Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every MLB game
Aaron Nola
Throws R · 2026 player profile
Quality of contact allowed
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-28 — 2026-10-01 · 34 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.
Next Matchup
PHI at —
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No upcoming matchup in this schedule snapshot.
Our picks on Nola
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No saved upcoming picks for Aaron Nola.
Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Our past picks
Original reasoning and recorded results.
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Inside the repertoire
What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.
The arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Whiff% | xwOBA | EV | HMov | VMov | Spin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CurveballCU | 33% | 78.4 | 41.1% | 0.231 | 83.0 | 14.8 | -10.3 | 2630 |
| 4-Seam FastballFF | 24% | 92.3 | 13.9% | 0.381 | 91.9 | -12.8 | 14.6 | 2355 |
| SinkerSI | 18% | 91.6 | 12.0% | 0.391 | 90.5 | -17.3 | 8.2 | 2274 |
| ChangeupCH | 16% | 85.7 | 26.1% | 0.303 | 86.7 | -14.6 | 3.0 | 1559 |
| CutterFC | 8% | 86.1 | 25.4% | 0.341 | 89.7 | 0.8 | 7.4 | 2299 |
| SliderSL | 1% | 83.4 | 30.0% | 0.469 | 99.1 | 3.3 | -0.4 | 2325 |
Contact allowed by location
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Data detail
Season & career
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.
| Season / team | G | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Philadelphia Phillies | 33 | 33 | 175.1 | 177 | 59 | 4.67 | 1.35 |
| 2025 · Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 17 | 94.1 | 97 | 28 | 6.01 | 1.35 |
| 2024 · Philadelphia Phillies | 33 | 33 | 199.1 | 197 | 50 | 3.57 | 1.20 |
| 2023 · Philadelphia Phillies | 32 | 32 | 193.2 | 202 | 45 | 4.46 | 1.15 |
| 2022 · Philadelphia Phillies | 32 | 32 | 205.0 | 235 | 29 | 3.25 | 0.96 |
| 2021 · Philadelphia Phillies | 32 | 32 | 180.2 | 223 | 39 | 4.63 | 1.13 |
| 2020 · Philadelphia Phillies | 12 | 12 | 71.1 | 96 | 23 | 3.28 | 1.08 |
| 2019 · Philadelphia Phillies | 34 | 34 | 202.1 | 229 | 80 | 3.87 | 1.27 |
| 2018 · Philadelphia Phillies | 33 | 33 | 212.1 | 224 | 58 | 2.37 | 0.97 |
| 2017 · Philadelphia Phillies | 27 | 27 | 168.0 | 184 | 49 | 3.54 | 1.21 |
| 2016 · Philadelphia Phillies | 20 | 20 | 111.0 | 121 | 29 | 4.78 | 1.31 |
| 2015 · Philadelphia Phillies | 13 | 13 | 77.2 | 68 | 19 | 3.59 | 1.20 |
| Career | 318 | 318 | 1891.0 | 2053 | 508 | 3.91 | 1.17 |
Recorded game dates 34 dates
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 9 | 0.367 | 0.286 | 92.4 | 0.167 |
| 2026-09-26 | 7 | 0.585 | 0.571 | 97.8 | 0.143 |
| 2026-09-23 | 23 | 0.307 | 0.182 | 85.4 | 0.143 |
| 2026-09-17 | 24 | 0.329 | 0.143 | 85.1 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-11 | 27 | 0.415 | 0.261 | 87.8 | 0.150 |
| 2026-09-06 | 25 | 0.188 | 0.174 | 89.0 | 0.053 |
| 2026-08-31 | 22 | 0.225 | 0.250 | 81.1 | 0.000 |
| 2026-08-25 | 23 | 0.315 | 0.150 | 87.9 | 0.154 |
| 2026-08-19 | 26 | 0.260 | 0.192 | 91.6 | 0.056 |
| 2026-08-13 | 23 | 0.306 | 0.250 | 88.4 | 0.000 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
How to read these numbers
Sample: 744 pa
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
Sample: 506 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 479 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 474 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
