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Jun 16, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8300
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Houser cleared 3.5 Ks in all three of his most recent starts despite abbreviated outings: 6K in 4.1 IP vs WSH, 5K in 4.1 IP vs MIL, 4K in 3.2 IP vs COL. Even capped at 3-4 innings, he racks up punchouts early. His 2026 K/9 is 6.37 (46 K in 65 IP). ATL hitters are aggressive (95 team HRs), creating swing-and-miss opportunities in early counts. With 3 straight over-3.5 outings, the over at -120 carries strong recent form backing.
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May 30, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7500
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Houser's 2026 K rate: 31 K in 52.2 IP (5.3 K/9) — well below average. Last 3 starts: 5 K (4.2 IP), 3 K (6.0 IP), 4 K (5.2 IP) — averaging 4.0 Ks per outing. His recent starts have been short (4-6 IP range), limiting accumulation opportunities. COL does not rank among the highest K% teams. To clear 3.5, he needs a strong 5+ IP outing, which has been inconsistent. Under at -133 reflects a real edge given his weak strikeout profile.
Market unavailableW
May 17, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9500
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Houser has posted just 23 K in 42.0 IP in 2026, equating to ~4.93 K/9 — well below average. Last 3 starts: 4K, 3K, 2K — two of three under the 3.5 line. The 4K outing is the only one that clears the threshold. His 5.79 ERA reflects poor command and hittable contact, not swing-and-miss stuff. Athletics lineup carries .734 team OPS and 4.4 R/G, and is one of the harder lineups in the AL to punch out.
