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HOU · Pitcher

AJ Blubaugh

Throws R · 2026 player profile

MLB / P
Charts through 2026-09-30 · season stats retrieved 2026-10-13
ERA3.662026 · MLB season
Strikeouts942026 · MLB season
Innings96.02026 · MLB season
WHIP1.232026 · MLB season

Quality of contact allowed

10-game rolling xwOBA

.100.200.300.400.50010-game xwOBA against
10-game rolling xwOBA against

2026-03-26 — 2026-09-30 · 66 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.

HOU at —

Matchup unavailable

Our picks & reasoning

No upcoming matchup in this schedule snapshot.

OddsIndex analysis

Our picks on Blubaugh

Saved upcoming picks

No saved upcoming picks for AJ Blubaugh.

Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.

Other unsettled picks (1)

These picks are awaiting a recorded result. Availability to bet has not been verified.

AJ Blubaugh under 1.5 strikeoutspending

Sep 29, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2600

Read original reasoning

Blubaugh's last three outings: 1K in 0.2 IP (Sep 25), 1K in 2.0 IP (Sep 23), 0K in 1.0 IP (Sep 22). All three under 1.5. vs CHW this season across 3 appearances (4.0 IP total): 3K total. As an opener projected for 1-2 innings per the Astros' bullpen-game strategy, hitting 2+ Ks requires extended work he has not delivered recently. Under at +126 is excellent value — the market is mispricing his short outing probability.

Our past picks

Original reasoning and recorded results.

No past picks for this player in this snapshot.

Market lines · saved snapshot

Snapshot unavailable. Market lines from the latest recorded feed update. Availability may have changed.

Market snapshot unavailable.

Inside the repertoire

What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.

The arsenal

PitchUsageVeloWhiff%xwOBAEVHMovVMovSpin
4-Seam FastballFF
51%
95.823.3%0.33790.4-10.617.12270
SweeperSW
22%
84.733.0%0.28883.512.23.52627
ChangeupCH
21%
85.932.3%0.28388.1-16.13.52357
CutterFC
5%
88.845.7%0.31280.03.98.12411
CurveballCU
1%
80.520.0%1.265102.49.2-12.92372

Contact allowed by location

88.811 BIP95.424 BIP91.917 BIP92.129 BIP92.332 BIP85.426 BIP88.518 BIP88.833 BIP86.620 BIP78.5High76.9Away81.6Low81.4InsideCatcher's perspective
76.9mph
95.4mphExit velocity

Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.

Data detail

Season & career

Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.

Season / teamGGSIPKBBERAWHIP
2026 · Houston Astros64096.094423.661.23
2025 · Houston Astros11332.035111.690.88
Career753128.0129533.161.14
Recorded game dates 66 dates

Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.

DatePA*xwOBABAEV (mph)Barrel fraction
2026-09-3040.0930.00088.70.000
2026-09-2950.4320.00078.70.000
2026-09-2540.3630.25089.10.333
2026-09-2360.1500.00087.90.000
2026-09-2240.4120.00084.10.000
2026-09-1940.5060.66790.80.000
2026-09-1850.7010.25096.30.333
2026-09-1530.0720.00096.90.000
2026-09-1260.3800.25090.90.000
2026-09-0930.8230.500105.71.000

*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.

How to read these numbers
Walk rate

Sample: 401 pa

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.

Barrel rate allowed

Sample: 262 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Exit velocity allowed

Sample: 244 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

BABIP allowed

Sample: 253 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.