosive-pass defense and New York’s early third-down struggles. If the Giants can’t protect, long fields and stalled drives keep points down. If they can run and pop a couple of explosives, the Over (+112) is your contrarian out.

Props lean toward Dallas volume. Prescott-to-Lamb and Ferguson on third downs fit the matchup. On the Giants’ side, Wilson’s passing yardage is a fade until protection and efficiency improve. Nabers brings upside if active, but his Questionable tag makes it a high-volatility bet.

Net-net: Cowboys to win more often, Under slightly more likely at this price range, and a few reception-based overs for Dallas pass-catchers. Manage the juice, respect the small samples, and scale stakes accordingly.

Statistical Battle Boards

Viewing: DAL Offense vs NYG Defense
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Total Points20#1621#13NYG advantage
Total Points Per Game20#1621#20DAL advantage
Total Touchdowns2#123#26DAL advantage
Passing Touchdowns0#321#8NYG advantage
Rushing Touchdowns2#52#28DAL advantage
Other Touchdowns0#290#11NYG advantage
Total Kicking Points8#153#30DAL advantage
Total Two Point Conversions0#310#23NYG advantage
Kick Extra Points2#93#7NYG advantage
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Net Passing Yards188#18212#12NYG advantage
Net Passing Yards Per Game188#18212#12NYG advantage
Passer Rating76.6#2398.3#13NYG advantage
Passing Attempts34#1330#13🏈
Completions21#1419#21DAL advantage
Completion Percentage61.8#2263.3#13NYG advantage
Passing 1st downs9#1711#20DAL advantage
Passing 1st Down %40.9#2844#8NYG advantage
Longest Pass32#1634#13NYG advantage
Passing Fumbles Lost0#260#18NYG advantage
Receiving Targets33#1329#22DAL advantage
Receptions21#1419#14🏈
Receiving Yards After Catch75#2297#19NYG advantage
YAC Average3.6#245.1#24🏈
Offense team logoOffense
Defense team logoDefense
StatisticOffenseRankDefenseRankAdvantage
Rushing Yards119#10220#31DAL advantage
Rushing Yards Per Game119#10220#2NYG advantage
Rushing Attempts22#2532#28DAL advantage
Yards Per Rush Attempt5.4#66.9#2NYG advantage
Rushing 1st downs7#1011#30DAL advantage
20+ Yard Rushing Plays1#101#2NYG advantage
Long Rushing49#442#6DAL advantage
Rushing Fumbles1#101#2NYG advantage
Rushing Fumbles Lost1#40#20DAL advantage